The Rise in Mortgage Defaults

The first hints of trouble in the mortgage market surfaced in mid-2005, and conditions subsequently began to deteriorate rapidly. Mortgage defaults and delinquencies are particularly concentrated among borrowers whose mortgages are classified as “subprime” or “near-prime.” The main factors underlyin...

Ausführliche Beschreibung

Gespeichert in:
Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:The Journal of economic perspectives 2009, Vol.23 (1), p.27-50
Hauptverfasser: Mayer, Christopher, Pence, Karen, Sherlund, Shane M.
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
Schlagworte:
Online-Zugang:Volltext
Tags: Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
container_end_page 50
container_issue 1
container_start_page 27
container_title The Journal of economic perspectives
container_volume 23
creator Mayer, Christopher
Pence, Karen
Sherlund, Shane M.
description The first hints of trouble in the mortgage market surfaced in mid-2005, and conditions subsequently began to deteriorate rapidly. Mortgage defaults and delinquencies are particularly concentrated among borrowers whose mortgages are classified as “subprime” or “near-prime.” The main factors underlying the rise in mortgage defaults appear to be declines in house prices and deteriorated underwriting standards, in particular an increase in loan-to-value ratios and in the share of mortgages with little or no documentation of income. Contrary to popular perception, the growth in unconventional mortgages products, such as those with prepayment penalties, interest-only periods, and teaser interest rates, does not appear to be a significant factor in defaults through mid-2008 because borrowers who had problems with these products could refinance into different mortgages. However, as markets realized the extent of the poor underwriting, underwriting standards tightened and borrowers began to face difficulties refinancing; this dynamic suggests that these unconventional products could pose problems going forward.
doi_str_mv 10.1257/jep.23.1.27
format Article
fullrecord <record><control><sourceid>jstor_proqu</sourceid><recordid>TN_cdi_proquest_miscellaneous_37137453</recordid><sourceformat>XML</sourceformat><sourcesystem>PC</sourcesystem><jstor_id>27648293</jstor_id><sourcerecordid>27648293</sourcerecordid><originalsourceid>FETCH-LOGICAL-c381t-ba5b0b9f50dedc7a76ae93e81db6d095bf853cba4006f4cf1c72152bcbe58bce3</originalsourceid><addsrcrecordid>eNpd0D1PwzAQBmALgUQpTMyVIgYWlGD74jgeUfmUipBQmS3bOZdEaVPsZODfk6iIgVtueXT36iXkktGMcSFvG9xnHDKWcXlEZkzleSpVIY7JjJZKpABUnZKzGBs6TSFmZLH-xOS9jpjUu-S1C_3GbDC5R2-Gto_n5MSbNuLF756Tj8eH9fI5Xb09vSzvVqmDkvWpNcJSq7ygFVZOGlkYVIAlq2xRUSWsLwU4a_Lxp8-dZ05yJrh1FkVpHcKcXB_u7kP3NWDs9baODtvW7LAbogbJQOYCRnj1DzbdEHZjNs0Zp3KMI0d0c0AudDEG9Hof6q0J35pRPfWkx540B800n_TioJvYd-GPclnkJVcAP8V-Y3E</addsrcrecordid><sourcetype>Aggregation Database</sourcetype><iscdi>true</iscdi><recordtype>article</recordtype><pqid>212073817</pqid></control><display><type>article</type><title>The Rise in Mortgage Defaults</title><source>Jstor Complete Legacy</source><source>Elektronische Zeitschriftenbibliothek - Frei zugängliche E-Journals</source><source>American Economic Association Web</source><source>EBSCOhost Business Source Complete</source><creator>Mayer, Christopher ; Pence, Karen ; Sherlund, Shane M.</creator><creatorcontrib>Mayer, Christopher ; Pence, Karen ; Sherlund, Shane M.</creatorcontrib><description>The first hints of trouble in the mortgage market surfaced in mid-2005, and conditions subsequently began to deteriorate rapidly. Mortgage defaults and delinquencies are particularly concentrated among borrowers whose mortgages are classified as “subprime” or “near-prime.” The main factors underlying the rise in mortgage defaults appear to be declines in house prices and deteriorated underwriting standards, in particular an increase in loan-to-value ratios and in the share of mortgages with little or no documentation of income. Contrary to popular perception, the growth in unconventional mortgages products, such as those with prepayment penalties, interest-only periods, and teaser interest rates, does not appear to be a significant factor in defaults through mid-2008 because borrowers who had problems with these products could refinance into different mortgages. However, as markets realized the extent of the poor underwriting, underwriting standards tightened and borrowers began to face difficulties refinancing; this dynamic suggests that these unconventional products could pose problems going forward.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0895-3309</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1944-7965</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1257/jep.23.1.27</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Nashville: American Economic Association</publisher><subject>Bankers associations ; Bankruptcy ; Credit scores ; Debt management ; Default ; Delinquency ; Documentation ; Down payments ; Financial crisis ; Foreclosure ; Housing market ; Housing prices ; Interest rates ; Investors ; Lenders ; Loan defaults ; Loan payments ; Loans ; Mortgage banks ; Mortgage loans ; Mortgage markets ; Mortgages ; Prepayment penalty ; Real estate financing ; Refinancing ; Securitization ; Studies ; Subprime lending ; Subprime loans ; Subprime mortgages ; Symposium: Early Stages of the Credit Crunch ; U.S.A ; Underwriting</subject><ispartof>The Journal of economic perspectives, 2009, Vol.23 (1), p.27-50</ispartof><rights>Copyright 2009 American Economic Association</rights><rights>Copyright American Economic Association Winter 2009</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c381t-ba5b0b9f50dedc7a76ae93e81db6d095bf853cba4006f4cf1c72152bcbe58bce3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c381t-ba5b0b9f50dedc7a76ae93e81db6d095bf853cba4006f4cf1c72152bcbe58bce3</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/27648293$$EPDF$$P50$$Gjstor$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.jstor.org/stable/27648293$$EHTML$$P50$$Gjstor$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,799,3735,4010,27900,27901,27902,57992,58225</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Mayer, Christopher</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pence, Karen</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sherlund, Shane M.</creatorcontrib><title>The Rise in Mortgage Defaults</title><title>The Journal of economic perspectives</title><description>The first hints of trouble in the mortgage market surfaced in mid-2005, and conditions subsequently began to deteriorate rapidly. Mortgage defaults and delinquencies are particularly concentrated among borrowers whose mortgages are classified as “subprime” or “near-prime.” The main factors underlying the rise in mortgage defaults appear to be declines in house prices and deteriorated underwriting standards, in particular an increase in loan-to-value ratios and in the share of mortgages with little or no documentation of income. Contrary to popular perception, the growth in unconventional mortgages products, such as those with prepayment penalties, interest-only periods, and teaser interest rates, does not appear to be a significant factor in defaults through mid-2008 because borrowers who had problems with these products could refinance into different mortgages. However, as markets realized the extent of the poor underwriting, underwriting standards tightened and borrowers began to face difficulties refinancing; this dynamic suggests that these unconventional products could pose problems going forward.</description><subject>Bankers associations</subject><subject>Bankruptcy</subject><subject>Credit scores</subject><subject>Debt management</subject><subject>Default</subject><subject>Delinquency</subject><subject>Documentation</subject><subject>Down payments</subject><subject>Financial crisis</subject><subject>Foreclosure</subject><subject>Housing market</subject><subject>Housing prices</subject><subject>Interest rates</subject><subject>Investors</subject><subject>Lenders</subject><subject>Loan defaults</subject><subject>Loan payments</subject><subject>Loans</subject><subject>Mortgage banks</subject><subject>Mortgage loans</subject><subject>Mortgage markets</subject><subject>Mortgages</subject><subject>Prepayment penalty</subject><subject>Real estate financing</subject><subject>Refinancing</subject><subject>Securitization</subject><subject>Studies</subject><subject>Subprime lending</subject><subject>Subprime loans</subject><subject>Subprime mortgages</subject><subject>Symposium: Early Stages of the Credit Crunch</subject><subject>U.S.A</subject><subject>Underwriting</subject><issn>0895-3309</issn><issn>1944-7965</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2009</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>JFNAL</sourceid><sourceid>8G5</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><sourceid>GUQSH</sourceid><sourceid>M2O</sourceid><recordid>eNpd0D1PwzAQBmALgUQpTMyVIgYWlGD74jgeUfmUipBQmS3bOZdEaVPsZODfk6iIgVtueXT36iXkktGMcSFvG9xnHDKWcXlEZkzleSpVIY7JjJZKpABUnZKzGBs6TSFmZLH-xOS9jpjUu-S1C_3GbDC5R2-Gto_n5MSbNuLF756Tj8eH9fI5Xb09vSzvVqmDkvWpNcJSq7ygFVZOGlkYVIAlq2xRUSWsLwU4a_Lxp8-dZ05yJrh1FkVpHcKcXB_u7kP3NWDs9baODtvW7LAbogbJQOYCRnj1DzbdEHZjNs0Zp3KMI0d0c0AudDEG9Hof6q0J35pRPfWkx540B800n_TioJvYd-GPclnkJVcAP8V-Y3E</recordid><startdate>2009</startdate><enddate>2009</enddate><creator>Mayer, Christopher</creator><creator>Pence, Karen</creator><creator>Sherlund, Shane M.</creator><general>American Economic Association</general><scope>JFNAL</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>0-V</scope><scope>3V.</scope><scope>7WY</scope><scope>7WZ</scope><scope>7X7</scope><scope>7XB</scope><scope>87Z</scope><scope>88C</scope><scope>88E</scope><scope>88J</scope><scope>8BJ</scope><scope>8FI</scope><scope>8FJ</scope><scope>8FK</scope><scope>8FL</scope><scope>8G5</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>ALSLI</scope><scope>AZQEC</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>BEZIV</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>FQK</scope><scope>FRNLG</scope><scope>FYUFA</scope><scope>F~G</scope><scope>GHDGH</scope><scope>GNUQQ</scope><scope>GUQSH</scope><scope>JBE</scope><scope>K60</scope><scope>K6~</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>L.-</scope><scope>M0C</scope><scope>M0S</scope><scope>M0T</scope><scope>M1P</scope><scope>M2O</scope><scope>M2R</scope><scope>MBDVC</scope><scope>PQBIZ</scope><scope>PQBZA</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>PRINS</scope><scope>Q9U</scope></search><sort><creationdate>2009</creationdate><title>The Rise in Mortgage Defaults</title><author>Mayer, Christopher ; Pence, Karen ; Sherlund, Shane M.</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c381t-ba5b0b9f50dedc7a76ae93e81db6d095bf853cba4006f4cf1c72152bcbe58bce3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2009</creationdate><topic>Bankers associations</topic><topic>Bankruptcy</topic><topic>Credit scores</topic><topic>Debt management</topic><topic>Default</topic><topic>Delinquency</topic><topic>Documentation</topic><topic>Down payments</topic><topic>Financial crisis</topic><topic>Foreclosure</topic><topic>Housing market</topic><topic>Housing prices</topic><topic>Interest rates</topic><topic>Investors</topic><topic>Lenders</topic><topic>Loan defaults</topic><topic>Loan payments</topic><topic>Loans</topic><topic>Mortgage banks</topic><topic>Mortgage loans</topic><topic>Mortgage markets</topic><topic>Mortgages</topic><topic>Prepayment penalty</topic><topic>Real estate financing</topic><topic>Refinancing</topic><topic>Securitization</topic><topic>Studies</topic><topic>Subprime lending</topic><topic>Subprime loans</topic><topic>Subprime mortgages</topic><topic>Symposium: Early Stages of the Credit Crunch</topic><topic>U.S.A</topic><topic>Underwriting</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Mayer, Christopher</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pence, Karen</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sherlund, Shane M.</creatorcontrib><collection>Jstor Journals Open Access</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>ProQuest Social Sciences Premium Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Corporate)</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Collection</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Global (PDF only)</collection><collection>Health &amp; Medical Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Global (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>Healthcare Administration Database (Alumni)</collection><collection>Medical Database (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>Social Science Database (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS)</collection><collection>Hospital Premium Collection</collection><collection>Hospital Premium Collection (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni) (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Collection (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>Research Library (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central UK/Ireland</collection><collection>Social Science Premium Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Essentials</collection><collection>ProQuest Central</collection><collection>Business Premium Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest One Community College</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Korea</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><collection>Business Premium Collection (Alumni)</collection><collection>Health Research Premium Collection</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Global (Corporate)</collection><collection>Health Research Premium Collection (Alumni)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Student</collection><collection>Research Library Prep</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><collection>ProQuest Business Collection (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Business Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Health &amp; Medical Complete (Alumni)</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Professional Advanced</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Global</collection><collection>Health &amp; Medical Collection (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>Healthcare Administration Database</collection><collection>Medical Database</collection><collection>Research Library</collection><collection>Social Science Database</collection><collection>Research Library (Corporate)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Business</collection><collection>ProQuest One Business (Alumni)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition (DO NOT USE)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition</collection><collection>ProQuest Central China</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Basic</collection><jtitle>The Journal of economic perspectives</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Mayer, Christopher</au><au>Pence, Karen</au><au>Sherlund, Shane M.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>The Rise in Mortgage Defaults</atitle><jtitle>The Journal of economic perspectives</jtitle><date>2009</date><risdate>2009</risdate><volume>23</volume><issue>1</issue><spage>27</spage><epage>50</epage><pages>27-50</pages><issn>0895-3309</issn><eissn>1944-7965</eissn><abstract>The first hints of trouble in the mortgage market surfaced in mid-2005, and conditions subsequently began to deteriorate rapidly. Mortgage defaults and delinquencies are particularly concentrated among borrowers whose mortgages are classified as “subprime” or “near-prime.” The main factors underlying the rise in mortgage defaults appear to be declines in house prices and deteriorated underwriting standards, in particular an increase in loan-to-value ratios and in the share of mortgages with little or no documentation of income. Contrary to popular perception, the growth in unconventional mortgages products, such as those with prepayment penalties, interest-only periods, and teaser interest rates, does not appear to be a significant factor in defaults through mid-2008 because borrowers who had problems with these products could refinance into different mortgages. However, as markets realized the extent of the poor underwriting, underwriting standards tightened and borrowers began to face difficulties refinancing; this dynamic suggests that these unconventional products could pose problems going forward.</abstract><cop>Nashville</cop><pub>American Economic Association</pub><doi>10.1257/jep.23.1.27</doi><tpages>24</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
fulltext fulltext
identifier ISSN: 0895-3309
ispartof The Journal of economic perspectives, 2009, Vol.23 (1), p.27-50
issn 0895-3309
1944-7965
language eng
recordid cdi_proquest_miscellaneous_37137453
source Jstor Complete Legacy; Elektronische Zeitschriftenbibliothek - Frei zugängliche E-Journals; American Economic Association Web; EBSCOhost Business Source Complete
subjects Bankers associations
Bankruptcy
Credit scores
Debt management
Default
Delinquency
Documentation
Down payments
Financial crisis
Foreclosure
Housing market
Housing prices
Interest rates
Investors
Lenders
Loan defaults
Loan payments
Loans
Mortgage banks
Mortgage loans
Mortgage markets
Mortgages
Prepayment penalty
Real estate financing
Refinancing
Securitization
Studies
Subprime lending
Subprime loans
Subprime mortgages
Symposium: Early Stages of the Credit Crunch
U.S.A
Underwriting
title The Rise in Mortgage Defaults
url https://sfx.bib-bvb.de/sfx_tum?ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info:ofi/enc:UTF-8&ctx_tim=2025-02-04T01%3A17%3A05IST&url_ver=Z39.88-2004&url_ctx_fmt=infofi/fmt:kev:mtx:ctx&rfr_id=info:sid/primo.exlibrisgroup.com:primo3-Article-jstor_proqu&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=The%20Rise%20in%20Mortgage%20Defaults&rft.jtitle=The%20Journal%20of%20economic%20perspectives&rft.au=Mayer,%20Christopher&rft.date=2009&rft.volume=23&rft.issue=1&rft.spage=27&rft.epage=50&rft.pages=27-50&rft.issn=0895-3309&rft.eissn=1944-7965&rft_id=info:doi/10.1257/jep.23.1.27&rft_dat=%3Cjstor_proqu%3E27648293%3C/jstor_proqu%3E%3Curl%3E%3C/url%3E&disable_directlink=true&sfx.directlink=off&sfx.report_link=0&rft_id=info:oai/&rft_pqid=212073817&rft_id=info:pmid/&rft_jstor_id=27648293&rfr_iscdi=true