External Shocks, Bank Lending Spreads, and Output Fluctuations

This paper studies the effects of external shocks on bank lending spreads and output fluctuations in Argentina during the early 1990s. The first part presents the analytical framework. The second presents a VAR model that relates bank lending spreads, the cyclical component of output, the real lendi...

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Veröffentlicht in:Review of international economics 2008-02, Vol.16 (1), p.1-20
Hauptverfasser: Agénor, Pierre-Richard, Aizenman, Joshua, Hoffmaister, Alexander W.
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creator Agénor, Pierre-Richard
Aizenman, Joshua
Hoffmaister, Alexander W.
description This paper studies the effects of external shocks on bank lending spreads and output fluctuations in Argentina during the early 1990s. The first part presents the analytical framework. The second presents a VAR model that relates bank lending spreads, the cyclical component of output, the real lending rate, and the external interest rate spread. Impulse response functions show that a positive shock in external spreads leads to higher domestic spreads and lower output. Historical decompositions show that shocks to external spreads in the immediate aftermath of the Mexican peso crisis had a sizable effect on movements in output and domestic spreads.
doi_str_mv 10.1111/j.1467-9396.2007.00658.x
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source RePEc; Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete; Business Source Complete
subjects Access to credit
Argentina
Bank loans
Bank operations
Economic crisis
Economic impact analysis
Economic models
Economic shock
Economic statistics
Economic theory
Financial crisis
Foreign exchange rates
Interest rates
Macroeconomics
Output
Output rate
Pesos
Spread
Studies
Vector-autoregressive models
title External Shocks, Bank Lending Spreads, and Output Fluctuations
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