Comparing the performance of market-based and accounting-based bankruptcy prediction models
Recently developed corporate bankruptcy prediction models adopt a contingent claims valuation approach. However, despite their theoretical appeal, tests of their performance compared with traditional simple accounting-ratio-based approaches are limited in the literature. We find the two approaches c...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Journal of banking & finance 2008-08, Vol.32 (8), p.1541-1551 |
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creator | Agarwal, Vineet Taffler, Richard |
description | Recently developed corporate bankruptcy prediction models adopt a contingent claims valuation approach. However, despite their theoretical appeal, tests of their performance compared with traditional simple accounting-ratio-based approaches are limited in the literature. We find the two approaches capture different aspects of bankruptcy risk, and while there is little difference in their predictive ability in the UK, the
z-score approach leads to significantly greater bank profitability in conditions of differential decision error costs and competitive pricing regime. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007.07.014 |
format | Article |
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z-score approach leads to significantly greater bank profitability in conditions of differential decision error costs and competitive pricing regime.</description><subject>Accounting</subject><subject>Bank profitability</subject><subject>Bankruptcy</subject><subject>Comparative analysis</subject><subject>Credit risk</subject><subject>Failure prediction</subject><subject>Forecasts</subject><subject>Market</subject><subject>Model testing</subject><subject>Option-pricing models</subject><subject>Pricing</subject><subject>Risk</subject><subject>Studies</subject><subject>Valuation methods</subject><subject>Z-score</subject><issn>0378-4266</issn><issn>1872-6372</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2008</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>X2L</sourceid><recordid>eNqFUU1v1DAQjRBILG3_Aoo4cMvi8VeSG2hFAWklLvTUg-U4Y-p0Ewc7qbT_nom2cOCCNc8jWe89j5-L4i2wPTDQH4b90Nnp0Ydpzxmr91uBfFHsoKl5pUXNXxY7Juqmklzr18WbnAdGqwGxK-4PcZxtCtPPcnnAcsbkYxrt5LCMvhxtesSl6mzGvrQTwbm4TgvRnw-3m9M6L-5czgn74JYQp3KMPZ7ydfHK21PGm-d-Vdzdfv5x-Fodv3_5dvh0rJwGtVRKWeaFVRJUx7nTjnvhO-BS1uC8wI633kLtXM86IjWgpGICpeq1bbFX4qp4f_GdU_y1Yl7MGLLD08lOGNdshG5lAy0j4rt_iENc00SzGWhlS9Cbm76QXIo5J_RmToGCOBtgZgvcDOZP4GYL3GwFkoTHizDhjO6vChGHjrjWPBlhBaftTCBlQy0Qtj4T6GFgQCkwD8tIdh8vdpQkPgVMJruA9DF9SOgW08fwv4l-Ay5KpxM</recordid><startdate>20080801</startdate><enddate>20080801</enddate><creator>Agarwal, Vineet</creator><creator>Taffler, Richard</creator><general>Elsevier B.V</general><general>Elsevier</general><general>Elsevier Sequoia S.A</general><scope>DKI</scope><scope>X2L</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>8BJ</scope><scope>FQK</scope><scope>JBE</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20080801</creationdate><title>Comparing the performance of market-based and accounting-based bankruptcy prediction models</title><author>Agarwal, Vineet ; Taffler, Richard</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c615t-55a0f3a5415b22c6c2f3fb124471cf3eb29fa17ccd0b5418154503e45d6a9ed53</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2008</creationdate><topic>Accounting</topic><topic>Bank profitability</topic><topic>Bankruptcy</topic><topic>Comparative analysis</topic><topic>Credit risk</topic><topic>Failure prediction</topic><topic>Forecasts</topic><topic>Market</topic><topic>Model testing</topic><topic>Option-pricing models</topic><topic>Pricing</topic><topic>Risk</topic><topic>Studies</topic><topic>Valuation methods</topic><topic>Z-score</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Agarwal, Vineet</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Taffler, Richard</creatorcontrib><collection>RePEc IDEAS</collection><collection>RePEc</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS)</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><jtitle>Journal of banking & finance</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Agarwal, Vineet</au><au>Taffler, Richard</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Comparing the performance of market-based and accounting-based bankruptcy prediction models</atitle><jtitle>Journal of banking & finance</jtitle><date>2008-08-01</date><risdate>2008</risdate><volume>32</volume><issue>8</issue><spage>1541</spage><epage>1551</epage><pages>1541-1551</pages><issn>0378-4266</issn><eissn>1872-6372</eissn><coden>JBFIDO</coden><abstract>Recently developed corporate bankruptcy prediction models adopt a contingent claims valuation approach. However, despite their theoretical appeal, tests of their performance compared with traditional simple accounting-ratio-based approaches are limited in the literature. We find the two approaches capture different aspects of bankruptcy risk, and while there is little difference in their predictive ability in the UK, the
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subjects | Accounting Bank profitability Bankruptcy Comparative analysis Credit risk Failure prediction Forecasts Market Model testing Option-pricing models Pricing Risk Studies Valuation methods Z-score |
title | Comparing the performance of market-based and accounting-based bankruptcy prediction models |
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