International Reserves: Precautionary Versus Mercantilist Views, Theory and Evidence

This paper compares the importance of precautionary and mercantilist motives in the hoarding of international reserves by developing countries. Overall, empirical results support precautionary motives; in particular, a more liberal capital account regime increases international reserves. Theoretical...

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Veröffentlicht in:Open economies review 2007-04, Vol.18 (2), p.191-214
Hauptverfasser: Aizenman, Joshua, Lee, Jaewoo
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description This paper compares the importance of precautionary and mercantilist motives in the hoarding of international reserves by developing countries. Overall, empirical results support precautionary motives; in particular, a more liberal capital account regime increases international reserves. Theoretically, large precautionary demand for international reserves arises as a self-insurance to avoid costly liquidation of long-term projects when the economy is susceptible to sudden stops. The welfare gain from the optimal management of international reserves is of a first-order magnitude, reducing the welfare cost of liquidity shocks from a first-order to a second-order magnitude. [PUBLICATION ABSTRACT]
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subjects Accounting
Bankruptcy
Capital
Capital movement
Comparative studies
Demand for money
Developing countries
Economic theory
Emerging markets
Hoarding
Insurance
International finance
International monetary economics
International monetary relations
International trade
LDCs
Liberalization
Mercantilism
Monetarism
Monetary policy
Monetary reserves
Ratios
Reserve assets
Reserves
Variables
Welfare
title International Reserves: Precautionary Versus Mercantilist Views, Theory and Evidence
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