Dynamic correlation analysis of financial contagion: Evidence from Asian markets

We apply a dynamic conditional-correlation model to nine Asian daily stock-return data series from 1990 to 2003. The empirical evidence confirms a contagion effect. By analyzing the correlation-coefficient series, we identify two phases of the Asian crisis. The first shows an increase in correlation...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of international money and finance 2007-11, Vol.26 (7), p.1206-1228
Hauptverfasser: Chiang, Thomas C., Jeon, Bang Nam, Li, Huimin
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creator Chiang, Thomas C.
Jeon, Bang Nam
Li, Huimin
description We apply a dynamic conditional-correlation model to nine Asian daily stock-return data series from 1990 to 2003. The empirical evidence confirms a contagion effect. By analyzing the correlation-coefficient series, we identify two phases of the Asian crisis. The first shows an increase in correlation (contagion); the second shows a continued high correlation (herding). Statistical analysis of the correlation coefficients also finds a shift in variance during the crisis period, casting doubt on the benefit of international portfolio diversification. Evidence shows that international sovereign credit-rating agencies play a significant role in shaping the structure of dynamic correlations in the Asian markets.
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subjects Asia
Asian crises
Contagion
Correlation
Correlation analysis
Data analysis
Dynamic conditional correlation
Economic crisis
Economic models
Financial contagion
Financial crisis
Herding
International finance
Market analysis
Portfolio diversification
Rates of return
Rating services
Sovereign credit rating
Stock returns
Studies
title Dynamic correlation analysis of financial contagion: Evidence from Asian markets
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