New Keynesian Explanations of Cyclical Movements in Aggregate Inflation and Regional Inflation Differentials

What determines the cyclical behavior of aggregate inflation and regional inflation differentials? The answer has strong implications for monetary policy and in Europe for the Stability and Growth Pact. In the United States, inflation rates move pro-cyclically, and across the Euro Area, inflation di...

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Veröffentlicht in:Open economies review 2006-01, Vol.17 (1), p.27-55
Hauptverfasser: Canzoneri, Matthew B, Cumby, Robert E, Diba, Behzad T, Mykhaylova, Olena
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Cumby, Robert E
Diba, Behzad T
Mykhaylova, Olena
description What determines the cyclical behavior of aggregate inflation and regional inflation differentials? The answer has strong implications for monetary policy and in Europe for the Stability and Growth Pact. In the United States, inflation rates move pro-cyclically, and across the Euro Area, inflation differentials are positively correlated with growth differentials. This suggests that demand shocks are the primary determinants of the cyclical behavior of aggregate inflation and regional inflation differentials. In this paper, we discuss New Keynesian explanations of these correlations, and we argue that demand shocks are either missing or inadequately modeled in the in typical New Keynesian model. [PUBLICATION ABSTRACT]
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subjects Aggregate analysis
Business cycle transmissions
Business cycles
Consumption
Correlation analysis
Economic models
Economic shock
Eurozone
Government spending
Inflation
Inflation differentials
Inflation rate
Inflation rates
Interest rates
Keynesian theory
Monetary economics
Monetary models
Monetary policy
Monopolistic competition
Neokeynesianism
Phillips curve
Productivity
Studies
Time series
title New Keynesian Explanations of Cyclical Movements in Aggregate Inflation and Regional Inflation Differentials
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