Intelligence, Human Capital, and Economic Growth: A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) Approach

Human capital plays an important role in the theory of economic growth, but it has been difficult to measure this abstract concept. We survey the psychological literature on cross-cultural IQ tests and conclude that intelligence tests provide one useful measure of human capital. Using a new database...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of economic growth (Boston, Mass.) Mass.), 2006-03, Vol.11 (1), p.71-93
Hauptverfasser: Jones, Garett, Schneider, W. Joel
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description Human capital plays an important role in the theory of economic growth, but it has been difficult to measure this abstract concept. We survey the psychological literature on cross-cultural IQ tests and conclude that intelligence tests provide one useful measure of human capital. Using a new database of national average IQ, we show that in growth regressions that include only robust control variables, IQ is statistically significant in 99.8% of these 1330 regressions, easily passing a Bayesian model-averaging robustness test. A 1 point increase in a nation's average IQ is associated with a persistent 0.11% annual increase in GDP per capita.
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source Business Source Complete; SpringerNature Journals; JSTOR Archive Collection A-Z Listing
subjects Bayesian analysis
Bayesian method
Bias
Econometrics
Economic growth
Economic growth models
Economic theory
Economists
Education
Elementary schools
Estimation
GDP
Gross Domestic Product
Growth models
Growth theory
Human capital
Intelligence
Intelligence quotient
Intelligence tests
Job performance
Linear regression
Psychological aspects
Robust control
School enrollment
Socioeconomic factors
Statistical significance
Studies
Validity
Variables
title Intelligence, Human Capital, and Economic Growth: A Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates (BACE) Approach
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