SURVEILLANCE OF SUB-CENTIMETER SIDE-BRANCH IPMNS: RISK OF INVASIVE DISEASE AND FOLLOW-UP RECOMMENDATIONS

Define the risk associated with sub-centimeter Side-Branch Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms (SB-IPMN) and propose a surveillance strategy based on this cohort. SB-IPMNs are increasingly discovered with the growing use of high-fidelity cross-sectional imaging, particularly sub-centimeter (2 c...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of gastrointestinal surgery 2025-01, p.101959, Article 101959
Hauptverfasser: Wehrle, Chase J, Walsh, R Matthew, Kumar, Pranav, Perlmutter, Breanna, Chang, Jenny H, Gross, Abby, Naples, Rob, Stackhouse, Kathryn A, Naffouje, Samer, Joyce, Daniel, Augustin, Toms, Simon, Robert
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container_title Journal of gastrointestinal surgery
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creator Wehrle, Chase J
Walsh, R Matthew
Kumar, Pranav
Perlmutter, Breanna
Chang, Jenny H
Gross, Abby
Naples, Rob
Stackhouse, Kathryn A
Naffouje, Samer
Joyce, Daniel
Augustin, Toms
Simon, Robert
description Define the risk associated with sub-centimeter Side-Branch Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms (SB-IPMN) and propose a surveillance strategy based on this cohort. SB-IPMNs are increasingly discovered with the growing use of high-fidelity cross-sectional imaging, particularly sub-centimeter (2 cross-sectional imaging studies >6 months apart. Clinically-relevant progression (CR-Progression) has been previously defined by development of symptoms, worrisome/high-risk stigmata, or invasive cancer (IC). Growth >5mm in 2years is considered CR-Progression; size>3cm alone is not. One-thousand patients were included, 291 (29.1%) with SB-IPMN1cm (p=0.090). CR-progression was less common in the sub-centimeter group (7.2% vs. 19%, log-rank p
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SB-IPMNs are increasingly discovered with the growing use of high-fidelity cross-sectional imaging, particularly sub-centimeter (&lt;1cm) lesions. Data are absent regarding the risk of progression in sub-centimeter cysts. A prospectively maintained database was queried for SB-IPMNs undergoing non-operative surveillance with &gt;2 cross-sectional imaging studies &gt;6 months apart. Clinically-relevant progression (CR-Progression) has been previously defined by development of symptoms, worrisome/high-risk stigmata, or invasive cancer (IC). Growth &gt;5mm in 2years is considered CR-Progression; size&gt;3cm alone is not. One-thousand patients were included, 291 (29.1%) with SB-IPMN&lt;1cm. Median follow-up from diagnosis was 7.1 years (IQR 3.2-10.4 years) in sub-centimeter cysts vs. 6.4 years (IQR 2.8-10.0 years) in those &gt;1cm (p=0.090). CR-progression was less common in the sub-centimeter group (7.2% vs. 19%, log-rank p&lt;0.001). Cysts that progressed did so at similar time intervals (Median=3.7 vs. 3.3 years, p=0.707). Sub-centimeter cysts developed both IC (1.4% vs 1.8%, log-rank p=0.608), and high-risk pathology (HGD/IC) at a similar rate ( p=0.198) to larger cysts. Cysts that were initially stable for 5 years of surveillance (n=547) developed high-risk pathology in 4.7% (n=25). This was not different by initial cyst size (log-rank p=0.116). Spline curves demonstrate consistently low risk of HGD/IC across increasing cyst size despite a higher rate of CR-progression. CR-progression criteria best discriminated high-risk patholgogy in sub-centimeter cysts. Rate of size growth did not correlate with high-risk pathology (HR=1.14, 95%CI 0.88-1.50). Sub-centimeter SB-IPMNs develop malignant potential as frequently as their larger counterparts and do so at similar time courses. Often incidental, sub-centimeter presumed SB-IPMNs are diagnosed at arbitrary points in their disease course, and require similar surveillance duration to their larger counterparts., Rate of growth is not predictive of high-risk pathology. t These cysts do not develop CR-progression as frequently, but such features better discriminate high risk pathology in sub centimeter cysts, making development of such features more concerning when they occur.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1091-255X</identifier><identifier>ISSN: 1873-4626</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1873-4626</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1016/j.gassur.2025.101959</identifier><identifier>PMID: 39793956</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Netherlands: Elsevier Inc</publisher><subject>cyst surveillance ; intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm ; pancreatic cancer ; pancreatic cyst</subject><ispartof>Journal of gastrointestinal surgery, 2025-01, p.101959, Article 101959</ispartof><rights>2025</rights><rights>Copyright © 2025. 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Cysts that progressed did so at similar time intervals (Median=3.7 vs. 3.3 years, p=0.707). Sub-centimeter cysts developed both IC (1.4% vs 1.8%, log-rank p=0.608), and high-risk pathology (HGD/IC) at a similar rate ( p=0.198) to larger cysts. Cysts that were initially stable for 5 years of surveillance (n=547) developed high-risk pathology in 4.7% (n=25). This was not different by initial cyst size (log-rank p=0.116). Spline curves demonstrate consistently low risk of HGD/IC across increasing cyst size despite a higher rate of CR-progression. CR-progression criteria best discriminated high-risk patholgogy in sub-centimeter cysts. Rate of size growth did not correlate with high-risk pathology (HR=1.14, 95%CI 0.88-1.50). Sub-centimeter SB-IPMNs develop malignant potential as frequently as their larger counterparts and do so at similar time courses. 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SB-IPMNs are increasingly discovered with the growing use of high-fidelity cross-sectional imaging, particularly sub-centimeter (&lt;1cm) lesions. Data are absent regarding the risk of progression in sub-centimeter cysts. A prospectively maintained database was queried for SB-IPMNs undergoing non-operative surveillance with &gt;2 cross-sectional imaging studies &gt;6 months apart. Clinically-relevant progression (CR-Progression) has been previously defined by development of symptoms, worrisome/high-risk stigmata, or invasive cancer (IC). Growth &gt;5mm in 2years is considered CR-Progression; size&gt;3cm alone is not. One-thousand patients were included, 291 (29.1%) with SB-IPMN&lt;1cm. Median follow-up from diagnosis was 7.1 years (IQR 3.2-10.4 years) in sub-centimeter cysts vs. 6.4 years (IQR 2.8-10.0 years) in those &gt;1cm (p=0.090). CR-progression was less common in the sub-centimeter group (7.2% vs. 19%, log-rank p&lt;0.001). Cysts that progressed did so at similar time intervals (Median=3.7 vs. 3.3 years, p=0.707). Sub-centimeter cysts developed both IC (1.4% vs 1.8%, log-rank p=0.608), and high-risk pathology (HGD/IC) at a similar rate ( p=0.198) to larger cysts. Cysts that were initially stable for 5 years of surveillance (n=547) developed high-risk pathology in 4.7% (n=25). This was not different by initial cyst size (log-rank p=0.116). Spline curves demonstrate consistently low risk of HGD/IC across increasing cyst size despite a higher rate of CR-progression. CR-progression criteria best discriminated high-risk patholgogy in sub-centimeter cysts. Rate of size growth did not correlate with high-risk pathology (HR=1.14, 95%CI 0.88-1.50). Sub-centimeter SB-IPMNs develop malignant potential as frequently as their larger counterparts and do so at similar time courses. Often incidental, sub-centimeter presumed SB-IPMNs are diagnosed at arbitrary points in their disease course, and require similar surveillance duration to their larger counterparts., Rate of growth is not predictive of high-risk pathology. t These cysts do not develop CR-progression as frequently, but such features better discriminate high risk pathology in sub centimeter cysts, making development of such features more concerning when they occur.</abstract><cop>Netherlands</cop><pub>Elsevier Inc</pub><pmid>39793956</pmid><doi>10.1016/j.gassur.2025.101959</doi><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9275-4744</orcidid></addata></record>
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subjects cyst surveillance
intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm
pancreatic cancer
pancreatic cyst
title SURVEILLANCE OF SUB-CENTIMETER SIDE-BRANCH IPMNS: RISK OF INVASIVE DISEASE AND FOLLOW-UP RECOMMENDATIONS
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