Investigating the link between Mainland-Indochina monsoon onset dates and cyclones over the Bay of Bengal basin

This study delves into the intricate connection between Mainland Indochina Southwest Monsoon (MSWM) onset dates and tropical cyclones (TCs) over the Bay of Bengal (BOB) and Arabian Sea (ABMS). Utilizing datasets like International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS), European Centre...

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Veröffentlicht in:Climate dynamics 2024-09, Vol.62 (9), p.8475-8496
Hauptverfasser: Oo, Kyaw Than, Chen, Haishan, Dong, Yinshuo, Jonah, Kazora
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Dong, Yinshuo
Jonah, Kazora
description This study delves into the intricate connection between Mainland Indochina Southwest Monsoon (MSWM) onset dates and tropical cyclones (TCs) over the Bay of Bengal (BOB) and Arabian Sea (ABMS). Utilizing datasets like International Best Track Archive for Climate Stewardship (IBTrACS), European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis data version 5 (ERA5), and Climate Hazards Group Infrared Precipitation with Station data (CHIRPS) daily rainfall data, the research highlights the influence of TCs on monsoon onset, emphasizing sea surface temperatures and rainfall intensity. The bimodal distribution of cyclones during early and late onset years is noted, during MSWM onset month May. Significant correlations emerge between cyclone frequency, monsoon onset dates, SST, and rainfall patterns. Employing a robust methodology, the study reveals a complex relationship between TCs and monsoon onset, with late-onset years experiencing higher TC numbers. Additionally, the research explores the influence of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), associating positive phases with late monsoon onset and negative phases with early onset and increased rainfall. However, interestingly ENSO has less influence than the TCs over the monsoon onset process. And TCs dynamic may influence cut-out monsoon flow from formal circulation. The findings underscore TCs' multifaceted role in shaping the monsoon, offering insights into intricate climate variables and cyclone dynamics in the northern Indian Ocean.
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subjects Arabian Sea
basins
Bay of Bengal
Climate
Climate change
Climatology
Cyclone dynamics
Cyclones
Daily rainfall
data collection
Earth and Environmental Science
Earth Sciences
El Nino
El Nino phenomena
El Nino-Southern Oscillation event
Environmental hazards
Geophysics/Geodesy
Hurricanes
Hydrologic data
Indian Ocean
Indochina
Infrared tracking
Medium-range forecasting
meteorological data
Monsoon onset
monsoon season
Monsoons
Oceanography
Original Article
Precipitation
rain
rain intensity
Rainfall
Rainfall data
Rainfall intensity
Rainfall patterns
Sea surface temperature
Southern Oscillation
Southwest monsoon
Stewardship
Surface temperature
Tropical cyclones
Weather forecasting
Wind
title Investigating the link between Mainland-Indochina monsoon onset dates and cyclones over the Bay of Bengal basin
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