Incorporating non-stationarity from climate change into rainfall frequency and intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) curves

•Focuses on covariate-based approach for non-stationary IDF curve estimation.•First to review topic of regionalization in a non-stationary context.•Reveals need for further research on duration and in snowmelt dominated regions.•Includes section specifically addressing IDF curves in the United State...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of hydrology (Amsterdam) 2023-01, Vol.616, p.128757, Article 128757
Hauptverfasser: Schlef, Katherine E., Kunkel, Kenneth E., Brown, Casey, Demissie, Yonas, Lettenmaier, Dennis P., Wagner, Anna, Wigmosta, Mark S., Karl, Thomas R., Easterling, David R., Wang, Kimberly J., François, Baptiste, Yan, Eugene
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container_start_page 128757
container_title Journal of hydrology (Amsterdam)
container_volume 616
creator Schlef, Katherine E.
Kunkel, Kenneth E.
Brown, Casey
Demissie, Yonas
Lettenmaier, Dennis P.
Wagner, Anna
Wigmosta, Mark S.
Karl, Thomas R.
Easterling, David R.
Wang, Kimberly J.
François, Baptiste
Yan, Eugene
description •Focuses on covariate-based approach for non-stationary IDF curve estimation.•First to review topic of regionalization in a non-stationary context.•Reveals need for further research on duration and in snowmelt dominated regions.•Includes section specifically addressing IDF curves in the United States. Intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) curves – sometimes also called precipitation frequency estimates – are used to design urban drainage systems for stormwater control and, when combined with hydrologic modeling, to design flood control infrastructure and other structures. However, common approaches to estimating IDF curves need to be revised to account for non-stationarity from global climate change. This review synthesizes the current knowledge and on-going research regarding IDF curves under non-stationarity. In particular, this review briefly summarizes known and projected changes in extreme precipitation at the global scale, describes approaches for IDF curve estimation under non-stationarity (focusing on the covariate-based approach and including a brief overview of the specific challenges facing snow-dominated regions), addresses the topic of regionalization under non-stationarity (which has been overlooked in previous reviews), explores the challenges of design values and uncertainty in the context of non-stationarity, provides details on these topics in the context of the United States, and finishes by enumerating needed avenues of future research.
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128757
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subjects Climate change
drainage
flood control
IDF curves
infrastructure
Non-stationarity
Precipitation frequency
rain
Regionalization
stormwater
uncertainty
title Incorporating non-stationarity from climate change into rainfall frequency and intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) curves
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