Analyzing the risk spillovers of international crude oil on China's corn and biofuel ethanol markets: A transition toward green economy and environmental sustainability
This study aims to analyze the risk spillover effects between the global crude oil market and the biofuel ethanol and corn markets in China, employing a DCC-GARCH-Copula-CoVaR model and basing the weekly price data from 2012 to 2021. The empirical results revealed that there were dynamic conditional...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Energy & environment (Essex, England) England), 2024-05, Vol.35 (3), p.1216-1234 |
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creator | Zhang, Jin Lin, Zhenqing Li, Jinkai |
description | This study aims to analyze the risk spillover effects between the global crude oil market and the biofuel ethanol and corn markets in China, employing a DCC-GARCH-Copula-CoVaR model and basing the weekly price data from 2012 to 2021. The empirical results revealed that there were dynamic conditional correlations among international crude oil, China's biofuel ethanol, and corn markets. Following the COVID-19 outbreak, the CoVaR and ΔCoVaR changed, which caused a sharp increase in the mean values and volatility. Additionally, China's biofuel ethanol market is more vulnerable to the risk spillovers from the international crude oil market than China's corn market. However, China's markets do not appear to have obvious risk spillover effects on the global market. The implications of the results are discussed in financial market supervision, including the risk management and portfolio adjustment. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1177/0958305X221140566 |
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The empirical results revealed that there were dynamic conditional correlations among international crude oil, China's biofuel ethanol, and corn markets. Following the COVID-19 outbreak, the CoVaR and ΔCoVaR changed, which caused a sharp increase in the mean values and volatility. Additionally, China's biofuel ethanol market is more vulnerable to the risk spillovers from the international crude oil market than China's corn market. However, China's markets do not appear to have obvious risk spillover effects on the global market. 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The empirical results revealed that there were dynamic conditional correlations among international crude oil, China's biofuel ethanol, and corn markets. Following the COVID-19 outbreak, the CoVaR and ΔCoVaR changed, which caused a sharp increase in the mean values and volatility. Additionally, China's biofuel ethanol market is more vulnerable to the risk spillovers from the international crude oil market than China's corn market. However, China's markets do not appear to have obvious risk spillover effects on the global market. The implications of the results are discussed in financial market supervision, including the risk management and portfolio adjustment.</description><subject>biofuels</subject><subject>corn</subject><subject>COVID-19 infection</subject><subject>economic sustainability</subject><subject>energy</subject><subject>environment</subject><subject>environmental sustainability</subject><subject>ethanol</subject><subject>petroleum</subject><subject>prices</subject><subject>risk</subject><subject>risk management</subject><subject>world markets</subject><issn>0958-305X</issn><issn>2048-4070</issn><issn>2048-4070</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2024</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNp9kc2OEzEQhC0EEmHhAbj1DS6za8_Y45hbFPEnrcQFJG4jj6edeNexg9uzq_BEPCYTwg2JUx-6vip1F2OvBb8WQusbbtS64-p72wohuer7J2zVcrluJNf8KVud981Z8Jy9ILrjvOVGmBX7tUk2nn6GtIO6RyiB7oGOIcb8gIUgewipYkm2hrwowZV5QsghQk6w3Ydk3xC4XBLYNMEYsp8xAta9TTnCwZZ7rPQONlCLTRTOLlDzoy0T7ApiAnQ55cPpD47pIZScDpjqEkUzVbsEjCGGenrJnnkbCV_9nVfs24f3X7efmtsvHz9vN7eN64SuzTRpY4T2uO5bxTvJ3Tja1nnpeym1VGi8H7XtXD-tudDYGy070xvTStGhaLsr9vbieyz5x4xUh0MghzHahHmmoROqU0oLJRapuEhdyUQF_XAsYTn5NAg-nFsZ_mllYa4vDNkdDnd5Xl4b6T_Ab1brkLU</recordid><startdate>202405</startdate><enddate>202405</enddate><creator>Zhang, Jin</creator><creator>Lin, Zhenqing</creator><creator>Li, Jinkai</creator><general>SAGE Publications</general><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7S9</scope><scope>L.6</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1374-598X</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>202405</creationdate><title>Analyzing the risk spillovers of international crude oil on China's corn and biofuel ethanol markets: A transition toward green economy and environmental sustainability</title><author>Zhang, Jin ; Lin, Zhenqing ; Li, Jinkai</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c317t-dd79917fe86250340cbba2cf4f644745e9ffb7a3c6d8017e6974396992413e123</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2024</creationdate><topic>biofuels</topic><topic>corn</topic><topic>COVID-19 infection</topic><topic>economic sustainability</topic><topic>energy</topic><topic>environment</topic><topic>environmental sustainability</topic><topic>ethanol</topic><topic>petroleum</topic><topic>prices</topic><topic>risk</topic><topic>risk management</topic><topic>world markets</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Zhang, Jin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lin, Zhenqing</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Li, Jinkai</creatorcontrib><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>AGRICOLA</collection><collection>AGRICOLA - Academic</collection><jtitle>Energy & environment (Essex, England)</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Zhang, Jin</au><au>Lin, Zhenqing</au><au>Li, Jinkai</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Analyzing the risk spillovers of international crude oil on China's corn and biofuel ethanol markets: A transition toward green economy and environmental sustainability</atitle><jtitle>Energy & environment (Essex, England)</jtitle><addtitle>Energy & Environment</addtitle><date>2024-05</date><risdate>2024</risdate><volume>35</volume><issue>3</issue><spage>1216</spage><epage>1234</epage><pages>1216-1234</pages><issn>0958-305X</issn><issn>2048-4070</issn><eissn>2048-4070</eissn><abstract>This study aims to analyze the risk spillover effects between the global crude oil market and the biofuel ethanol and corn markets in China, employing a DCC-GARCH-Copula-CoVaR model and basing the weekly price data from 2012 to 2021. 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subjects | biofuels corn COVID-19 infection economic sustainability energy environment environmental sustainability ethanol petroleum prices risk risk management world markets |
title | Analyzing the risk spillovers of international crude oil on China's corn and biofuel ethanol markets: A transition toward green economy and environmental sustainability |
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