Construction and Analysis of Risk Prediction Model of Eosinophilic Chronic Rhinosinusitis With Nasal Polyps: A Cross‐Sectional Study in Northwest China

ABSTRACT Objective To provide guidance for clinical endotypes by constructing a risk‐predictive model of eosinophilic chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps (ECRSwNP). Design A cross‐sectional study. Setting Single‐centre trial at tertiary medical institutions. Participants A cross‐sectional study...

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Veröffentlicht in:Clinical otolaryngology 2025-01, Vol.50 (1), p.39-45
Hauptverfasser: Yuan, Huajie, Yang, Yuping, Zhang, Bo, Li, Ang, Su, Jiang, Ding, Xiaoyan, Yan, Haisu, Zhang, Hua
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container_issue 1
container_start_page 39
container_title Clinical otolaryngology
container_volume 50
creator Yuan, Huajie
Yang, Yuping
Zhang, Bo
Li, Ang
Su, Jiang
Ding, Xiaoyan
Yan, Haisu
Zhang, Hua
description ABSTRACT Objective To provide guidance for clinical endotypes by constructing a risk‐predictive model of eosinophilic chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps (ECRSwNP). Design A cross‐sectional study. Setting Single‐centre trial at tertiary medical institutions. Participants A cross‐sectional study included 343 CRSwNP patients divided into ECRSwNP (n = 237) and non‐ECRSwNP (n = 106) groups using surgical pathology. Main Outcome Measures Single‐factor and multivariate analysis were used to identify statistically significant variables for constructing a nomogram, including the history of AR, hyposmia score, ethmoid sinus score, BEP and BEC. The model's performance was evaluated based on the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results Allergic rhinitis, hyposmia score, ethmoid sinus score, peripheral blood eosinophil percentage (BEP) and eosinophil count (BEC) were retained for the construction nomogram of ECRSwNP. The nomogram exhibited a certain accuracy, with an AUC of 0.897 (95% CI: 0.864–0.930), good agreement in the calibration curve and a 0.891 C‐index of internal validation. Moreover, the DCA with a threshold probability between 0.0167 and 1.00 indicated a higher net benefit and greater clinical utility. Conclusion The construction of a predictive risk model of ECRSwNP based on easily accessible factors could assist clinicians in more conveniently defining endotypes to make optimal diagnoses and treatment choices.
doi_str_mv 10.1111/coa.14225
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Design A cross‐sectional study. Setting Single‐centre trial at tertiary medical institutions. Participants A cross‐sectional study included 343 CRSwNP patients divided into ECRSwNP (n = 237) and non‐ECRSwNP (n = 106) groups using surgical pathology. Main Outcome Measures Single‐factor and multivariate analysis were used to identify statistically significant variables for constructing a nomogram, including the history of AR, hyposmia score, ethmoid sinus score, BEP and BEC. The model's performance was evaluated based on the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results Allergic rhinitis, hyposmia score, ethmoid sinus score, peripheral blood eosinophil percentage (BEP) and eosinophil count (BEC) were retained for the construction nomogram of ECRSwNP. The nomogram exhibited a certain accuracy, with an AUC of 0.897 (95% CI: 0.864–0.930), good agreement in the calibration curve and a 0.891 C‐index of internal validation. Moreover, the DCA with a threshold probability between 0.0167 and 1.00 indicated a higher net benefit and greater clinical utility. Conclusion The construction of a predictive risk model of ECRSwNP based on easily accessible factors could assist clinicians in more conveniently defining endotypes to make optimal diagnoses and treatment choices.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1749-4478</identifier><identifier>ISSN: 1749-4486</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1749-4486</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1111/coa.14225</identifier><identifier>PMID: 39275967</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>England: Wiley Subscription Services, Inc</publisher><subject>Adult ; Allergic rhinitis ; Calibration ; China - epidemiology ; Chronic Disease ; chronic rhinosinusitis ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Eosinophilia - complications ; Eosinophilia - diagnosis ; Eosinophilia - epidemiology ; Eosinophils ; Female ; Health care facilities ; Humans ; Leukocytes (eosinophilic) ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Multivariate analysis ; nasal polyps ; Nasal Polyps - complications ; Nasal Polyps - diagnosis ; Nasal Polyps - epidemiology ; nomogram ; Nomograms ; Olfaction disorders ; Peripheral blood ; Polyps ; Prediction models ; Predictions ; Rhinitis - complications ; Rhinitis - diagnosis ; Rhinosinusitis ; risk ; Risk Assessment ; ROC Curve ; Sinusitis - complications ; Sinusitis - diagnosis ; Sinusitis - epidemiology ; Statistical analysis</subject><ispartof>Clinical otolaryngology, 2025-01, Vol.50 (1), p.39-45</ispartof><rights>2024 John Wiley &amp; Sons Ltd.</rights><rights>2025 John Wiley &amp; Sons Ltd.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c2435-727a4a925b6ef912046e4c9e4c85c07ce8953c61131ca13bccd4e8d0728d15a03</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-3277-6183</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111%2Fcoa.14225$$EPDF$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111%2Fcoa.14225$$EHTML$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,1411,27901,27902,45550,45551</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/39275967$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Yuan, Huajie</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yang, Yuping</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhang, Bo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Li, Ang</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Su, Jiang</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ding, Xiaoyan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yan, Haisu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhang, Hua</creatorcontrib><title>Construction and Analysis of Risk Prediction Model of Eosinophilic Chronic Rhinosinusitis With Nasal Polyps: A Cross‐Sectional Study in Northwest China</title><title>Clinical otolaryngology</title><addtitle>Clin Otolaryngol</addtitle><description>ABSTRACT Objective To provide guidance for clinical endotypes by constructing a risk‐predictive model of eosinophilic chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps (ECRSwNP). Design A cross‐sectional study. Setting Single‐centre trial at tertiary medical institutions. Participants A cross‐sectional study included 343 CRSwNP patients divided into ECRSwNP (n = 237) and non‐ECRSwNP (n = 106) groups using surgical pathology. Main Outcome Measures Single‐factor and multivariate analysis were used to identify statistically significant variables for constructing a nomogram, including the history of AR, hyposmia score, ethmoid sinus score, BEP and BEC. The model's performance was evaluated based on the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results Allergic rhinitis, hyposmia score, ethmoid sinus score, peripheral blood eosinophil percentage (BEP) and eosinophil count (BEC) were retained for the construction nomogram of ECRSwNP. The nomogram exhibited a certain accuracy, with an AUC of 0.897 (95% CI: 0.864–0.930), good agreement in the calibration curve and a 0.891 C‐index of internal validation. Moreover, the DCA with a threshold probability between 0.0167 and 1.00 indicated a higher net benefit and greater clinical utility. 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Yang, Yuping ; Zhang, Bo ; Li, Ang ; Su, Jiang ; Ding, Xiaoyan ; Yan, Haisu ; Zhang, Hua</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c2435-727a4a925b6ef912046e4c9e4c85c07ce8953c61131ca13bccd4e8d0728d15a03</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2025</creationdate><topic>Adult</topic><topic>Allergic rhinitis</topic><topic>Calibration</topic><topic>China - epidemiology</topic><topic>Chronic Disease</topic><topic>chronic rhinosinusitis</topic><topic>Cross-Sectional Studies</topic><topic>Eosinophilia - complications</topic><topic>Eosinophilia - diagnosis</topic><topic>Eosinophilia - epidemiology</topic><topic>Eosinophils</topic><topic>Female</topic><topic>Health care facilities</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Leukocytes (eosinophilic)</topic><topic>Male</topic><topic>Middle Aged</topic><topic>Multivariate analysis</topic><topic>nasal polyps</topic><topic>Nasal Polyps - complications</topic><topic>Nasal Polyps - diagnosis</topic><topic>Nasal Polyps - epidemiology</topic><topic>nomogram</topic><topic>Nomograms</topic><topic>Olfaction disorders</topic><topic>Peripheral blood</topic><topic>Polyps</topic><topic>Prediction models</topic><topic>Predictions</topic><topic>Rhinitis - complications</topic><topic>Rhinitis - diagnosis</topic><topic>Rhinosinusitis</topic><topic>risk</topic><topic>Risk Assessment</topic><topic>ROC Curve</topic><topic>Sinusitis - complications</topic><topic>Sinusitis - diagnosis</topic><topic>Sinusitis - epidemiology</topic><topic>Statistical analysis</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Yuan, Huajie</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yang, Yuping</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhang, Bo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Li, Ang</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Su, Jiang</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ding, Xiaoyan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yan, Haisu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhang, Hua</creatorcontrib><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Technology Research Database</collection><collection>Engineering Research Database</collection><collection>ProQuest Health &amp; 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Design A cross‐sectional study. Setting Single‐centre trial at tertiary medical institutions. Participants A cross‐sectional study included 343 CRSwNP patients divided into ECRSwNP (n = 237) and non‐ECRSwNP (n = 106) groups using surgical pathology. Main Outcome Measures Single‐factor and multivariate analysis were used to identify statistically significant variables for constructing a nomogram, including the history of AR, hyposmia score, ethmoid sinus score, BEP and BEC. The model's performance was evaluated based on the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results Allergic rhinitis, hyposmia score, ethmoid sinus score, peripheral blood eosinophil percentage (BEP) and eosinophil count (BEC) were retained for the construction nomogram of ECRSwNP. The nomogram exhibited a certain accuracy, with an AUC of 0.897 (95% CI: 0.864–0.930), good agreement in the calibration curve and a 0.891 C‐index of internal validation. Moreover, the DCA with a threshold probability between 0.0167 and 1.00 indicated a higher net benefit and greater clinical utility. Conclusion The construction of a predictive risk model of ECRSwNP based on easily accessible factors could assist clinicians in more conveniently defining endotypes to make optimal diagnoses and treatment choices.</abstract><cop>England</cop><pub>Wiley Subscription Services, Inc</pub><pmid>39275967</pmid><doi>10.1111/coa.14225</doi><tpages>7</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3277-6183</orcidid></addata></record>
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source MEDLINE; Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete
subjects Adult
Allergic rhinitis
Calibration
China - epidemiology
Chronic Disease
chronic rhinosinusitis
Cross-Sectional Studies
Eosinophilia - complications
Eosinophilia - diagnosis
Eosinophilia - epidemiology
Eosinophils
Female
Health care facilities
Humans
Leukocytes (eosinophilic)
Male
Middle Aged
Multivariate analysis
nasal polyps
Nasal Polyps - complications
Nasal Polyps - diagnosis
Nasal Polyps - epidemiology
nomogram
Nomograms
Olfaction disorders
Peripheral blood
Polyps
Prediction models
Predictions
Rhinitis - complications
Rhinitis - diagnosis
Rhinosinusitis
risk
Risk Assessment
ROC Curve
Sinusitis - complications
Sinusitis - diagnosis
Sinusitis - epidemiology
Statistical analysis
title Construction and Analysis of Risk Prediction Model of Eosinophilic Chronic Rhinosinusitis With Nasal Polyps: A Cross‐Sectional Study in Northwest China
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