Potential impacts of climate change on cephalopods in a highly productive region (Northwest Pacific): Habitat suitability and management

Cephalopods occupy a mid-trophic level in marine ecosystems and are vital both ecologically and as fishery resources. However, under the pressure of climate change and fishing, the sustainability of cephalopod resources requires reasonable management. This study aims to study climate change and fishing impacts on the common economic cephalopod species habitats using species distribution models. We take the northwest Pacific Ocean region as an example, which stands out as a significant region for cephalopod production around the world. Results found that the habitats of cephalopods are moving to higher latitudes or deeper waters (Bohai Sea, mid-bottom Yellow Sea, and the Okinawa Trough waters) under climate change. Additionally, these regions are currently under lower fishing pressure, which suggests that species migration might mitigate the effects of warming and fishing. This study provides the large-scale assessment of the distribution range of cephalopods affected by climate change coping with fishing pressure in the northwest Pacific Ocean. By identifying climate refuges and key fishing grounds, we underscore the importance of this information for managing cephalopod resources in the context of climate adaptation and sustainable fishing practices. [Display omitted] •Cephalopods tend to shift their habitats to higher latitude regions or deeper waters.•Bohai Sea, mid-bottom Yellow Sea, and the Okinawa Trough waters may serve as potential climate refuges in the future.•Climate refuges may also protect cephalopods from high fishing pressure if that pressure is spatially fixed.•Management measures need to harmonize climate change impacts and fishing activities.