Role of anticoagulation therapy in modifying stroke risk associated with new-onset atrial fibrillation after non-cardiac surgery

The role of antithrombotic therapy in the prevention of ischemic stroke after non-cardiac surgery is unclear. In this study, we tested the hypothesis that the association of new-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) on ischemic stroke can be mitigated by postoperative oral anticoagulation t...

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Veröffentlicht in:Nature medicine 2024-11, Vol.30 (11), p.3310-3317
Hauptverfasser: Azimaraghi, Omid, Rudolph, Maíra I., Wongtangman, Karuna, Borngaesser, Felix, Doehne, Maya, Ng, Pauline Y., von Wedel, Dario, Eyth, Annika, Zou, Fengwei, Tam, Christopher, Sauer, William J., Kiyatkin, Michael E., Houle, Timothy T., Karaye, Ibraheem M., Zhang, Ling, Schaefer, Maximilian S., Schaefer, Simon T., Himes, Carina P., Grimm, Aline M., Nafiu, Olubukola O., Mpody, Christian, Suleiman, Aiman, Stiles, Brendon M., Di Biase, Luigi, Garcia, Mario J., Bhatt, Deepak L., Eikermann, Matthias
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container_end_page 3317
container_issue 11
container_start_page 3310
container_title Nature medicine
container_volume 30
creator Azimaraghi, Omid
Rudolph, Maíra I.
Wongtangman, Karuna
Borngaesser, Felix
Doehne, Maya
Ng, Pauline Y.
von Wedel, Dario
Eyth, Annika
Zou, Fengwei
Tam, Christopher
Sauer, William J.
Kiyatkin, Michael E.
Houle, Timothy T.
Karaye, Ibraheem M.
Zhang, Ling
Schaefer, Maximilian S.
Schaefer, Simon T.
Himes, Carina P.
Grimm, Aline M.
Nafiu, Olubukola O.
Mpody, Christian
Suleiman, Aiman
Stiles, Brendon M.
Di Biase, Luigi
Garcia, Mario J.
Bhatt, Deepak L.
Eikermann, Matthias
description The role of antithrombotic therapy in the prevention of ischemic stroke after non-cardiac surgery is unclear. In this study, we tested the hypothesis that the association of new-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) on ischemic stroke can be mitigated by postoperative oral anticoagulation therapy. Of 251,837 adult patients (155,111 female (61.6%) and 96,726 male (38.4%)) who underwent non-cardiac surgical procedures at two sites, POAF was detected in 4,538 (1.8%) patients. The occurrence of POAF was associated with increased 1-year ischemic stroke risk (3.6% versus 2.3%; adjusted risk ratio (RRadj) = 1.60 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.37–1.87), P  
doi_str_mv 10.1038/s41591-024-03206-0
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In this study, we tested the hypothesis that the association of new-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) on ischemic stroke can be mitigated by postoperative oral anticoagulation therapy. Of 251,837 adult patients (155,111 female (61.6%) and 96,726 male (38.4%)) who underwent non-cardiac surgical procedures at two sites, POAF was detected in 4,538 (1.8%) patients. The occurrence of POAF was associated with increased 1-year ischemic stroke risk (3.6% versus 2.3%; adjusted risk ratio (RRadj) = 1.60 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.37–1.87), P  &lt; 0.001). In patients with POAF, the risk of developing stroke attributable to POAF was 1.81 (95% CI: 1.44–2.28; P  &lt; 0.001) without oral anticoagulation, whereas, in patients treated with anticoagulation, no significant association was observed between POAF and stroke (RRadj = 1.04 (95% CI: 0.71–1.51), P  = 0.847, P for interaction = 0.013). Furthermore, we derived and validated a computational model for the prediction of POAF after non-cardiac surgery based on demographics, comorbidities and procedural risk. These findings suggest that POAF is predictable and associated with an increased risk of postoperative ischemic stroke in patients who do not receive postoperative anticoagulation. 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In this study, we tested the hypothesis that the association of new-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) on ischemic stroke can be mitigated by postoperative oral anticoagulation therapy. Of 251,837 adult patients (155,111 female (61.6%) and 96,726 male (38.4%)) who underwent non-cardiac surgical procedures at two sites, POAF was detected in 4,538 (1.8%) patients. The occurrence of POAF was associated with increased 1-year ischemic stroke risk (3.6% versus 2.3%; adjusted risk ratio (RRadj) = 1.60 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.37–1.87), P  &lt; 0.001). In patients with POAF, the risk of developing stroke attributable to POAF was 1.81 (95% CI: 1.44–2.28; P  &lt; 0.001) without oral anticoagulation, whereas, in patients treated with anticoagulation, no significant association was observed between POAF and stroke (RRadj = 1.04 (95% CI: 0.71–1.51), P  = 0.847, P for interaction = 0.013). Furthermore, we derived and validated a computational model for the prediction of POAF after non-cardiac surgery based on demographics, comorbidities and procedural risk. These findings suggest that POAF is predictable and associated with an increased risk of postoperative ischemic stroke in patients who do not receive postoperative anticoagulation. In a large cohort of patients who underwent non-cardiac surgery, postoperative prescription of oral anticoagulation medication decreased the risk of stroke in patients with postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF), especially for patients deemed to be at high risk for POAF based on a newly developed risk score.</description><subject>692/308/409</subject><subject>692/617/375/534</subject><subject>Anticoagulants</subject><subject>Biomedical and Life Sciences</subject><subject>Biomedicine</subject><subject>Cancer Research</subject><subject>Cardiac arrhythmia</subject><subject>Comorbidity</subject><subject>Fibrillation</subject><subject>Health risks</subject><subject>Heart</subject><subject>Infectious Diseases</subject><subject>Ischemia</subject><subject>Metabolic Diseases</subject><subject>Molecular Medicine</subject><subject>Neurosciences</subject><subject>Risk</subject><subject>Stroke</subject><subject>Surgery</subject><subject>Therapy</subject><issn>1078-8956</issn><issn>1546-170X</issn><issn>1546-170X</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2024</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNp9kc2LVSEYhyWKZubWP9AihDZtrNev43EZQx8DA0EUtBM9R-84c67e1MNwd_3pWfdW0CIXKvj4e199EHpG4RUFPr6ugkpNCTBBgDMYCDxA51SKgVAFXx_2PaiRjFoOZ-ii1lsA4CD1Y3TGNVV6lOIcff-UF49zwDa1OGW7XRfbYk643fhi9wccE97lOYZDTFtcW8l3HpdY77CtNU_RNj_j-9hucPL3JKfqG7atRLvgEF2JyynOhuYLTjmRyZY52gnXtWx9OTxBj4Jdqn96Wjfoy7u3ny8_kOuP768u31yTicmhES-kGtnklOWWC9Bzf9bMB00DyJmNWjkt3aDZpKT12jk3BxeUsDwAU1yNfINeHnP3JX9bfW1mF-vke3_J57UaDnrogwHr6It_0Nu8ltS7M5yyUQxMCN4pdqSmkmstPph9iTtbDoaC-enHHP2Y7sf88tPnDXp-il7dzs9_rvwW0gF-BGo_Sv2D_tb-T-wPpDSdTA</recordid><startdate>20241101</startdate><enddate>20241101</enddate><creator>Azimaraghi, Omid</creator><creator>Rudolph, Maíra I.</creator><creator>Wongtangman, Karuna</creator><creator>Borngaesser, Felix</creator><creator>Doehne, Maya</creator><creator>Ng, Pauline Y.</creator><creator>von Wedel, Dario</creator><creator>Eyth, Annika</creator><creator>Zou, Fengwei</creator><creator>Tam, Christopher</creator><creator>Sauer, William J.</creator><creator>Kiyatkin, Michael E.</creator><creator>Houle, Timothy T.</creator><creator>Karaye, Ibraheem M.</creator><creator>Zhang, Ling</creator><creator>Schaefer, Maximilian S.</creator><creator>Schaefer, Simon T.</creator><creator>Himes, Carina P.</creator><creator>Grimm, Aline M.</creator><creator>Nafiu, Olubukola O.</creator><creator>Mpody, Christian</creator><creator>Suleiman, Aiman</creator><creator>Stiles, Brendon M.</creator><creator>Di Biase, Luigi</creator><creator>Garcia, Mario J.</creator><creator>Bhatt, Deepak L.</creator><creator>Eikermann, Matthias</creator><general>Nature Publishing Group US</general><general>Nature Publishing Group</general><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7QG</scope><scope>7QL</scope><scope>7QP</scope><scope>7QR</scope><scope>7T5</scope><scope>7TK</scope><scope>7TM</scope><scope>7TO</scope><scope>7U7</scope><scope>7U9</scope><scope>8FD</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>FR3</scope><scope>H94</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>M7N</scope><scope>P64</scope><scope>RC3</scope><scope>7X8</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0009-0009-6431-2525</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7893-0596</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0009-0009-1610-0907</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2307-0864</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1278-6245</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>20241101</creationdate><title>Role of anticoagulation therapy in modifying stroke risk associated with new-onset atrial fibrillation after non-cardiac surgery</title><author>Azimaraghi, Omid ; 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In this study, we tested the hypothesis that the association of new-onset postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) on ischemic stroke can be mitigated by postoperative oral anticoagulation therapy. Of 251,837 adult patients (155,111 female (61.6%) and 96,726 male (38.4%)) who underwent non-cardiac surgical procedures at two sites, POAF was detected in 4,538 (1.8%) patients. The occurrence of POAF was associated with increased 1-year ischemic stroke risk (3.6% versus 2.3%; adjusted risk ratio (RRadj) = 1.60 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.37–1.87), P  &lt; 0.001). In patients with POAF, the risk of developing stroke attributable to POAF was 1.81 (95% CI: 1.44–2.28; P  &lt; 0.001) without oral anticoagulation, whereas, in patients treated with anticoagulation, no significant association was observed between POAF and stroke (RRadj = 1.04 (95% CI: 0.71–1.51), P  = 0.847, P for interaction = 0.013). Furthermore, we derived and validated a computational model for the prediction of POAF after non-cardiac surgery based on demographics, comorbidities and procedural risk. These findings suggest that POAF is predictable and associated with an increased risk of postoperative ischemic stroke in patients who do not receive postoperative anticoagulation. In a large cohort of patients who underwent non-cardiac surgery, postoperative prescription of oral anticoagulation medication decreased the risk of stroke in patients with postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF), especially for patients deemed to be at high risk for POAF based on a newly developed risk score.</abstract><cop>New York</cop><pub>Nature Publishing Group US</pub><pmid>39179854</pmid><doi>10.1038/s41591-024-03206-0</doi><tpages>8</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0009-0009-6431-2525</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7893-0596</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0009-0009-1610-0907</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2307-0864</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1278-6245</orcidid></addata></record>
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1546-170X
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source Springer Nature - Complete Springer Journals; Nature Journals Online
subjects 692/308/409
692/617/375/534
Anticoagulants
Biomedical and Life Sciences
Biomedicine
Cancer Research
Cardiac arrhythmia
Comorbidity
Fibrillation
Health risks
Heart
Infectious Diseases
Ischemia
Metabolic Diseases
Molecular Medicine
Neurosciences
Risk
Stroke
Surgery
Therapy
title Role of anticoagulation therapy in modifying stroke risk associated with new-onset atrial fibrillation after non-cardiac surgery
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