Temporal trends in respiratory pathogens following the COVID‐19 pandemic and climate variables: A unicentric retrospective evaluation of 24 pathogens in a temperate subtropical region
Temperature and humidity are studied in the context of seasonal infections in temperate and tropical zones, but the relationship between viral trends and climate variables in temperate subtropical zones remains underexplored. Our retrospective study analyzes respiratory pathogen incidence and its co...
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| creator | Decker, Sérgio Renato da Rosa Wolf, Jonas Michel Pille, Arthur Freese, Luana Petek, Helena Oliveira Rocha, Bruna Giannini, Gabriela Luchiari Tumioto Bristot, Giovana Andreis, Tiago Finger Oliveira, Francine Hehn Hoffmann, Emerson dos Santos Kunde, Luciana Kern, Marcelo Schmitz, Paulo Maccari, Juçara Nedel, Wagner Zavascki, Alexandre Prehn Rosa, Regis Goulart Mutlaq, Mohamed Parrini Nasi, Luiz Antônio |
| description | Temperature and humidity are studied in the context of seasonal infections in temperate and tropical zones, but the relationship between viral trends and climate variables in temperate subtropical zones remains underexplored. Our retrospective study analyzes respiratory pathogen incidence and its correlation with climate data in a subtropical zone. Retrospective observational study at Moinhos de Vento Hospital, South Brazil, aiming to assess seasonal trends in respiratory pathogens, correlating them with climate data. The study included patients of all ages from various healthcare settings, with data collected between April 2022 and July 2023. Biological samples were analyzed for 24 pathogens using polymerase chain reaction and hybridization techniques; demographic variables were also collected. The data was analyzed descriptively and graphically. Spearman tests and Poisson regression were used as correlation tests. Tests were clustered according to all pathogens, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS‐CoV‐2), influenza viruses, rhinovirus, and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). Between April 2022 and July 2023, 3329 tests showed a 71.6% positivity rate. Rhinovirus and RSV predominated, exhibiting seasonal patterns. Temperature was inversely correlated with the viruses, notably rhinovirus, but SARS‐CoV‐2 was positively correlated. Air humidity was positively correlated with all pathogens, RSV, rhinovirus, and atmospheric pressure with all pathogens and rhinovirus. Our results showed statistically significant correlations, with modest effect sizes. Our study did not evaluate causation effects. Despite the correlation between climate and respiratory pathogens, our work suggests additional factors influencing transmission dynamics. Our findings underscore the complex interplay between climate and respiratory infections in subtropical climates. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1002/jmv.29797 |
| format | Article |
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Our retrospective study analyzes respiratory pathogen incidence and its correlation with climate data in a subtropical zone. Retrospective observational study at Moinhos de Vento Hospital, South Brazil, aiming to assess seasonal trends in respiratory pathogens, correlating them with climate data. The study included patients of all ages from various healthcare settings, with data collected between April 2022 and July 2023. Biological samples were analyzed for 24 pathogens using polymerase chain reaction and hybridization techniques; demographic variables were also collected. The data was analyzed descriptively and graphically. Spearman tests and Poisson regression were used as correlation tests. Tests were clustered according to all pathogens, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS‐CoV‐2), influenza viruses, rhinovirus, and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). Between April 2022 and July 2023, 3329 tests showed a 71.6% positivity rate. Rhinovirus and RSV predominated, exhibiting seasonal patterns. Temperature was inversely correlated with the viruses, notably rhinovirus, but SARS‐CoV‐2 was positively correlated. Air humidity was positively correlated with all pathogens, RSV, rhinovirus, and atmospheric pressure with all pathogens and rhinovirus. Our results showed statistically significant correlations, with modest effect sizes. Our study did not evaluate causation effects. Despite the correlation between climate and respiratory pathogens, our work suggests additional factors influencing transmission dynamics. Our findings underscore the complex interplay between climate and respiratory infections in subtropical climates.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0146-6615</identifier><identifier>ISSN: 1096-9071</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1096-9071</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1002/jmv.29797</identifier><identifier>PMID: 38988215</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>United States: Wiley Subscription Services, Inc</publisher><subject>Adolescent ; Adult ; Aged ; Aged, 80 and over ; Air temperature ; Biological properties ; Biological samples ; Brazil - epidemiology ; Child ; Child, Preschool ; Climate ; Climate change ; Climatic data ; Coronaviruses ; Correlation ; COVID-19 ; COVID-19 - epidemiology ; COVID-19 - transmission ; COVID-19 - virology ; Data analysis ; Demographic variables ; Female ; Humans ; Humidity ; Hybridization ; Incidence ; Infant ; Infant, Newborn ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Observational studies ; Pandemics ; Pathogens ; Polymerase chain reaction ; postpandemic ; Pressure effects ; Public health ; Respiratory diseases ; respiratory infections ; Respiratory syncytial virus ; Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections - epidemiology ; Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections - virology ; Respiratory tract infection ; Respiratory Tract Infections - epidemiology ; Respiratory Tract Infections - virology ; Retrospective Studies ; Rhinovirus ; Rhinovirus - genetics ; Rhinovirus - isolation & purification ; SARS-CoV-2 - genetics ; SARS-CoV-2 - isolation & purification ; SARS‐CoV‐2 ; Seasonal variations ; Seasons ; Severe acute respiratory syndrome ; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 ; Statistical analysis ; Subtropical zones ; temperate subtropical ; Temperature ; Trends ; Tropical Climate ; Viral diseases ; Young Adult</subject><ispartof>Journal of medical virology, 2024-07, Vol.96 (7), p.e29797-n/a</ispartof><rights>2024 Wiley Periodicals LLC.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c2437-15747d5395b5970764c6627c75166ba21d3787c797ede2e9f70c93947b77116a3</cites><orcidid>0000-0001-6989-3079</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002%2Fjmv.29797$$EPDF$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002%2Fjmv.29797$$EHTML$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,777,781,1412,27905,27906,45555,45556</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/38988215$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Decker, Sérgio Renato da Rosa</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wolf, Jonas Michel</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pille, Arthur</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Freese, Luana</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Petek, Helena</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Oliveira Rocha, Bruna</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Giannini, Gabriela Luchiari Tumioto</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bristot, Giovana</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Andreis, Tiago Finger</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Oliveira, Francine Hehn</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hoffmann, Emerson dos Santos</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kunde, Luciana</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kern, Marcelo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Schmitz, Paulo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Maccari, Juçara</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Nedel, Wagner</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zavascki, Alexandre Prehn</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Rosa, Regis Goulart</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mutlaq, Mohamed Parrini</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Nasi, Luiz Antônio</creatorcontrib><title>Temporal trends in respiratory pathogens following the COVID‐19 pandemic and climate variables: A unicentric retrospective evaluation of 24 pathogens in a temperate subtropical region</title><title>Journal of medical virology</title><addtitle>J Med Virol</addtitle><description>Temperature and humidity are studied in the context of seasonal infections in temperate and tropical zones, but the relationship between viral trends and climate variables in temperate subtropical zones remains underexplored. Our retrospective study analyzes respiratory pathogen incidence and its correlation with climate data in a subtropical zone. Retrospective observational study at Moinhos de Vento Hospital, South Brazil, aiming to assess seasonal trends in respiratory pathogens, correlating them with climate data. The study included patients of all ages from various healthcare settings, with data collected between April 2022 and July 2023. Biological samples were analyzed for 24 pathogens using polymerase chain reaction and hybridization techniques; demographic variables were also collected. The data was analyzed descriptively and graphically. Spearman tests and Poisson regression were used as correlation tests. Tests were clustered according to all pathogens, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS‐CoV‐2), influenza viruses, rhinovirus, and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). Between April 2022 and July 2023, 3329 tests showed a 71.6% positivity rate. Rhinovirus and RSV predominated, exhibiting seasonal patterns. Temperature was inversely correlated with the viruses, notably rhinovirus, but SARS‐CoV‐2 was positively correlated. Air humidity was positively correlated with all pathogens, RSV, rhinovirus, and atmospheric pressure with all pathogens and rhinovirus. Our results showed statistically significant correlations, with modest effect sizes. Our study did not evaluate causation effects. Despite the correlation between climate and respiratory pathogens, our work suggests additional factors influencing transmission dynamics. Our findings underscore the complex interplay between climate and respiratory infections in subtropical climates.</description><subject>Adolescent</subject><subject>Adult</subject><subject>Aged</subject><subject>Aged, 80 and over</subject><subject>Air temperature</subject><subject>Biological properties</subject><subject>Biological samples</subject><subject>Brazil - epidemiology</subject><subject>Child</subject><subject>Child, Preschool</subject><subject>Climate</subject><subject>Climate change</subject><subject>Climatic data</subject><subject>Coronaviruses</subject><subject>Correlation</subject><subject>COVID-19</subject><subject>COVID-19 - epidemiology</subject><subject>COVID-19 - transmission</subject><subject>COVID-19 - virology</subject><subject>Data analysis</subject><subject>Demographic variables</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Humidity</subject><subject>Hybridization</subject><subject>Incidence</subject><subject>Infant</subject><subject>Infant, Newborn</subject><subject>Male</subject><subject>Middle Aged</subject><subject>Observational studies</subject><subject>Pandemics</subject><subject>Pathogens</subject><subject>Polymerase chain reaction</subject><subject>postpandemic</subject><subject>Pressure effects</subject><subject>Public health</subject><subject>Respiratory diseases</subject><subject>respiratory infections</subject><subject>Respiratory syncytial virus</subject><subject>Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections - epidemiology</subject><subject>Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections - virology</subject><subject>Respiratory tract infection</subject><subject>Respiratory Tract Infections - epidemiology</subject><subject>Respiratory Tract Infections - virology</subject><subject>Retrospective Studies</subject><subject>Rhinovirus</subject><subject>Rhinovirus - genetics</subject><subject>Rhinovirus - isolation & purification</subject><subject>SARS-CoV-2 - genetics</subject><subject>SARS-CoV-2 - isolation & purification</subject><subject>SARS‐CoV‐2</subject><subject>Seasonal variations</subject><subject>Seasons</subject><subject>Severe acute respiratory syndrome</subject><subject>Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2</subject><subject>Statistical analysis</subject><subject>Subtropical zones</subject><subject>temperate subtropical</subject><subject>Temperature</subject><subject>Trends</subject><subject>Tropical Climate</subject><subject>Viral diseases</subject><subject>Young Adult</subject><issn>0146-6615</issn><issn>1096-9071</issn><issn>1096-9071</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2024</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><recordid>eNp1kcFu1DAURS1ERYfCgh9Alti0i7S2k9gxu2oobVFRN6XbyHFeph45drCdqWbHJ_A7_A5fgtspCCGxenrSufddvYvQG0qOKSHsZD1ujpkUUjxDC0okLyQR9DlaEFrxgnNa76OXMa4JIY1k7AXaLxvZNIzWC_TjBsbJB2VxCuD6iI3DAeJkgko-bPGk0p1fgYt48Nb6e-NWON0BXl7fXn74-e07lRlxPYxG4zyxtmZUCfBGBaM6C_E9PsWzMxpcCpkJkIKPE-hkNoBho-yskvEO-wGz6q9zOYfCKYeD8OAX5y4LJ6Nz0gCrrHiF9gZlI7x-mgfoy8ezm-VFcXV9frk8vSo0q0pR0FpUoq9LWXe1FETwSnPOhBY15bxTjPalaPIqBfTAQA6CaFnKSnRCUMpVeYAOd75T8F9niKkdTdRgrXLg59iWJOspl6zJ6Lt_0LWfg8vpMtXUjJBKVJk62lE6fyIGGNop5KeFbUtJ-9Bnm_tsH_vM7Nsnx7kbof9D_i4wAyc74N5Y2P7fqf30-XZn-QuPkazd</recordid><startdate>202407</startdate><enddate>202407</enddate><creator>Decker, Sérgio Renato da Rosa</creator><creator>Wolf, Jonas Michel</creator><creator>Pille, Arthur</creator><creator>Freese, Luana</creator><creator>Petek, Helena</creator><creator>Oliveira Rocha, Bruna</creator><creator>Giannini, Gabriela Luchiari Tumioto</creator><creator>Bristot, Giovana</creator><creator>Andreis, Tiago Finger</creator><creator>Oliveira, Francine Hehn</creator><creator>Hoffmann, Emerson dos Santos</creator><creator>Kunde, Luciana</creator><creator>Kern, Marcelo</creator><creator>Schmitz, Paulo</creator><creator>Maccari, Juçara</creator><creator>Nedel, Wagner</creator><creator>Zavascki, Alexandre Prehn</creator><creator>Rosa, Regis Goulart</creator><creator>Mutlaq, Mohamed Parrini</creator><creator>Nasi, Luiz Antônio</creator><general>Wiley Subscription Services, Inc</general><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7QL</scope><scope>7TK</scope><scope>7U9</scope><scope>8FD</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>FR3</scope><scope>H94</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>M7N</scope><scope>P64</scope><scope>RC3</scope><scope>7X8</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6989-3079</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>202407</creationdate><title>Temporal trends in respiratory pathogens following the COVID‐19 pandemic and climate variables: A unicentric retrospective evaluation of 24 pathogens in a temperate subtropical region</title><author>Decker, Sérgio Renato da Rosa ; Wolf, Jonas Michel ; Pille, Arthur ; Freese, Luana ; Petek, Helena ; Oliveira Rocha, Bruna ; Giannini, Gabriela Luchiari Tumioto ; Bristot, Giovana ; Andreis, Tiago Finger ; Oliveira, Francine Hehn ; Hoffmann, Emerson dos Santos ; Kunde, Luciana ; Kern, Marcelo ; Schmitz, Paulo ; Maccari, Juçara ; Nedel, Wagner ; Zavascki, Alexandre Prehn ; Rosa, Regis Goulart ; Mutlaq, Mohamed Parrini ; Nasi, Luiz Antônio</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c2437-15747d5395b5970764c6627c75166ba21d3787c797ede2e9f70c93947b77116a3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2024</creationdate><topic>Adolescent</topic><topic>Adult</topic><topic>Aged</topic><topic>Aged, 80 and over</topic><topic>Air temperature</topic><topic>Biological properties</topic><topic>Biological samples</topic><topic>Brazil - 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Our retrospective study analyzes respiratory pathogen incidence and its correlation with climate data in a subtropical zone. Retrospective observational study at Moinhos de Vento Hospital, South Brazil, aiming to assess seasonal trends in respiratory pathogens, correlating them with climate data. The study included patients of all ages from various healthcare settings, with data collected between April 2022 and July 2023. Biological samples were analyzed for 24 pathogens using polymerase chain reaction and hybridization techniques; demographic variables were also collected. The data was analyzed descriptively and graphically. Spearman tests and Poisson regression were used as correlation tests. Tests were clustered according to all pathogens, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS‐CoV‐2), influenza viruses, rhinovirus, and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). Between April 2022 and July 2023, 3329 tests showed a 71.6% positivity rate. Rhinovirus and RSV predominated, exhibiting seasonal patterns. Temperature was inversely correlated with the viruses, notably rhinovirus, but SARS‐CoV‐2 was positively correlated. Air humidity was positively correlated with all pathogens, RSV, rhinovirus, and atmospheric pressure with all pathogens and rhinovirus. Our results showed statistically significant correlations, with modest effect sizes. Our study did not evaluate causation effects. Despite the correlation between climate and respiratory pathogens, our work suggests additional factors influencing transmission dynamics. Our findings underscore the complex interplay between climate and respiratory infections in subtropical climates.</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>Wiley Subscription Services, Inc</pub><pmid>38988215</pmid><doi>10.1002/jmv.29797</doi><tpages>7</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6989-3079</orcidid></addata></record> |
| fulltext | fulltext |
| identifier | ISSN: 0146-6615 |
| ispartof | Journal of medical virology, 2024-07, Vol.96 (7), p.e29797-n/a |
| issn | 0146-6615 1096-9071 1096-9071 |
| language | eng |
| recordid | cdi_proquest_miscellaneous_3078716928 |
| source | MEDLINE; Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete |
| subjects | Adolescent Adult Aged Aged, 80 and over Air temperature Biological properties Biological samples Brazil - epidemiology Child Child, Preschool Climate Climate change Climatic data Coronaviruses Correlation COVID-19 COVID-19 - epidemiology COVID-19 - transmission COVID-19 - virology Data analysis Demographic variables Female Humans Humidity Hybridization Incidence Infant Infant, Newborn Male Middle Aged Observational studies Pandemics Pathogens Polymerase chain reaction postpandemic Pressure effects Public health Respiratory diseases respiratory infections Respiratory syncytial virus Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections - epidemiology Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections - virology Respiratory tract infection Respiratory Tract Infections - epidemiology Respiratory Tract Infections - virology Retrospective Studies Rhinovirus Rhinovirus - genetics Rhinovirus - isolation & purification SARS-CoV-2 - genetics SARS-CoV-2 - isolation & purification SARS‐CoV‐2 Seasonal variations Seasons Severe acute respiratory syndrome Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 Statistical analysis Subtropical zones temperate subtropical Temperature Trends Tropical Climate Viral diseases Young Adult |
| title | Temporal trends in respiratory pathogens following the COVID‐19 pandemic and climate variables: A unicentric retrospective evaluation of 24 pathogens in a temperate subtropical region |
| url | https://sfx.bib-bvb.de/sfx_tum?ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info:ofi/enc:UTF-8&ctx_tim=2025-01-18T17%3A29%3A20IST&url_ver=Z39.88-2004&url_ctx_fmt=infofi/fmt:kev:mtx:ctx&rfr_id=info:sid/primo.exlibrisgroup.com:primo3-Article-proquest_cross&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Temporal%20trends%20in%20respiratory%20pathogens%20following%20the%20COVID%E2%80%9019%20pandemic%20and%20climate%20variables:%20A%20unicentric%20retrospective%20evaluation%20of%2024%20pathogens%20in%20a%20temperate%20subtropical%20region&rft.jtitle=Journal%20of%20medical%20virology&rft.au=Decker,%20S%C3%A9rgio%20Renato%20da%20Rosa&rft.date=2024-07&rft.volume=96&rft.issue=7&rft.spage=e29797&rft.epage=n/a&rft.pages=e29797-n/a&rft.issn=0146-6615&rft.eissn=1096-9071&rft_id=info:doi/10.1002/jmv.29797&rft_dat=%3Cproquest_cross%3E3078716928%3C/proquest_cross%3E%3Curl%3E%3C/url%3E&disable_directlink=true&sfx.directlink=off&sfx.report_link=0&rft_id=info:oai/&rft_pqid=3085200474&rft_id=info:pmid/38988215&rfr_iscdi=true |