The systemic inflammation score is a prognostic factor for patients with ischemic stroke who have not undergone intravenous thrombolysis or endovascular thrombectomy therapy

The systemic inflammation score (SIS) has been utilised as a representative biomarker for evaluating nutritional and inflammation status. However, the predictive value of SIS has not been reported in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS). We aimed to evaluate whether SIS is associated with progn...

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Veröffentlicht in:Clinical neurology and neurosurgery 2024-04, Vol.239, p.108220-108220, Article 108220
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description The systemic inflammation score (SIS) has been utilised as a representative biomarker for evaluating nutritional and inflammation status. However, the predictive value of SIS has not been reported in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS). We aimed to evaluate whether SIS is associated with prognosis in stroke. A total of 4801 patients with AIS were included in the study. The primary outcome was a modified Rankin Scale score>2 at the 3-month follow-up. A total of 4801 patients were randomly allocated into training (n=3361) and validation cohorts (n=1440) at a ratio of 7:3. Model performance was validated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve. Additionally, a comparison was made between the nomogram and the THRIVE score in regards to their respective predictive capabilities. Overall, 1091(32.5%) patients in the training cohort and 446 (31.0%) patients in the validation cohort experienced an unfavorable outcome. The multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that a high SIS, age, NIHSS, diabetes and prior stroke were associated with unfavorable outcome. Our nomogram was developed based on the variables mentioned above. The area under the curve (AUC) of the training set and the validation set are 0.702 and 0.708, respectively, indicating that the model has modest agreement and discrimination. The results of AUC, net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) showed that nomogram had significantly higher predictive value than THRIVE scores (all P
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However, the predictive value of SIS has not been reported in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS). We aimed to evaluate whether SIS is associated with prognosis in stroke. A total of 4801 patients with AIS were included in the study. The primary outcome was a modified Rankin Scale score&gt;2 at the 3-month follow-up. A total of 4801 patients were randomly allocated into training (n=3361) and validation cohorts (n=1440) at a ratio of 7:3. Model performance was validated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve. Additionally, a comparison was made between the nomogram and the THRIVE score in regards to their respective predictive capabilities. Overall, 1091(32.5%) patients in the training cohort and 446 (31.0%) patients in the validation cohort experienced an unfavorable outcome. The multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that a high SIS, age, NIHSS, diabetes and prior stroke were associated with unfavorable outcome. Our nomogram was developed based on the variables mentioned above. The area under the curve (AUC) of the training set and the validation set are 0.702 and 0.708, respectively, indicating that the model has modest agreement and discrimination. The results of AUC, net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) showed that nomogram had significantly higher predictive value than THRIVE scores (all P&lt;0.001). However, unlike the THRIVE publication, all patients who had undergone intravenous thrombolysis or endovascular thrombectomy therapy were excluded in our study. In consequence, our derived THRIVE scores cannot be compared to those in the original THRIVE study. The SIS exhibits potential as a simple prognostic biomarker, and the nomogram, which utilizes the SIS, may serve as a valuable tool for clinicians in the early identification of patients at heightened risk for unfavorable outcomes. •The predictive value of systemic inflammation score (SIS) has not been reported in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS).•We aimed to prospectively investigate whether SIS is associated with the prognosis of ischemic stroke patients in a large-scale cohort study.•The nomogram based on SIS may serve as a valuable tool for clinicians identifying patients at heightened risk for unfavorable outcomes.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0303-8467</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1872-6968</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1016/j.clineuro.2024.108220</identifier><identifier>PMID: 38447484</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Netherlands: Elsevier B.V</publisher><subject>Acute ischemic stroke ; Biomarker ; Biomarkers ; Blood pressure ; Calibration ; Cancer ; Cardiac arrhythmia ; Cardiovascular system ; Diabetes ; Diabetes mellitus ; Inflammation ; Intravenous administration ; Ischemia ; Lymphocytes ; Medical prognosis ; Nomograms ; Normal distribution ; Probability ; Prognosis ; Reclassification ; Regression analysis ; Risk factors ; Stroke ; Systemic inflammation score ; Thrombolysis ; Thrombolytic drugs</subject><ispartof>Clinical neurology and neurosurgery, 2024-04, Vol.239, p.108220-108220, Article 108220</ispartof><rights>2024</rights><rights>Copyright © 2024. 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However, the predictive value of SIS has not been reported in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS). We aimed to evaluate whether SIS is associated with prognosis in stroke. A total of 4801 patients with AIS were included in the study. The primary outcome was a modified Rankin Scale score&gt;2 at the 3-month follow-up. A total of 4801 patients were randomly allocated into training (n=3361) and validation cohorts (n=1440) at a ratio of 7:3. Model performance was validated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve. Additionally, a comparison was made between the nomogram and the THRIVE score in regards to their respective predictive capabilities. Overall, 1091(32.5%) patients in the training cohort and 446 (31.0%) patients in the validation cohort experienced an unfavorable outcome. The multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that a high SIS, age, NIHSS, diabetes and prior stroke were associated with unfavorable outcome. Our nomogram was developed based on the variables mentioned above. The area under the curve (AUC) of the training set and the validation set are 0.702 and 0.708, respectively, indicating that the model has modest agreement and discrimination. The results of AUC, net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) showed that nomogram had significantly higher predictive value than THRIVE scores (all P&lt;0.001). However, unlike the THRIVE publication, all patients who had undergone intravenous thrombolysis or endovascular thrombectomy therapy were excluded in our study. In consequence, our derived THRIVE scores cannot be compared to those in the original THRIVE study. 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However, the predictive value of SIS has not been reported in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS). We aimed to evaluate whether SIS is associated with prognosis in stroke. A total of 4801 patients with AIS were included in the study. The primary outcome was a modified Rankin Scale score&gt;2 at the 3-month follow-up. A total of 4801 patients were randomly allocated into training (n=3361) and validation cohorts (n=1440) at a ratio of 7:3. Model performance was validated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve. Additionally, a comparison was made between the nomogram and the THRIVE score in regards to their respective predictive capabilities. Overall, 1091(32.5%) patients in the training cohort and 446 (31.0%) patients in the validation cohort experienced an unfavorable outcome. The multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that a high SIS, age, NIHSS, diabetes and prior stroke were associated with unfavorable outcome. Our nomogram was developed based on the variables mentioned above. The area under the curve (AUC) of the training set and the validation set are 0.702 and 0.708, respectively, indicating that the model has modest agreement and discrimination. The results of AUC, net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) showed that nomogram had significantly higher predictive value than THRIVE scores (all P&lt;0.001). However, unlike the THRIVE publication, all patients who had undergone intravenous thrombolysis or endovascular thrombectomy therapy were excluded in our study. In consequence, our derived THRIVE scores cannot be compared to those in the original THRIVE study. The SIS exhibits potential as a simple prognostic biomarker, and the nomogram, which utilizes the SIS, may serve as a valuable tool for clinicians in the early identification of patients at heightened risk for unfavorable outcomes. •The predictive value of systemic inflammation score (SIS) has not been reported in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS).•We aimed to prospectively investigate whether SIS is associated with the prognosis of ischemic stroke patients in a large-scale cohort study.•The nomogram based on SIS may serve as a valuable tool for clinicians identifying patients at heightened risk for unfavorable outcomes.</abstract><cop>Netherlands</cop><pub>Elsevier B.V</pub><pmid>38447484</pmid><doi>10.1016/j.clineuro.2024.108220</doi><tpages>1</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7459-6546</orcidid></addata></record>
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source Elsevier ScienceDirect Journals
subjects Acute ischemic stroke
Biomarker
Biomarkers
Blood pressure
Calibration
Cancer
Cardiac arrhythmia
Cardiovascular system
Diabetes
Diabetes mellitus
Inflammation
Intravenous administration
Ischemia
Lymphocytes
Medical prognosis
Nomograms
Normal distribution
Probability
Prognosis
Reclassification
Regression analysis
Risk factors
Stroke
Systemic inflammation score
Thrombolysis
Thrombolytic drugs
title The systemic inflammation score is a prognostic factor for patients with ischemic stroke who have not undergone intravenous thrombolysis or endovascular thrombectomy therapy
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