Real-world effectiveness of seasonal influenza vaccination and age as effect modifier: A systematic review, meta-analysis and meta-regression of test-negative design studies

•Influenza vaccines provided moderate protection against influenza-related outpatient visit and hospitalization.•The effectiveness varied substantially by influenza type/subtype, with highest effectiveness against A/H1N1 and lowest against A/H3N2.•Both young adults and elderly manifested significant...

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Veröffentlicht in:Vaccine 2024-03, Vol.42 (8), p.1883-1891
Hauptverfasser: Guo, Jinxin, Chen, Xin, Guo, Yu, Liu, Mengze, Li, Pei, Tao, Yiming, Liu, Zhike, Yang, Zhirong, Zhan, Siyan, Sun, Feng
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container_end_page 1891
container_issue 8
container_start_page 1883
container_title Vaccine
container_volume 42
creator Guo, Jinxin
Chen, Xin
Guo, Yu
Liu, Mengze
Li, Pei
Tao, Yiming
Liu, Zhike
Yang, Zhirong
Zhan, Siyan
Sun, Feng
description •Influenza vaccines provided moderate protection against influenza-related outpatient visit and hospitalization.•The effectiveness varied substantially by influenza type/subtype, with highest effectiveness against A/H1N1 and lowest against A/H3N2.•Both young adults and elderly manifested significantly decreased influenza vaccine effectiveness compared with children. Under the global risk of epidemic rebound of influenza after COVID-19 outbreak, the study aimed to provide a comprehensive evaluation of the seasonal influenza vaccine effectiveness (IVE) and to explore the potential effect modifiers. We searched for test-negative design studies with IVE estimates published between January 1, 2017 and December 31, 2022. We estimated pooled IVE using random-effects meta-analysis, and conducted meta-regression with study site, age, sex and comorbidity as explanatory variables. We identified 2429 publications and included 191 in the meta-analysis. The pooled IVE was 41.4 % (95 % CI: 39.2–43.5 %) against any influenza. For specific strains, the IVE was 55.4 % (95 % CI: 52.7–58.1 %) against A/H1N1, 26.8 % (95 % CI: 23.5–29.9 %) against A/H3N2, 47.2 % (95 % CI: 38.1–54.9 %) against B/Yamagata, and 40.6 % (95 % CI: 23.7–53.7 %) against B/Victoria, and the effectiveness against A/H3N2 was significantly lower than A/H1N1 (p 
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.vaccine.2024.02.059
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Under the global risk of epidemic rebound of influenza after COVID-19 outbreak, the study aimed to provide a comprehensive evaluation of the seasonal influenza vaccine effectiveness (IVE) and to explore the potential effect modifiers. We searched for test-negative design studies with IVE estimates published between January 1, 2017 and December 31, 2022. We estimated pooled IVE using random-effects meta-analysis, and conducted meta-regression with study site, age, sex and comorbidity as explanatory variables. We identified 2429 publications and included 191 in the meta-analysis. The pooled IVE was 41.4 % (95 % CI: 39.2–43.5 %) against any influenza. For specific strains, the IVE was 55.4 % (95 % CI: 52.7–58.1 %) against A/H1N1, 26.8 % (95 % CI: 23.5–29.9 %) against A/H3N2, 47.2 % (95 % CI: 38.1–54.9 %) against B/Yamagata, and 40.6 % (95 % CI: 23.7–53.7 %) against B/Victoria, and the effectiveness against A/H3N2 was significantly lower than A/H1N1 (p &lt; 0.0001) and B/Yamagata (p &lt; 0.0001). The pooled IVE was 39.2 % (95 % CI: 36.5–41.9 %) in preventing influenza-associated outpatient visit and 43.7 % (95 % CI: 39.7–47.4 %) in preventing influenza-related hospitalization. The IVE against any influenza was 48.6 % (95 % CI: 44.7–52.2 %) for children aged &lt; 18 years, 36.7 % (95 % CI: 31.9–41.1 %) for adults aged 18–64 years, and 30.6 % (95 % CI: 26.2–34.8 %) for elderly aged ≥65 years. Meta-regression revealed that the IVE was associated with the average age of study participants, in which both young adults [relative odds ratio (ROR) = 1.225, 95 % confidence interval (CI): 1.099–1.365, p = 0.0002] and elderly (ROR = 1.245, 95 % CI: 1.083–1.431, p = 0.002) manifested a significantly decreased effectiveness compared with children. Influenza vaccines provided moderate protection against laboratory-confirmed influenza and related outpatient visit and hospitalization. However, the effectiveness may vary substantially by virus type and age group, suggesting the necessity to tailor vaccination strategies especially for older individuals and against the A/H3N2 strain, and to promote annual immunization and annual analysis of vaccine effectiveness.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0264-410X</identifier><identifier>ISSN: 1873-2518</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1873-2518</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2024.02.059</identifier><identifier>PMID: 38423813</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Netherlands: Elsevier Ltd</publisher><subject>Adult ; Adults ; Age ; Age Factors ; Aged ; Bias ; Children ; Comorbidity ; Confidence intervals ; COVID-19 ; COVID-19 - epidemiology ; COVID-19 - immunology ; COVID-19 - prevention &amp; control ; Effectiveness ; Estimates ; Humans ; Immunization ; Infections ; Influenza ; Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype - immunology ; Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype - immunology ; Influenza B virus - immunology ; Influenza Vaccines - administration &amp; dosage ; Influenza Vaccines - immunology ; Influenza, Human - epidemiology ; Influenza, Human - prevention &amp; control ; Meta-analysis ; Meta-regression ; Middle Aged ; Older people ; Public health ; Regression ; Seasons ; Statistical analysis ; Systematic review ; Test-negative design ; Vaccination - statistics &amp; numerical data ; Vaccine effectiveness ; Vaccine Efficacy ; Vaccines ; Variables ; Young adults</subject><ispartof>Vaccine, 2024-03, Vol.42 (8), p.1883-1891</ispartof><rights>2024 Elsevier Ltd</rights><rights>Copyright © 2024 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.</rights><rights>2024. Elsevier Ltd</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c341t-9b320217eb4275a972eb8b382c9ef0ada63f5cf7d9d53f0418de925d0c1ea6a23</cites><orcidid>0000-0003-4334-6805</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.proquest.com/docview/2956720062?pq-origsite=primo$$EHTML$$P50$$Gproquest$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,3550,27924,27925,45995,64385,64387,64389,72341</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/38423813$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Guo, Jinxin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Chen, Xin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Guo, Yu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Liu, Mengze</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Li, Pei</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tao, Yiming</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Liu, Zhike</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yang, Zhirong</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhan, Siyan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sun, Feng</creatorcontrib><title>Real-world effectiveness of seasonal influenza vaccination and age as effect modifier: A systematic review, meta-analysis and meta-regression of test-negative design studies</title><title>Vaccine</title><addtitle>Vaccine</addtitle><description>•Influenza vaccines provided moderate protection against influenza-related outpatient visit and hospitalization.•The effectiveness varied substantially by influenza type/subtype, with highest effectiveness against A/H1N1 and lowest against A/H3N2.•Both young adults and elderly manifested significantly decreased influenza vaccine effectiveness compared with children. Under the global risk of epidemic rebound of influenza after COVID-19 outbreak, the study aimed to provide a comprehensive evaluation of the seasonal influenza vaccine effectiveness (IVE) and to explore the potential effect modifiers. We searched for test-negative design studies with IVE estimates published between January 1, 2017 and December 31, 2022. We estimated pooled IVE using random-effects meta-analysis, and conducted meta-regression with study site, age, sex and comorbidity as explanatory variables. We identified 2429 publications and included 191 in the meta-analysis. The pooled IVE was 41.4 % (95 % CI: 39.2–43.5 %) against any influenza. For specific strains, the IVE was 55.4 % (95 % CI: 52.7–58.1 %) against A/H1N1, 26.8 % (95 % CI: 23.5–29.9 %) against A/H3N2, 47.2 % (95 % CI: 38.1–54.9 %) against B/Yamagata, and 40.6 % (95 % CI: 23.7–53.7 %) against B/Victoria, and the effectiveness against A/H3N2 was significantly lower than A/H1N1 (p &lt; 0.0001) and B/Yamagata (p &lt; 0.0001). The pooled IVE was 39.2 % (95 % CI: 36.5–41.9 %) in preventing influenza-associated outpatient visit and 43.7 % (95 % CI: 39.7–47.4 %) in preventing influenza-related hospitalization. The IVE against any influenza was 48.6 % (95 % CI: 44.7–52.2 %) for children aged &lt; 18 years, 36.7 % (95 % CI: 31.9–41.1 %) for adults aged 18–64 years, and 30.6 % (95 % CI: 26.2–34.8 %) for elderly aged ≥65 years. Meta-regression revealed that the IVE was associated with the average age of study participants, in which both young adults [relative odds ratio (ROR) = 1.225, 95 % confidence interval (CI): 1.099–1.365, p = 0.0002] and elderly (ROR = 1.245, 95 % CI: 1.083–1.431, p = 0.002) manifested a significantly decreased effectiveness compared with children. Influenza vaccines provided moderate protection against laboratory-confirmed influenza and related outpatient visit and hospitalization. However, the effectiveness may vary substantially by virus type and age group, suggesting the necessity to tailor vaccination strategies especially for older individuals and against the A/H3N2 strain, and to promote annual immunization and annual analysis of vaccine effectiveness.</description><subject>Adult</subject><subject>Adults</subject><subject>Age</subject><subject>Age Factors</subject><subject>Aged</subject><subject>Bias</subject><subject>Children</subject><subject>Comorbidity</subject><subject>Confidence intervals</subject><subject>COVID-19</subject><subject>COVID-19 - epidemiology</subject><subject>COVID-19 - immunology</subject><subject>COVID-19 - prevention &amp; control</subject><subject>Effectiveness</subject><subject>Estimates</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Immunization</subject><subject>Infections</subject><subject>Influenza</subject><subject>Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype - immunology</subject><subject>Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype - immunology</subject><subject>Influenza B virus - immunology</subject><subject>Influenza Vaccines - administration &amp; dosage</subject><subject>Influenza Vaccines - immunology</subject><subject>Influenza, Human - epidemiology</subject><subject>Influenza, Human - prevention &amp; control</subject><subject>Meta-analysis</subject><subject>Meta-regression</subject><subject>Middle Aged</subject><subject>Older people</subject><subject>Public health</subject><subject>Regression</subject><subject>Seasons</subject><subject>Statistical analysis</subject><subject>Systematic review</subject><subject>Test-negative design</subject><subject>Vaccination - statistics &amp; numerical data</subject><subject>Vaccine effectiveness</subject><subject>Vaccine Efficacy</subject><subject>Vaccines</subject><subject>Variables</subject><subject>Young adults</subject><issn>0264-410X</issn><issn>1873-2518</issn><issn>1873-2518</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2024</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><sourceid>8G5</sourceid><sourceid>ABUWG</sourceid><sourceid>AFKRA</sourceid><sourceid>AZQEC</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><sourceid>CCPQU</sourceid><sourceid>DWQXO</sourceid><sourceid>GNUQQ</sourceid><sourceid>GUQSH</sourceid><sourceid>M2O</sourceid><recordid>eNqFkc2KFDEUhYMoTs_oIygBNy6sMj_162YYBkeFAUEU3IVUctOkqUrG3Koe2nfyHU1Nty7cuAqE75xz7z2EvOCs5Iw3b3flXhvjA5SCiapkomR1_4hseNfKQtS8e0w2TDRVUXH2_YycI-4YY7Xk_VNyJrtKyI7LDfn1BfRY3Mc0WgrOgZn9HgIg0ugogsYY9Eh9cOMC4aemx1A9-xioDpbqLVCNJymdovXOQ3pHrygecIYpk4Ym2Hu4f0MnmHWhs-EBPT7IH34SbFNOXC1z6Aw4FwG2ep2EWkC_DRTnxXrAZ-SJ0yPC89N7Qb7dvP96_bG4_fzh0_XVbWFkxeeiH2Q-Cm9hqERb674VMHSD7ITpwTFtdSNdbVxre1tLxyreWehFbZnhoBst5AV5ffS9S_HHkgdSk0cD46gDxAWV6OXqLNo-o6_-QXdxSXnHlaqbVjDWrIb1kTIpIiZw6i75SaeD4kytfaqdOvWp1j4VEyr3mXUvT-7LMIH9q_pTYAYujwDkc-QrJ4XGQzBgfcqNKBv9fyJ-A3Iqt6I</recordid><startdate>20240319</startdate><enddate>20240319</enddate><creator>Guo, Jinxin</creator><creator>Chen, Xin</creator><creator>Guo, Yu</creator><creator>Liu, Mengze</creator><creator>Li, Pei</creator><creator>Tao, Yiming</creator><creator>Liu, Zhike</creator><creator>Yang, Zhirong</creator><creator>Zhan, Siyan</creator><creator>Sun, Feng</creator><general>Elsevier Ltd</general><general>Elsevier Limited</general><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>3V.</scope><scope>7QL</scope><scope>7RV</scope><scope>7T2</scope><scope>7T5</scope><scope>7U9</scope><scope>7X7</scope><scope>7XB</scope><scope>88C</scope><scope>88E</scope><scope>8AO</scope><scope>8C1</scope><scope>8FE</scope><scope>8FH</scope><scope>8FI</scope><scope>8FJ</scope><scope>8FK</scope><scope>8G5</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AEUYN</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>AZQEC</scope><scope>BBNVY</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>BHPHI</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>FYUFA</scope><scope>GHDGH</scope><scope>GNUQQ</scope><scope>GUQSH</scope><scope>H94</scope><scope>HCIFZ</scope><scope>K9-</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>KB0</scope><scope>LK8</scope><scope>M0R</scope><scope>M0S</scope><scope>M0T</scope><scope>M1P</scope><scope>M2O</scope><scope>M7N</scope><scope>M7P</scope><scope>MBDVC</scope><scope>NAPCQ</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>Q9U</scope><scope>7X8</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4334-6805</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>20240319</creationdate><title>Real-world effectiveness of seasonal influenza vaccination and age as effect modifier: A systematic review, meta-analysis and meta-regression of test-negative design studies</title><author>Guo, Jinxin ; 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Under the global risk of epidemic rebound of influenza after COVID-19 outbreak, the study aimed to provide a comprehensive evaluation of the seasonal influenza vaccine effectiveness (IVE) and to explore the potential effect modifiers. We searched for test-negative design studies with IVE estimates published between January 1, 2017 and December 31, 2022. We estimated pooled IVE using random-effects meta-analysis, and conducted meta-regression with study site, age, sex and comorbidity as explanatory variables. We identified 2429 publications and included 191 in the meta-analysis. The pooled IVE was 41.4 % (95 % CI: 39.2–43.5 %) against any influenza. For specific strains, the IVE was 55.4 % (95 % CI: 52.7–58.1 %) against A/H1N1, 26.8 % (95 % CI: 23.5–29.9 %) against A/H3N2, 47.2 % (95 % CI: 38.1–54.9 %) against B/Yamagata, and 40.6 % (95 % CI: 23.7–53.7 %) against B/Victoria, and the effectiveness against A/H3N2 was significantly lower than A/H1N1 (p &lt; 0.0001) and B/Yamagata (p &lt; 0.0001). The pooled IVE was 39.2 % (95 % CI: 36.5–41.9 %) in preventing influenza-associated outpatient visit and 43.7 % (95 % CI: 39.7–47.4 %) in preventing influenza-related hospitalization. The IVE against any influenza was 48.6 % (95 % CI: 44.7–52.2 %) for children aged &lt; 18 years, 36.7 % (95 % CI: 31.9–41.1 %) for adults aged 18–64 years, and 30.6 % (95 % CI: 26.2–34.8 %) for elderly aged ≥65 years. Meta-regression revealed that the IVE was associated with the average age of study participants, in which both young adults [relative odds ratio (ROR) = 1.225, 95 % confidence interval (CI): 1.099–1.365, p = 0.0002] and elderly (ROR = 1.245, 95 % CI: 1.083–1.431, p = 0.002) manifested a significantly decreased effectiveness compared with children. Influenza vaccines provided moderate protection against laboratory-confirmed influenza and related outpatient visit and hospitalization. However, the effectiveness may vary substantially by virus type and age group, suggesting the necessity to tailor vaccination strategies especially for older individuals and against the A/H3N2 strain, and to promote annual immunization and annual analysis of vaccine effectiveness.</abstract><cop>Netherlands</cop><pub>Elsevier Ltd</pub><pmid>38423813</pmid><doi>10.1016/j.vaccine.2024.02.059</doi><tpages>9</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4334-6805</orcidid></addata></record>
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subjects Adult
Adults
Age
Age Factors
Aged
Bias
Children
Comorbidity
Confidence intervals
COVID-19
COVID-19 - epidemiology
COVID-19 - immunology
COVID-19 - prevention & control
Effectiveness
Estimates
Humans
Immunization
Infections
Influenza
Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype - immunology
Influenza A Virus, H3N2 Subtype - immunology
Influenza B virus - immunology
Influenza Vaccines - administration & dosage
Influenza Vaccines - immunology
Influenza, Human - epidemiology
Influenza, Human - prevention & control
Meta-analysis
Meta-regression
Middle Aged
Older people
Public health
Regression
Seasons
Statistical analysis
Systematic review
Test-negative design
Vaccination - statistics & numerical data
Vaccine effectiveness
Vaccine Efficacy
Vaccines
Variables
Young adults
title Real-world effectiveness of seasonal influenza vaccination and age as effect modifier: A systematic review, meta-analysis and meta-regression of test-negative design studies
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