Development of a microultrasound-based nomogram to predict extra-prostatic extension in patients with prostate cancer undergoing robot-assisted radical prostatectomy

•Nerve-sparing is not recommended in patients with high risk of extraprostatic disease.•Microultrsound has shown a promising role in prostate cancer staging.•We developed a microultrasound-based nomogram predicting extra-prostatic extension.•The model showed an accuracy of 84.1% in the prediction of...

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Veröffentlicht in:Urologic oncology 2024-05, Vol.42 (5), p.159.e9-159.e16
Hauptverfasser: Frego, Nicola, Contieri, Roberto, Fasulo, Vittorio, Maffei, Davide, Avolio, Pier Paolo, Arena, Paola, Beatrici, Edoardo, Sordelli, Federica, De Carne, Fabio, Lazzeri, Massimo, Saita, Alberto, Hurle, Rodolfo, Buffi, Nicolò Maria, Casale, Paolo, Lughezzani, Giovanni
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container_end_page 159.e16
container_issue 5
container_start_page 159.e9
container_title Urologic oncology
container_volume 42
creator Frego, Nicola
Contieri, Roberto
Fasulo, Vittorio
Maffei, Davide
Avolio, Pier Paolo
Arena, Paola
Beatrici, Edoardo
Sordelli, Federica
De Carne, Fabio
Lazzeri, Massimo
Saita, Alberto
Hurle, Rodolfo
Buffi, Nicolò Maria
Casale, Paolo
Lughezzani, Giovanni
description •Nerve-sparing is not recommended in patients with high risk of extraprostatic disease.•Microultrsound has shown a promising role in prostate cancer staging.•We developed a microultrasound-based nomogram predicting extra-prostatic extension.•The model showed an accuracy of 84.1% in the prediction of extraprostatic disease.•Microultrasound-based nomogram could aid urologists whether to perform nerve sparing. To develop a microultrasound-based nomogram including clinicopathological parameters and microultrasound findings to predict the presence of extra-prostatic extension and guide the grade of nerve-sparing. All patients underwent microultrasound the day before robot-assisted radical prostatectomy. Variables significantly associated with extra-prostatic extension at univariable analysis were used to build the multivariable logistic model, and the regression coefficients were used to develop the nomogram. The model was subjected to 1000 bootstrap resamples for internal validation. The performance of the microultrasound-based model was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration plot, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Overall, 122/295 (41.4%) patients had a diagnosis of extra-prostatic extension on definitive pathology. Microultrasound correctly identify extra-prostatic extension in 84/122 (68.9%) cases showing a sensitivity and a specificity of 68.9% and 84.4%, with an AUC of 76.6%. After 1000 bootstrap resamples, the predictive accuracy of the microultrasound-based model was 85.9%. The calibration plot showed a satisfactory concordance between predicted probabilities and observed frequencies of extra-prostatic extension. The DCA showed a higher clinical net-benefit compared to the model including only clinical parameters. Considering a 4% cut-off, nerve-sparing was recommended in 173 (58.6%) patients and extra-prostatic extension was detected in 32 (18.5%) of them. We developed a microultrasound-based nomogram for the prediction of extra-prostatic extension that could aid in the decision whether to preserve or not neurovascular bundles. External validation and a direct comparison with mpMRI-based nomogram is crucial to corroborate our results.
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.urolonc.2024.01.033
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To develop a microultrasound-based nomogram including clinicopathological parameters and microultrasound findings to predict the presence of extra-prostatic extension and guide the grade of nerve-sparing. All patients underwent microultrasound the day before robot-assisted radical prostatectomy. Variables significantly associated with extra-prostatic extension at univariable analysis were used to build the multivariable logistic model, and the regression coefficients were used to develop the nomogram. The model was subjected to 1000 bootstrap resamples for internal validation. The performance of the microultrasound-based model was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration plot, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Overall, 122/295 (41.4%) patients had a diagnosis of extra-prostatic extension on definitive pathology. Microultrasound correctly identify extra-prostatic extension in 84/122 (68.9%) cases showing a sensitivity and a specificity of 68.9% and 84.4%, with an AUC of 76.6%. After 1000 bootstrap resamples, the predictive accuracy of the microultrasound-based model was 85.9%. The calibration plot showed a satisfactory concordance between predicted probabilities and observed frequencies of extra-prostatic extension. The DCA showed a higher clinical net-benefit compared to the model including only clinical parameters. Considering a 4% cut-off, nerve-sparing was recommended in 173 (58.6%) patients and extra-prostatic extension was detected in 32 (18.5%) of them. We developed a microultrasound-based nomogram for the prediction of extra-prostatic extension that could aid in the decision whether to preserve or not neurovascular bundles. 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Microultrasound correctly identify extra-prostatic extension in 84/122 (68.9%) cases showing a sensitivity and a specificity of 68.9% and 84.4%, with an AUC of 76.6%. After 1000 bootstrap resamples, the predictive accuracy of the microultrasound-based model was 85.9%. The calibration plot showed a satisfactory concordance between predicted probabilities and observed frequencies of extra-prostatic extension. The DCA showed a higher clinical net-benefit compared to the model including only clinical parameters. Considering a 4% cut-off, nerve-sparing was recommended in 173 (58.6%) patients and extra-prostatic extension was detected in 32 (18.5%) of them. We developed a microultrasound-based nomogram for the prediction of extra-prostatic extension that could aid in the decision whether to preserve or not neurovascular bundles. 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To develop a microultrasound-based nomogram including clinicopathological parameters and microultrasound findings to predict the presence of extra-prostatic extension and guide the grade of nerve-sparing. All patients underwent microultrasound the day before robot-assisted radical prostatectomy. Variables significantly associated with extra-prostatic extension at univariable analysis were used to build the multivariable logistic model, and the regression coefficients were used to develop the nomogram. The model was subjected to 1000 bootstrap resamples for internal validation. The performance of the microultrasound-based model was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration plot, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Overall, 122/295 (41.4%) patients had a diagnosis of extra-prostatic extension on definitive pathology. Microultrasound correctly identify extra-prostatic extension in 84/122 (68.9%) cases showing a sensitivity and a specificity of 68.9% and 84.4%, with an AUC of 76.6%. After 1000 bootstrap resamples, the predictive accuracy of the microultrasound-based model was 85.9%. The calibration plot showed a satisfactory concordance between predicted probabilities and observed frequencies of extra-prostatic extension. The DCA showed a higher clinical net-benefit compared to the model including only clinical parameters. Considering a 4% cut-off, nerve-sparing was recommended in 173 (58.6%) patients and extra-prostatic extension was detected in 32 (18.5%) of them. We developed a microultrasound-based nomogram for the prediction of extra-prostatic extension that could aid in the decision whether to preserve or not neurovascular bundles. External validation and a direct comparison with mpMRI-based nomogram is crucial to corroborate our results.</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>Elsevier Inc</pub><pmid>38423852</pmid><doi>10.1016/j.urolonc.2024.01.033</doi></addata></record>
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identifier ISSN: 1078-1439
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1873-2496
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source MEDLINE; ScienceDirect Journals (5 years ago - present)
subjects Extra-prostatic extension
Humans
Male
Microultrasound
Nomogram
Nomograms
Positive surgical margins
Prostate - diagnostic imaging
Prostate - pathology
Prostate - surgery
Prostatectomy - methods
Prostatic Neoplasms - diagnostic imaging
Prostatic Neoplasms - pathology
Prostatic Neoplasms - surgery
Retrospective Studies
Robot-assisted radical prostatectomy
Robotics
title Development of a microultrasound-based nomogram to predict extra-prostatic extension in patients with prostate cancer undergoing robot-assisted radical prostatectomy
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