How Topographic Diffusion-Weighted Imaging Patterns can Predict the Potential Embolic Source

Purpose To develop an imaging prediction model for patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS), we investigated the association of topographic diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) patterns with potential embolic sources (PES) identified by transesophageal echocardiography. Methods From a total of 992 consecutive patients with embolic stroke, 366 patients with the ESUS group were selected. ESUS was defined as no atrial fibrillation (Af) within 24h from admission and no PES after general examination. Clinical variables include age (> 80years, 70–80 years), sex, vascular risk factors and left atrial diameter > 4 cm. Age, sex and vascular risk factors adjusted odds ratio of each DWI for the different PESs were calculated. DWI was determined based on the arterial territories. Middle cerebral arteries were divided into 4 segments, i.e., M1–M4. Moreover, M2 segments were subdivided into superior and inferior branches. Results The 366 patients consisted of 168 with paroxysmal Af (pAf), 77 with paradoxical embolism, 71 with aortic embolism and 50 with undetermined embolism after transesophageal echocardiography. The variables adjusted odds ratio (OR) of internal carotid artery (OR: 12.1, p = 0.037), M1 (4.2, p = 0.001), inferior M2 (7.5, p = 0.0041) and multiple cortical branches (12.6, p