A Simple Nomogram for Predicting Stroke-Associated Pneumonia in Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke

The purpose of this study was to develop a prediction model for stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) based on risk factors for SAP and to suggest nursing interventions to prevent SAP. In addition, a nomogram was developed to enhance its utility in nursing practice. The retrospective cohort study includ...

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Veröffentlicht in:Healthcare (Basel) 2023-11, Vol.11 (23), p.3015
Hauptverfasser: Lee, Youn-Jung, Jang, Hee Jung
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Jang, Hee Jung
description The purpose of this study was to develop a prediction model for stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) based on risk factors for SAP and to suggest nursing interventions to prevent SAP. In addition, a nomogram was developed to enhance its utility in nursing practice. The retrospective cohort study included 551 patients hospitalized for acute ischemic stroke at a university hospital in South Korea. Data were collected through a structured questionnaire and a review of the electronic medical record (EMR). In the development of a predictive model for SAP, multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that independent risk factors for SAP were age ≥ 65 years, National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score ≥ 7, nasogastric tube feeding, and C-reactive protein (CRP) ≥ 5.0 mg/dL. The logit model was used to construct the SAP prediction nomogram, and the area under the curve (AUC) of the nomogram was 0.94. Furthermore, the slope of the calibration plot was close to the 45-degree line, indicating that the developed nomogram may be useful for predicting SAP. It is necessary to monitor the age, NIHSS score, nasogastric tube feeding status, and CRP level of stroke patients and identify high-risk groups using the developed nomogram to provide active nursing interventions to prevent SAP.
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In addition, a nomogram was developed to enhance its utility in nursing practice. The retrospective cohort study included 551 patients hospitalized for acute ischemic stroke at a university hospital in South Korea. Data were collected through a structured questionnaire and a review of the electronic medical record (EMR). In the development of a predictive model for SAP, multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that independent risk factors for SAP were age ≥ 65 years, National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score ≥ 7, nasogastric tube feeding, and C-reactive protein (CRP) ≥ 5.0 mg/dL. The logit model was used to construct the SAP prediction nomogram, and the area under the curve (AUC) of the nomogram was 0.94. Furthermore, the slope of the calibration plot was close to the 45-degree line, indicating that the developed nomogram may be useful for predicting SAP. It is necessary to monitor the age, NIHSS score, nasogastric tube feeding status, and CRP level of stroke patients and identify high-risk groups using the developed nomogram to provide active nursing interventions to prevent SAP.</description><identifier>ISSN: 2227-9032</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 2227-9032</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.3390/healthcare11233015</identifier><identifier>PMID: 38063586</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Switzerland: MDPI AG</publisher><subject>Accuracy ; Bacterial pneumonia ; Brain research ; Cardiovascular disease ; Care and treatment ; Data analysis ; Data collection ; Diabetes ; Diagnosis ; Dysarthria ; Dysphagia ; Hospitalization ; Hospitals ; Ischemia ; Medical laboratories ; Medical records ; Nomograms ; Nursing ; Obesity ; Pneumonia ; Questionnaires ; Regression analysis ; Risk factors ; Sociodemographics ; Stroke ; Stroke (Disease) ; Variables</subject><ispartof>Healthcare (Basel), 2023-11, Vol.11 (23), p.3015</ispartof><rights>COPYRIGHT 2023 MDPI AG</rights><rights>2023 by the authors. 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source MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute; Elektronische Zeitschriftenbibliothek - Frei zugängliche E-Journals; PubMed Central; PubMed Central Open Access
subjects Accuracy
Bacterial pneumonia
Brain research
Cardiovascular disease
Care and treatment
Data analysis
Data collection
Diabetes
Diagnosis
Dysarthria
Dysphagia
Hospitalization
Hospitals
Ischemia
Medical laboratories
Medical records
Nomograms
Nursing
Obesity
Pneumonia
Questionnaires
Regression analysis
Risk factors
Sociodemographics
Stroke
Stroke (Disease)
Variables
title A Simple Nomogram for Predicting Stroke-Associated Pneumonia in Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke
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