Prognostic Value of 18F-FDG PET Radiomics Features at Baseline in PET-Guided Consolidation Strategy in Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma: A Machine-Learning Analysis from the GAINED Study

The results of the GA in Newly Diagnosed Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma (GAINED) study demonstrated the success of an 18F-FDG PET–driven approach to allow early identification-for intensification therapy-of diffuse large B-cell lymphoma patients with a high risk of relapse. Besides, some works have reported the prognostic value of baseline PET radiomics features (RFs). This work investigated the added value of such biomarkers on survival of patients involved in the GAINED protocol. Methods: Conventional PET features and RFs were computed from 18F-FDG PET at baseline and extracted using different volume definitions (patient level, largest lesion, and hottest lesion). Clinical features and the consolidation treatment information were also considered in the model. Two machine-learning pipelines were trained with 80% of patients and tested on the remaining 20%. The training was repeated 100 times to highlight the test set variability. For the 2-y progression-free survival (PFS) outcome, the pipeline included a data augmentation and an elastic net logistic regression model. Results for different feature groups were compared using the mean area under the curve (AUC). For the survival outcome, the pipeline included a Cox univariate model to select the features. Then, the model included a split between high- and low-risk patients using the median of a regression score based on the coefficients of a penalized Cox multivariate approach. The log-rank test P values over the 100 loops were compared with a Wilcoxon signed-ranked test. Results: In total, 545 patients were included for the 2-y PFS classification and 561 for survival analysis. Clinical features alone, consolidation features alone, conventional PET features, and RFs extracted at patient level achieved an AUC of, respectively, 0.65 ± 0.07, 0.64 ± 0.06, 0.60 ± 0.07, and 0.62 ± 0.07 (0.62 ± 0.07 for the largest lesion and 0.54 ± 0.07 for the hottest). Combining clinical features with the consolidation features led to the best AUC (0.72 ± 0.06). Adding conventional PET features or RFs did not improve the results. For survival, the log-rank P values of the model involving clinical and consolidation features together were significantly smaller than all combined-feature groups (P < 0.007). Conclusion: The results showed that a concatenation of multimodal features coupled with a simple machine-learning model does not seem to improve the results in terms of 2-y PFS classification and PFS prediction for patient treate