The ability of computed tomography angiography to predict 5-year mortality in the SYNTAX III REVOLUTION trial

The feasibility of using coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) for long-term prediction of vital prognosis post-revascularization remains unknown. To compare the prognostic value of the SYNTAX score II 2020 (SS-2020) derived from invasive coronary angiography (ICA) or CCTA in patients with...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of cardiovascular computed tomography 2023-09, Vol.17 (5), p.318-325
Hauptverfasser: Masuda, Shinichiro, Serruys, Patrick W., Mushtaq, Saima, Tanaka, Kaoru, Mandry, Damien, Buechel, Ronny R., Digne, Franck, Schneider, Ulrich, Pompilio, Giulio, La Meir, Mark, Doenst, Torsten, Teichgraber, Ulf, Morel, Marie-Angele, Kotoku, Nozomi, Ninomiya, Kai, Kageyama, Shigetaka, O’Leary, Neil, Collet, Carlos, Garg, Scot, de Mey, Johan, Andreini, Daniele, Onuma, Yoshinobu
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container_end_page 325
container_issue 5
container_start_page 318
container_title Journal of cardiovascular computed tomography
container_volume 17
creator Masuda, Shinichiro
Serruys, Patrick W.
Mushtaq, Saima
Tanaka, Kaoru
Mandry, Damien
Buechel, Ronny R.
Digne, Franck
Schneider, Ulrich
Pompilio, Giulio
La Meir, Mark
Doenst, Torsten
Teichgraber, Ulf
Morel, Marie-Angele
Kotoku, Nozomi
Ninomiya, Kai
Kageyama, Shigetaka
O’Leary, Neil
Collet, Carlos
Garg, Scot
de Mey, Johan
Andreini, Daniele
Onuma, Yoshinobu
description The feasibility of using coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) for long-term prediction of vital prognosis post-revascularization remains unknown. To compare the prognostic value of the SYNTAX score II 2020 (SS-2020) derived from invasive coronary angiography (ICA) or CCTA in patients with three-vessel disease and/or left main coronary artery disease undergoing percutaneous or surgical revascularization. In the SYNTAX III REVOLUTION trial, the probability of death at five years was retrospectively assessed by calculating the SS-2020 using ICA and CCTA. High- and low-risk patients for mortality were categorized according to the median percentages of predicted mortality based on both modalities. The discriminative abilities of the SS-2020 were assessed using Harrell's C statistic. The vital status at five years of the 215 patients revascularized percutaneously (64 patients, 29.8%) or surgically (151 patients, 70.2%) was established through national registries. In patients undergoing revascularization, the SS-2020 was possibly helpful in discriminating vital prognosis at 5 years, with similar results seen with ICA and CCTA (C-index with ICA ​= ​0.75, intercept ​= ​−0.19, slope ​= ​0.92 and C-index with CCTA ​= ​0.75, intercept ​= ​−0.22, slope ​= ​0.99). In high- and low-risk patients, Kaplan-Meier estimates showed significant, and almost identical relative differences in observed mortality, irrespective of imaging modality (ICA: 93.8% vs 78.7%, log-lank P ​
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.jcct.2023.08.006
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To compare the prognostic value of the SYNTAX score II 2020 (SS-2020) derived from invasive coronary angiography (ICA) or CCTA in patients with three-vessel disease and/or left main coronary artery disease undergoing percutaneous or surgical revascularization. In the SYNTAX III REVOLUTION trial, the probability of death at five years was retrospectively assessed by calculating the SS-2020 using ICA and CCTA. High- and low-risk patients for mortality were categorized according to the median percentages of predicted mortality based on both modalities. The discriminative abilities of the SS-2020 were assessed using Harrell's C statistic. The vital status at five years of the 215 patients revascularized percutaneously (64 patients, 29.8%) or surgically (151 patients, 70.2%) was established through national registries. In patients undergoing revascularization, the SS-2020 was possibly helpful in discriminating vital prognosis at 5 years, with similar results seen with ICA and CCTA (C-index with ICA ​= ​0.75, intercept ​= ​−0.19, slope ​= ​0.92 and C-index with CCTA ​= ​0.75, intercept ​= ​−0.22, slope ​= ​0.99). In high- and low-risk patients, Kaplan-Meier estimates showed significant, and almost identical relative differences in observed mortality, irrespective of imaging modality (ICA: 93.8% vs 78.7%, log-lank P ​&lt; ​0.001; CCTA: 93.7% vs 78.5%, log-lank P ​&lt; ​0.001). 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To compare the prognostic value of the SYNTAX score II 2020 (SS-2020) derived from invasive coronary angiography (ICA) or CCTA in patients with three-vessel disease and/or left main coronary artery disease undergoing percutaneous or surgical revascularization. In the SYNTAX III REVOLUTION trial, the probability of death at five years was retrospectively assessed by calculating the SS-2020 using ICA and CCTA. High- and low-risk patients for mortality were categorized according to the median percentages of predicted mortality based on both modalities. The discriminative abilities of the SS-2020 were assessed using Harrell's C statistic. The vital status at five years of the 215 patients revascularized percutaneously (64 patients, 29.8%) or surgically (151 patients, 70.2%) was established through national registries. In patients undergoing revascularization, the SS-2020 was possibly helpful in discriminating vital prognosis at 5 years, with similar results seen with ICA and CCTA (C-index with ICA ​= ​0.75, intercept ​= ​−0.19, slope ​= ​0.92 and C-index with CCTA ​= ​0.75, intercept ​= ​−0.22, slope ​= ​0.99). In high- and low-risk patients, Kaplan-Meier estimates showed significant, and almost identical relative differences in observed mortality, irrespective of imaging modality (ICA: 93.8% vs 78.7%, log-lank P ​&lt; ​0.001; CCTA: 93.7% vs 78.5%, log-lank P ​&lt; ​0.001). 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subjects Coronary computed tomography angiography
Invasive coronary artery
Predictive ability
SYNTAX score 2020
title The ability of computed tomography angiography to predict 5-year mortality in the SYNTAX III REVOLUTION trial
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