Immortal time bias in a retrospective study examining colorectal cancer mortality according to adherence to colonoscopy
Correspondence to Dr Conchubhair Winters, University of Leeds Leeds Institute of Medical Research at St James's, Leeds LS9 7TF, UK; Conchubhair.winters@nhs.net We read with interest the study by Zorzi et al.1 The authors conducted a retrospective cohort study comparing outcomes between individu...
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description | Correspondence to Dr Conchubhair Winters, University of Leeds Leeds Institute of Medical Research at St James's, Leeds LS9 7TF, UK; Conchubhair.winters@nhs.net We read with interest the study by Zorzi et al.1 The authors conducted a retrospective cohort study comparing outcomes between individuals with a positive faecal immunochemical test (FIT) as part of an Italian screening programme, dependent on whether they were adherent with a colonoscopy within the programme, reporting an adjusted HR of 2.03 (95% CI 1.68 to 2.44) for mortality from colorectal cancer (CRC) among non-adherent individuals during a median 4.9 years of follow-up. Correct approaches would include using a time dependent analysis,4 studying only ‘survivors’ of the immortal period by moving the start of follow-up to the end of the immortal period,5 or moving the start of follow-up to the date of colonoscopy in adherent individuals, with a date assigned according to the distribution of adherent individuals’ immortal time for the non-adherent group.6 In conclusion, the risk of residual confounding due to inherent differences between these two populations, as well as the high likelihood of immortal time bias, represent major methodological limitations of this study and, therefore, the results should be viewed with caution. Colonoscopy later than 270 days in a fecal immunochemical test-based population screening program is associated with higher prevalence of colorectal cancer. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1136/gutjnl-2022-328419 |
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Correct approaches would include using a time dependent analysis,4 studying only ‘survivors’ of the immortal period by moving the start of follow-up to the end of the immortal period,5 or moving the start of follow-up to the date of colonoscopy in adherent individuals, with a date assigned according to the distribution of adherent individuals’ immortal time for the non-adherent group.6 In conclusion, the risk of residual confounding due to inherent differences between these two populations, as well as the high likelihood of immortal time bias, represent major methodological limitations of this study and, therefore, the results should be viewed with caution. Colonoscopy later than 270 days in a fecal immunochemical test-based population screening program is associated with higher prevalence of colorectal cancer.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0017-5749</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1468-3288</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1136/gutjnl-2022-328419</identifier><identifier>PMID: 37549982</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>England: BMJ Publishing Group Ltd and British Society of Gastroenterology</publisher><subject>Bias ; Cancer ; Cohort analysis ; COLONOSCOPY ; COLORECTAL CANCER ; Colorectal carcinoma ; Colorectal Neoplasms - diagnosis ; Early Detection of Cancer ; Humans ; Letter ; Mass Screening ; Medical research ; Mortality ; Population ; Retrospective Studies</subject><ispartof>Gut, 2023-09, Vol.72 (9), p.1799-1800</ispartof><rights>Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2022. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.</rights><rights>2022 Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2022. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.</rights><rights>2023 Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2023. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-b398t-f5ec81e137f1513d331dba047d0f60eef1253c0378ca3d305130c8c1ef0553113</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-b398t-f5ec81e137f1513d331dba047d0f60eef1253c0378ca3d305130c8c1ef0553113</cites><orcidid>0000-0001-6371-4359 ; 0000-0001-5773-2876</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,27923,27924</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37549982$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Winters, Conchubhair</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ford, Alexander Charles</creatorcontrib><title>Immortal time bias in a retrospective study examining colorectal cancer mortality according to adherence to colonoscopy</title><title>Gut</title><addtitle>Gut</addtitle><addtitle>Gut</addtitle><description>Correspondence to Dr Conchubhair Winters, University of Leeds Leeds Institute of Medical Research at St James's, Leeds LS9 7TF, UK; Conchubhair.winters@nhs.net We read with interest the study by Zorzi et al.1 The authors conducted a retrospective cohort study comparing outcomes between individuals with a positive faecal immunochemical test (FIT) as part of an Italian screening programme, dependent on whether they were adherent with a colonoscopy within the programme, reporting an adjusted HR of 2.03 (95% CI 1.68 to 2.44) for mortality from colorectal cancer (CRC) among non-adherent individuals during a median 4.9 years of follow-up. Correct approaches would include using a time dependent analysis,4 studying only ‘survivors’ of the immortal period by moving the start of follow-up to the end of the immortal period,5 or moving the start of follow-up to the date of colonoscopy in adherent individuals, with a date assigned according to the distribution of adherent individuals’ immortal time for the non-adherent group.6 In conclusion, the risk of residual confounding due to inherent differences between these two populations, as well as the high likelihood of immortal time bias, represent major methodological limitations of this study and, therefore, the results should be viewed with caution. Colonoscopy later than 270 days in a fecal immunochemical test-based population screening program is associated with higher prevalence of colorectal cancer.</description><subject>Bias</subject><subject>Cancer</subject><subject>Cohort analysis</subject><subject>COLONOSCOPY</subject><subject>COLORECTAL CANCER</subject><subject>Colorectal carcinoma</subject><subject>Colorectal Neoplasms - diagnosis</subject><subject>Early Detection of Cancer</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Letter</subject><subject>Mass Screening</subject><subject>Medical research</subject><subject>Mortality</subject><subject>Population</subject><subject>Retrospective Studies</subject><issn>0017-5749</issn><issn>1468-3288</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2023</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><sourceid>ABUWG</sourceid><sourceid>AFKRA</sourceid><sourceid>AZQEC</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><sourceid>CCPQU</sourceid><sourceid>DWQXO</sourceid><sourceid>GNUQQ</sourceid><recordid>eNp9kU9r3DAQxUVJaDZ_vkAPRZBLLt5oLMmSjyW0SSDQS3I2sjxOtdjWVpLb7LevjJMWeshJDPN7T8N7hHwCtgXg1fXznHbTUJSsLAteagH1B7IBUell0kdkwxioQipRn5DTGHeMMa1r-EhOuJKirnW5Ib_vx9GHZAaa3Ii0dSZSN1FDA6bg4x5tcr-QxjR3B4ovZnSTm56p9YMPeZd11kwWA11dXDpQY60P3UIlT033AwNmYhkW1eSj9fvDOTnuzRDx4vU9I0_fvj7e3BUP32_vb748FC2vdSp6iVYDAlc9SOAd59C1hgnVsb5iiD2UklvGlbYmb1lmmNUWsGdS8pzSGblafffB_5wxpmZ00eIwmAn9HJscm1JCgRYZvfwP3fk5TPm6TEkQQlWSv0spVtdVKarFq1wpm0OMAftmH9xowqEB1izlNWt5zVJes5aXRZ9fred2xO6v5K2tDGxXoB13_759x_EPPP2mGw</recordid><startdate>20230901</startdate><enddate>20230901</enddate><creator>Winters, Conchubhair</creator><creator>Ford, Alexander Charles</creator><general>BMJ Publishing Group Ltd and British Society of Gastroenterology</general><general>BMJ Publishing Group LTD</general><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>3V.</scope><scope>7X7</scope><scope>7XB</scope><scope>88E</scope><scope>88I</scope><scope>8AF</scope><scope>8FE</scope><scope>8FH</scope><scope>8FI</scope><scope>8FJ</scope><scope>8FK</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>AZQEC</scope><scope>BBNVY</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>BHPHI</scope><scope>BTHHO</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>FYUFA</scope><scope>GHDGH</scope><scope>GNUQQ</scope><scope>HCIFZ</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>LK8</scope><scope>M0S</scope><scope>M1P</scope><scope>M2P</scope><scope>M7P</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>PRINS</scope><scope>Q9U</scope><scope>7X8</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6371-4359</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5773-2876</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>20230901</creationdate><title>Immortal time bias in a retrospective study examining colorectal cancer mortality according to adherence to colonoscopy</title><author>Winters, Conchubhair ; 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Correct approaches would include using a time dependent analysis,4 studying only ‘survivors’ of the immortal period by moving the start of follow-up to the end of the immortal period,5 or moving the start of follow-up to the date of colonoscopy in adherent individuals, with a date assigned according to the distribution of adherent individuals’ immortal time for the non-adherent group.6 In conclusion, the risk of residual confounding due to inherent differences between these two populations, as well as the high likelihood of immortal time bias, represent major methodological limitations of this study and, therefore, the results should be viewed with caution. Colonoscopy later than 270 days in a fecal immunochemical test-based population screening program is associated with higher prevalence of colorectal cancer.</abstract><cop>England</cop><pub>BMJ Publishing Group Ltd and British Society of Gastroenterology</pub><pmid>37549982</pmid><doi>10.1136/gutjnl-2022-328419</doi><tpages>2</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6371-4359</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5773-2876</orcidid></addata></record> |
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subjects | Bias Cancer Cohort analysis COLONOSCOPY COLORECTAL CANCER Colorectal carcinoma Colorectal Neoplasms - diagnosis Early Detection of Cancer Humans Letter Mass Screening Medical research Mortality Population Retrospective Studies |
title | Immortal time bias in a retrospective study examining colorectal cancer mortality according to adherence to colonoscopy |
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