A Lower Frequency of Spliceosome Mutations Distinguishes Clonal Cytopenias of Undetermined Significance From Low-Risk Myelodysplastic Syndromes, Despite Inherent Similarities in Genomic, Laboratory, and Clinical Features

Clonal cytopenias of undetermined significance (CCUS) are associated with an increased risk of developing a myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS); however, the mechanism and factors associated with evolution remain unclear. We propose that next-generation sequencing (NGS) of cytopenic cases with equivocal morphologic dysplasia will improve patient clinical care and that serial sequencing of such equivocal cases could identify the factors that predict evolution to MDS. We performed targeted NGS of samples from 193 individuals with confirmed or suspected MDS or MDS/myeloproliferative neoplasm, including sequential investigation for 28 individuals at the time of diagnosis and during follow-up. NGS facilitated the diagnosis of all suspicious cases as myeloid neoplasm (21%), CCUS (34%), or idiopathic cytopenias of undetermined significance (45%) when no variants were detected. We found that there was no significant difference in most measured clinical features or clonal phenotypes, such as cell counts, number of variants, variant allele frequencies, and overall survival, between CCUS and International Prognostic Scoring System-Revised–defined low-risk MDS. However, there was a significant difference in the types of variants between CCUS and low-risk MDS, with a significantly lower number of splicing factor mutations in CCUS cases (P < .001). Moreover, we observed an increased probability of evolution to MDS of individuals with CCUS compared with that in those with idiopathic cytopenias of undetermined significance over the first 5 years (P = .045). Our analyses revealed no conclusive pattern associating clonal expansion or the number of variants with the evolution of CCUS to MDS, perhaps further supporting the similarity of these diseases and the clinical importance of recognizing and formally defining CCUS as a category of precursor myeloid disease state in the next revision of the World Health Organization guidelines.