Cost Effectiveness of Denosumab for Secondary Prevention of Osteoporotic Fractures Among Postmenopausal Women in China: An Individual-Level Simulation Analysis

Objective This study evaluated the cost effectiveness of denosumab versus alendronate for secondary prevention of osteoporotic fractures among post-menopausal women in China. Methods A validated individual-level simulation model of osteoporotic fractures in the Chinese setting was adapted. Allowing...

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Veröffentlicht in:Applied health economics and health policy 2023-05, Vol.21 (3), p.489-499
Hauptverfasser: Jiang, Yawen, Jiang, Shan, Li, Limin, Shi, Si, Li, Mincai, Si, Lei
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creator Jiang, Yawen
Jiang, Shan
Li, Limin
Shi, Si
Li, Mincai
Si, Lei
description Objective This study evaluated the cost effectiveness of denosumab versus alendronate for secondary prevention of osteoporotic fractures among post-menopausal women in China. Methods A validated individual-level simulation model of osteoporotic fractures in the Chinese setting was adapted. Allowing both treatment discontinuation and waning effects, the analysis aimed to evaluate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of denosumab compared to alendronate by simulating a cohort of previously fractured individuals over the residual lifetime from the healthcare system perspective. Hip, vertebral, and wrist/humeral fractures were tracked along with the associated medical costs and quality-adjusted life-years. Age-related health state utility values, health state utility values of fractures, costs, fracture incidence, and mortality risks for Chinese were used whenever available. Comparative effectiveness data were obtained from a published network meta-analysis. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted. Results In the base case, denosumab was dominated by alendronate with incremental costs of CN¥2743 (US$425) and incremental health outcomes of − 0.20 quality-adjusted life-years at its current price in mainland China. It remained dominated in all one-way sensitivity analysis robustness checks. However, denosumab was cost effective if both drugs did not carry any waning effects. In the probabilistic sensitivity analysis, denosumab remained dominated in all replications. Conclusions Denosumab is not cost effective for preventing secondary fractures among overall postmenopausal women in China. It is advisable to identify alternative denosumab regimens for high-risk subgroups among previously fractured postmenopausal women.
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Methods A validated individual-level simulation model of osteoporotic fractures in the Chinese setting was adapted. Allowing both treatment discontinuation and waning effects, the analysis aimed to evaluate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of denosumab compared to alendronate by simulating a cohort of previously fractured individuals over the residual lifetime from the healthcare system perspective. Hip, vertebral, and wrist/humeral fractures were tracked along with the associated medical costs and quality-adjusted life-years. Age-related health state utility values, health state utility values of fractures, costs, fracture incidence, and mortality risks for Chinese were used whenever available. Comparative effectiveness data were obtained from a published network meta-analysis. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted. Results In the base case, denosumab was dominated by alendronate with incremental costs of CN¥2743 (US$425) and incremental health outcomes of − 0.20 quality-adjusted life-years at its current price in mainland China. It remained dominated in all one-way sensitivity analysis robustness checks. However, denosumab was cost effective if both drugs did not carry any waning effects. In the probabilistic sensitivity analysis, denosumab remained dominated in all replications. Conclusions Denosumab is not cost effective for preventing secondary fractures among overall postmenopausal women in China. It is advisable to identify alternative denosumab regimens for high-risk subgroups among previously fractured postmenopausal women.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1175-5652</identifier><identifier>ISSN: 1179-1896</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1179-1896</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1007/s40258-022-00784-3</identifier><identifier>PMID: 36626041</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Cham: Springer International Publishing</publisher><subject>Age groups ; Alendronate - therapeutic use ; Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized ; Bisphosphonates ; Bone Density Conservation Agents - therapeutic use ; Breast cancer ; Cancer therapies ; Cost analysis ; Cost-Benefit Analysis ; Cost-Effectiveness Analysis ; Denosumab - therapeutic use ; Effectiveness ; Female ; Fractures ; Health Administration ; Health care expenditures ; Health Economics ; Health risks ; Hip joint ; Humans ; Medicine ; Medicine &amp; Public Health ; Meta-Analysis as Topic ; Monoclonal antibodies ; Mortality ; Mortality risk ; Network Meta-Analysis ; Oral administration ; Original Research Article ; Osteoporosis ; Osteoporosis, Postmenopausal - complications ; Osteoporosis, Postmenopausal - drug therapy ; Osteoporosis, Postmenopausal - prevention &amp; control ; Osteoporotic Fractures - epidemiology ; Osteoporotic Fractures - prevention &amp; control ; Pharmacoeconomics and Health Outcomes ; Postmenopause ; Prevention ; Public Health ; Quality of care ; Quality of Life Research ; Quality-Adjusted Life Years ; Reimbursement ; Secondary Prevention ; Sensitivity analysis ; Simulation ; Simulation analysis ; Women ; Womens health</subject><ispartof>Applied health economics and health policy, 2023-05, Vol.21 (3), p.489-499</ispartof><rights>The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2023. 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Methods A validated individual-level simulation model of osteoporotic fractures in the Chinese setting was adapted. Allowing both treatment discontinuation and waning effects, the analysis aimed to evaluate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of denosumab compared to alendronate by simulating a cohort of previously fractured individuals over the residual lifetime from the healthcare system perspective. Hip, vertebral, and wrist/humeral fractures were tracked along with the associated medical costs and quality-adjusted life-years. Age-related health state utility values, health state utility values of fractures, costs, fracture incidence, and mortality risks for Chinese were used whenever available. Comparative effectiveness data were obtained from a published network meta-analysis. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted. 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Methods A validated individual-level simulation model of osteoporotic fractures in the Chinese setting was adapted. Allowing both treatment discontinuation and waning effects, the analysis aimed to evaluate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of denosumab compared to alendronate by simulating a cohort of previously fractured individuals over the residual lifetime from the healthcare system perspective. Hip, vertebral, and wrist/humeral fractures were tracked along with the associated medical costs and quality-adjusted life-years. Age-related health state utility values, health state utility values of fractures, costs, fracture incidence, and mortality risks for Chinese were used whenever available. Comparative effectiveness data were obtained from a published network meta-analysis. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted. Results In the base case, denosumab was dominated by alendronate with incremental costs of CN¥2743 (US$425) and incremental health outcomes of − 0.20 quality-adjusted life-years at its current price in mainland China. It remained dominated in all one-way sensitivity analysis robustness checks. However, denosumab was cost effective if both drugs did not carry any waning effects. In the probabilistic sensitivity analysis, denosumab remained dominated in all replications. Conclusions Denosumab is not cost effective for preventing secondary fractures among overall postmenopausal women in China. It is advisable to identify alternative denosumab regimens for high-risk subgroups among previously fractured postmenopausal women.</abstract><cop>Cham</cop><pub>Springer International Publishing</pub><pmid>36626041</pmid><doi>10.1007/s40258-022-00784-3</doi><tpages>11</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3044-170X</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0498-0662</orcidid></addata></record>
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subjects Age groups
Alendronate - therapeutic use
Antibodies, Monoclonal, Humanized
Bisphosphonates
Bone Density Conservation Agents - therapeutic use
Breast cancer
Cancer therapies
Cost analysis
Cost-Benefit Analysis
Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
Denosumab - therapeutic use
Effectiveness
Female
Fractures
Health Administration
Health care expenditures
Health Economics
Health risks
Hip joint
Humans
Medicine
Medicine & Public Health
Meta-Analysis as Topic
Monoclonal antibodies
Mortality
Mortality risk
Network Meta-Analysis
Oral administration
Original Research Article
Osteoporosis
Osteoporosis, Postmenopausal - complications
Osteoporosis, Postmenopausal - drug therapy
Osteoporosis, Postmenopausal - prevention & control
Osteoporotic Fractures - epidemiology
Osteoporotic Fractures - prevention & control
Pharmacoeconomics and Health Outcomes
Postmenopause
Prevention
Public Health
Quality of care
Quality of Life Research
Quality-Adjusted Life Years
Reimbursement
Secondary Prevention
Sensitivity analysis
Simulation
Simulation analysis
Women
Womens health
title Cost Effectiveness of Denosumab for Secondary Prevention of Osteoporotic Fractures Among Postmenopausal Women in China: An Individual-Level Simulation Analysis
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