A Bayesian nonparametric method for detecting rapid changes in disease transmission

Whether an outbreak of infectious disease is likely to grow or dissipate is determined through the time-varying reproduction number, Rt. Real-time or retrospective identification of changes in Rt following the imposition or relaxation of interventions can thus contribute important evidence about dis...

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Veröffentlicht in:	Journal of theoretical biology 2023-02, Vol.558, p.111351-111351, Article 111351
Hauptverfasser:	Creswell, Richard, Robinson, Martin, Gavaghan, David, Parag, Kris V., Lei, Chon Lok, Lambert, Ben
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Bayes Theorem Bayesian nonparametrics Changepoint detection COVID-19 COVID-19 - epidemiology Disease Outbreaks Epidemiology Humans Outbreaks Pandemics Reproduction number Retrospective Studies
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