A comprehensive preoperative predictive score for post-hepatectomy liver failure after hepatocellular carcinoma resection based on patient comorbidities, tumor burden, and liver function: the CTF score

Background Post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) is a dreaded complication following liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with a high mortality rate. We sought to develop a score based on preoperative factors to predict PHLF. Methods Patients who underwent resection for HCC between 200...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of gastrointestinal surgery 2022-12, Vol.26 (12), p.2486-2495
Hauptverfasser: Alaimo, Laura, Endo, Yutaka, Lima, Henrique A., Moazzam, Zorays, Shaikh, Chanza Fahim, Ruzzenente, Andrea, Guglielmi, Alfredo, Ratti, Francesca, Aldrighetti, Luca, Marques, Hugo P., Cauchy, François, Lam, Vincent, Poultsides, George A., Popescu, Irinel, Alexandrescu, Sorin, Martel, Guillaume, Hugh, Tom, Endo, Itaru, Pawlik, Timothy M.
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container_end_page 2495
container_issue 12
container_start_page 2486
container_title Journal of gastrointestinal surgery
container_volume 26
creator Alaimo, Laura
Endo, Yutaka
Lima, Henrique A.
Moazzam, Zorays
Shaikh, Chanza Fahim
Ruzzenente, Andrea
Guglielmi, Alfredo
Ratti, Francesca
Aldrighetti, Luca
Marques, Hugo P.
Cauchy, François
Lam, Vincent
Poultsides, George A.
Popescu, Irinel
Alexandrescu, Sorin
Martel, Guillaume
Hugh, Tom
Endo, Itaru
Pawlik, Timothy M.
description Background Post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) is a dreaded complication following liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with a high mortality rate. We sought to develop a score based on preoperative factors to predict PHLF. Methods Patients who underwent resection for HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified from an international multi-institutional database. Factors associated with PHLF were identified and used to develop a preoperative comorbidity-tumor burden-liver function (CTF) predictive score. Results Among 1785 patients, 106 (5.9%) experienced PHLF. On multivariate analysis, several factors were associated with PHLF including high Charlson comorbidity index (CCI ≥ 5) (OR 2.80, 95%CI, 1.08–7.26), albumin–bilirubin (ALBI) (OR 1.99, 95%CI, 1.10–3.56), and tumor burden score (TBS) (OR 1.06, 95%CI, 1.02–1.11) (all p  
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We sought to develop a score based on preoperative factors to predict PHLF. Methods Patients who underwent resection for HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified from an international multi-institutional database. Factors associated with PHLF were identified and used to develop a preoperative comorbidity-tumor burden-liver function (CTF) predictive score. Results Among 1785 patients, 106 (5.9%) experienced PHLF. On multivariate analysis, several factors were associated with PHLF including high Charlson comorbidity index (CCI ≥ 5) (OR 2.80, 95%CI, 1.08–7.26), albumin–bilirubin (ALBI) (OR 1.99, 95%CI, 1.10–3.56), and tumor burden score (TBS) (OR 1.06, 95%CI, 1.02–1.11) (all p  &lt; 0.05). Using the beta-coefficients of these variables, a weighted predictive score was developed and made available online ( https://alaimolaura.shinyapps.io/PHLFriskCalculator/ ). The CTF score (c-index = 0.67) performed better than Child–Pugh score (CPS) (c-index = 0.53) or Barcelona clinic liver cancer system (BCLC) (c-index = 0.57) to predict PHLF. A high CTF score was also an independent adverse prognostic factor for survival (HR 1.61, 95%CI, 1.12–2.30) and recurrence (HR 1.36, 95%CI, 1.08–1.71) (both p  = 0.01). Conclusion Roughly 1 in 20 patients experienced PHLF following resection of HCC. Patient (i.e., CCI), tumor (i.e., TBS), and liver function (i.e., ALBI) factors were associated with risk of PHLF. These preoperative factors were incorporated into a novel CTF tool that was made available online, which outperformed other previously proposed tools.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1091-255X</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1873-4626</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1007/s11605-022-05451-5</identifier><identifier>PMID: 36100827</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>New York: Springer US</publisher><subject>Bilirubin ; Carcinoma, Hepatocellular - pathology ; Comorbidity ; Gastroenterology ; Hepatectomy ; Hepatectomy - adverse effects ; Humans ; Liver cancer ; Liver Failure - epidemiology ; Liver Failure - etiology ; Liver Neoplasms - pathology ; Medicine ; Medicine &amp; Public Health ; Original Article ; Patients ; Prognosis ; Retrospective Studies ; Serum Albumin ; Surgery ; Tumor Burden</subject><ispartof>Journal of gastrointestinal surgery, 2022-12, Vol.26 (12), p.2486-2495</ispartof><rights>The Society for Surgery of the Alimentary Tract 2022. Springer Nature or its licensor holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.</rights><rights>2022. The Society for Surgery of the Alimentary Tract.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c375t-5b8d845816fa453694fbf41e63ce04a77ebcb088867a4630efdc52159653b1d03</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c375t-5b8d845816fa453694fbf41e63ce04a77ebcb088867a4630efdc52159653b1d03</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-7994-9870</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s11605-022-05451-5$$EPDF$$P50$$Gspringer$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11605-022-05451-5$$EHTML$$P50$$Gspringer$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,27924,27925,41488,42557,51319</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36100827$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Alaimo, Laura</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Endo, Yutaka</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lima, Henrique A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Moazzam, Zorays</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Shaikh, Chanza Fahim</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ruzzenente, Andrea</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Guglielmi, Alfredo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ratti, Francesca</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Aldrighetti, Luca</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Marques, Hugo P.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Cauchy, François</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lam, Vincent</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Poultsides, George A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Popescu, Irinel</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Alexandrescu, Sorin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Martel, Guillaume</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hugh, Tom</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Endo, Itaru</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pawlik, Timothy M.</creatorcontrib><title>A comprehensive preoperative predictive score for post-hepatectomy liver failure after hepatocellular carcinoma resection based on patient comorbidities, tumor burden, and liver function: the CTF score</title><title>Journal of gastrointestinal surgery</title><addtitle>J Gastrointest Surg</addtitle><addtitle>J Gastrointest Surg</addtitle><description>Background Post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) is a dreaded complication following liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with a high mortality rate. We sought to develop a score based on preoperative factors to predict PHLF. Methods Patients who underwent resection for HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified from an international multi-institutional database. Factors associated with PHLF were identified and used to develop a preoperative comorbidity-tumor burden-liver function (CTF) predictive score. Results Among 1785 patients, 106 (5.9%) experienced PHLF. On multivariate analysis, several factors were associated with PHLF including high Charlson comorbidity index (CCI ≥ 5) (OR 2.80, 95%CI, 1.08–7.26), albumin–bilirubin (ALBI) (OR 1.99, 95%CI, 1.10–3.56), and tumor burden score (TBS) (OR 1.06, 95%CI, 1.02–1.11) (all p  &lt; 0.05). Using the beta-coefficients of these variables, a weighted predictive score was developed and made available online ( https://alaimolaura.shinyapps.io/PHLFriskCalculator/ ). The CTF score (c-index = 0.67) performed better than Child–Pugh score (CPS) (c-index = 0.53) or Barcelona clinic liver cancer system (BCLC) (c-index = 0.57) to predict PHLF. A high CTF score was also an independent adverse prognostic factor for survival (HR 1.61, 95%CI, 1.12–2.30) and recurrence (HR 1.36, 95%CI, 1.08–1.71) (both p  = 0.01). Conclusion Roughly 1 in 20 patients experienced PHLF following resection of HCC. Patient (i.e., CCI), tumor (i.e., TBS), and liver function (i.e., ALBI) factors were associated with risk of PHLF. 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We sought to develop a score based on preoperative factors to predict PHLF. Methods Patients who underwent resection for HCC between 2000 and 2020 were identified from an international multi-institutional database. Factors associated with PHLF were identified and used to develop a preoperative comorbidity-tumor burden-liver function (CTF) predictive score. Results Among 1785 patients, 106 (5.9%) experienced PHLF. On multivariate analysis, several factors were associated with PHLF including high Charlson comorbidity index (CCI ≥ 5) (OR 2.80, 95%CI, 1.08–7.26), albumin–bilirubin (ALBI) (OR 1.99, 95%CI, 1.10–3.56), and tumor burden score (TBS) (OR 1.06, 95%CI, 1.02–1.11) (all p  &lt; 0.05). Using the beta-coefficients of these variables, a weighted predictive score was developed and made available online ( https://alaimolaura.shinyapps.io/PHLFriskCalculator/ ). The CTF score (c-index = 0.67) performed better than Child–Pugh score (CPS) (c-index = 0.53) or Barcelona clinic liver cancer system (BCLC) (c-index = 0.57) to predict PHLF. A high CTF score was also an independent adverse prognostic factor for survival (HR 1.61, 95%CI, 1.12–2.30) and recurrence (HR 1.36, 95%CI, 1.08–1.71) (both p  = 0.01). Conclusion Roughly 1 in 20 patients experienced PHLF following resection of HCC. Patient (i.e., CCI), tumor (i.e., TBS), and liver function (i.e., ALBI) factors were associated with risk of PHLF. These preoperative factors were incorporated into a novel CTF tool that was made available online, which outperformed other previously proposed tools.</abstract><cop>New York</cop><pub>Springer US</pub><pmid>36100827</pmid><doi>10.1007/s11605-022-05451-5</doi><tpages>10</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7994-9870</orcidid></addata></record>
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subjects Bilirubin
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular - pathology
Comorbidity
Gastroenterology
Hepatectomy
Hepatectomy - adverse effects
Humans
Liver cancer
Liver Failure - epidemiology
Liver Failure - etiology
Liver Neoplasms - pathology
Medicine
Medicine & Public Health
Original Article
Patients
Prognosis
Retrospective Studies
Serum Albumin
Surgery
Tumor Burden
title A comprehensive preoperative predictive score for post-hepatectomy liver failure after hepatocellular carcinoma resection based on patient comorbidities, tumor burden, and liver function: the CTF score
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