Tricuspid Regurgitation Impact on Outcomes (TRIO): A Simple Clinical Risk Score

To determine which clinical variables infer the highest risk for mortality in patients with notable tricuspid regurgitation (TR) and to develop a clinical assessment tool (the Tricuspid Regurgitation Impact on Outcomes [TRIO] score). A single-center retrospective cohort of 13,608 patients with undif...

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Veröffentlicht in:Mayo Clinic proceedings 2022-08, Vol.97 (8), p.1449-1461
Hauptverfasser: Lara-Breitinger, Kyla M., Scott, Christopher G., Nkomo, Vuyisile T., Pellikka, Patricia A., Kane, Garvan C., Chaliki, Hari P., Shapiro, Brian P., Eleid, Mackram F., Alkhouli, Mohamad, Greason, Kevin L., Pislaru, Sorin V., Rihal, Charanjit S.
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container_issue 8
container_start_page 1449
container_title Mayo Clinic proceedings
container_volume 97
creator Lara-Breitinger, Kyla M.
Scott, Christopher G.
Nkomo, Vuyisile T.
Pellikka, Patricia A.
Kane, Garvan C.
Chaliki, Hari P.
Shapiro, Brian P.
Eleid, Mackram F.
Alkhouli, Mohamad
Greason, Kevin L.
Pislaru, Sorin V.
Rihal, Charanjit S.
description To determine which clinical variables infer the highest risk for mortality in patients with notable tricuspid regurgitation (TR) and to develop a clinical assessment tool (the Tricuspid Regurgitation Impact on Outcomes [TRIO] score). A single-center retrospective cohort of 13,608 patients with undifferentiated moderate to severe TR at the time of index echocardiography between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2016, was included. Baseline demographic and clinical data were obtained. Patients were randomly assigned to a training (N=10,205) and a validation (N=3403) cohort. Median follow-up was 6.5 years (interquartile range, 0.8 to 11.0 years). Variables associated with mortality were identified by Cox proportional hazards methods. A geographically distinct cohort of 7138 patients was used for further validation. The primary end point was all-cause mortality over 10 years. The 5-year probability of death was 53% for moderate TR, 63% for moderate-severe TR (hazard ratio [HR], 1.24 [95% CI, 1.17 to 1.31]; P
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.mayocp.2022.05.015
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A single-center retrospective cohort of 13,608 patients with undifferentiated moderate to severe TR at the time of index echocardiography between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2016, was included. Baseline demographic and clinical data were obtained. Patients were randomly assigned to a training (N=10,205) and a validation (N=3403) cohort. Median follow-up was 6.5 years (interquartile range, 0.8 to 11.0 years). Variables associated with mortality were identified by Cox proportional hazards methods. A geographically distinct cohort of 7138 patients was used for further validation. The primary end point was all-cause mortality over 10 years. The 5-year probability of death was 53% for moderate TR, 63% for moderate-severe TR (hazard ratio [HR], 1.24 [95% CI, 1.17 to 1.31]; P&lt;.001 vs moderate), and 71% for severe TR (HR, 1.55 [95% CI, 1.47 to 1.64]; P&lt;.001 vs moderate). Factors associated with all-cause mortality on multivariate analysis included age 70 years or older, male sex, creatinine level greater than 2 mg/dL, congestive heart failure, chronic lung disease, aspartate aminotransferase level of 40 U/L or greater, heart rate of 90 beats/min or greater, and severe TR. Variables were assigned 1 or 2 points (HR, &gt;1.5) and added to compute the TRIO score. The score was associated with all-cause mortality (C statistic = 0.67) and was able to separate patients into risk categories. Findings were similar in the second, independent and geographically distinct cohort. The TRIO score is a simple clinical tool for risk assessment in patients with notable TR. Future prospective studies to validate its use are warranted.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0025-6196</identifier><identifier>ISSN: 1942-5546</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1942-5546</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1016/j.mayocp.2022.05.015</identifier><identifier>PMID: 35933133</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>England: Elsevier Inc</publisher><subject>Aged ; Care and treatment ; Diagnosis ; Evaluation ; Health aspects ; Humans ; Male ; Proportional Hazards Models ; Prospective Studies ; Retrospective Studies ; Risk assessment ; Risk Factors ; Severity of Illness Index ; Treatment Outcome ; Tricuspid valve insufficiency ; Tricuspid Valve Insufficiency - complications</subject><ispartof>Mayo Clinic proceedings, 2022-08, Vol.97 (8), p.1449-1461</ispartof><rights>2022 Mayo Foundation for Medical Education and Research</rights><rights>Copyright © 2022 Mayo Foundation for Medical Education and Research. Published by Elsevier Inc. 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A single-center retrospective cohort of 13,608 patients with undifferentiated moderate to severe TR at the time of index echocardiography between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2016, was included. Baseline demographic and clinical data were obtained. Patients were randomly assigned to a training (N=10,205) and a validation (N=3403) cohort. Median follow-up was 6.5 years (interquartile range, 0.8 to 11.0 years). Variables associated with mortality were identified by Cox proportional hazards methods. A geographically distinct cohort of 7138 patients was used for further validation. The primary end point was all-cause mortality over 10 years. The 5-year probability of death was 53% for moderate TR, 63% for moderate-severe TR (hazard ratio [HR], 1.24 [95% CI, 1.17 to 1.31]; P&lt;.001 vs moderate), and 71% for severe TR (HR, 1.55 [95% CI, 1.47 to 1.64]; P&lt;.001 vs moderate). Factors associated with all-cause mortality on multivariate analysis included age 70 years or older, male sex, creatinine level greater than 2 mg/dL, congestive heart failure, chronic lung disease, aspartate aminotransferase level of 40 U/L or greater, heart rate of 90 beats/min or greater, and severe TR. Variables were assigned 1 or 2 points (HR, &gt;1.5) and added to compute the TRIO score. The score was associated with all-cause mortality (C statistic = 0.67) and was able to separate patients into risk categories. Findings were similar in the second, independent and geographically distinct cohort. The TRIO score is a simple clinical tool for risk assessment in patients with notable TR. Future prospective studies to validate its use are warranted.</abstract><cop>England</cop><pub>Elsevier Inc</pub><pmid>35933133</pmid><doi>10.1016/j.mayocp.2022.05.015</doi><tpages>13</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6082-5379</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9724-3065</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9470-9605</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5256-3150</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6800-3521</orcidid></addata></record>
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subjects Aged
Care and treatment
Diagnosis
Evaluation
Health aspects
Humans
Male
Proportional Hazards Models
Prospective Studies
Retrospective Studies
Risk assessment
Risk Factors
Severity of Illness Index
Treatment Outcome
Tricuspid valve insufficiency
Tricuspid Valve Insufficiency - complications
title Tricuspid Regurgitation Impact on Outcomes (TRIO): A Simple Clinical Risk Score
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