Revisiting the Ranson score in acute pancreatitis: Is the drop in hematocrit a worrisome sign?

Background The Ranson score has 11 parameters that are complex and laborious to implement. In this study, we aimed to create a revised Ranson score by modifying the parameters in Ranson. Methods A total of 938 patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis (AP) between 2014 and 2021 were included in the...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of hepato-biliary-pancreatic sciences 2023-03, Vol.30 (3), p.315-324
Hauptverfasser: Acehan, Fatih, Tez, Mesut, Kalkan, Cagdas, Akdogan, Meral, Altiparmak, Emin, Doganay, Mutlu, Surel, Aziz Ahmet, Ates, Ihsan
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container_issue 3
container_start_page 315
container_title Journal of hepato-biliary-pancreatic sciences
container_volume 30
creator Acehan, Fatih
Tez, Mesut
Kalkan, Cagdas
Akdogan, Meral
Altiparmak, Emin
Doganay, Mutlu
Surel, Aziz Ahmet
Ates, Ihsan
description Background The Ranson score has 11 parameters that are complex and laborious to implement. In this study, we aimed to create a revised Ranson score by modifying the parameters in Ranson. Methods A total of 938 patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis (AP) between 2014 and 2021 were included in the study. The parameters of the Ranson score were included in the univariate and multivariate analyses. According to the results, some of these parameters were modified, and then the revised Ranson score was created. Results The revised Ranson system was created with nine parameters by modifying the hematocrit parameter at 48 hours and excluding the aspartate aminotransferase parameter from the scoring system. For in‐hospital mortality, the area under the curve value of the revised Ranson was 0.959 (95% CI: 0.931–0.986), and it was significantly higher compared to the three scoring systems evaluated. At a cut‐off value of 3.5, the revised Ranson had a sensitivity and specificity of 91.7% and 89.1%, respectively, for mortality. Conclusion The revised Ranson scoring system had better predictive ability for all clinical outcomes compared to the original Ranson in our large sample of 938 patients. However, the revised version should be further validated by prospective and multicenter studies.
doi_str_mv 10.1002/jhbp.1200
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In this study, we aimed to create a revised Ranson score by modifying the parameters in Ranson. Methods A total of 938 patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis (AP) between 2014 and 2021 were included in the study. The parameters of the Ranson score were included in the univariate and multivariate analyses. According to the results, some of these parameters were modified, and then the revised Ranson score was created. Results The revised Ranson system was created with nine parameters by modifying the hematocrit parameter at 48 hours and excluding the aspartate aminotransferase parameter from the scoring system. For in‐hospital mortality, the area under the curve value of the revised Ranson was 0.959 (95% CI: 0.931–0.986), and it was significantly higher compared to the three scoring systems evaluated. At a cut‐off value of 3.5, the revised Ranson had a sensitivity and specificity of 91.7% and 89.1%, respectively, for mortality. Conclusion The revised Ranson scoring system had better predictive ability for all clinical outcomes compared to the original Ranson in our large sample of 938 patients. However, the revised version should be further validated by prospective and multicenter studies.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1868-6974</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1868-6982</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1002/jhbp.1200</identifier><identifier>PMID: 35703004</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Japan: Wiley Subscription Services, Inc</publisher><subject>Acute Disease ; acute pancreatitis ; Hematocrit ; Humans ; mortality ; new scoring system ; Pancreatitis ; Pancreatitis - diagnosis ; Predictive Value of Tests ; Prognosis ; Prospective Studies ; Ranson score ; Retrospective Studies ; severity ; Severity of Illness Index</subject><ispartof>Journal of hepato-biliary-pancreatic sciences, 2023-03, Vol.30 (3), p.315-324</ispartof><rights>2022 Japanese Society of Hepato‐Biliary‐Pancreatic Surgery.</rights><rights>2022 Japanese Society of Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery.</rights><rights>Copyright © 2023 Japanese Society of Hepato‐Biliary‐Pancreatic Surgery</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3770-b5782f798eb78b456969f53b3c6225b1dee645259a4fd7e885aabd5ffd85355e3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3770-b5782f798eb78b456969f53b3c6225b1dee645259a4fd7e885aabd5ffd85355e3</cites><orcidid>0000-0001-8900-9498 ; 0000-0002-4992-1754 ; 0000-0001-8469-0907 ; 0000-0003-2858-6229 ; 0000-0001-9229-0081 ; 0000-0001-5282-9492 ; 0000-0003-4624-2542 ; 0000-0002-3354-2047</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002%2Fjhbp.1200$$EPDF$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002%2Fjhbp.1200$$EHTML$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,1416,27922,27923,45572,45573</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35703004$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Acehan, Fatih</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tez, Mesut</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kalkan, Cagdas</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Akdogan, Meral</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Altiparmak, Emin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Doganay, Mutlu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Surel, Aziz Ahmet</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ates, Ihsan</creatorcontrib><title>Revisiting the Ranson score in acute pancreatitis: Is the drop in hematocrit a worrisome sign?</title><title>Journal of hepato-biliary-pancreatic sciences</title><addtitle>J Hepatobiliary Pancreat Sci</addtitle><description>Background The Ranson score has 11 parameters that are complex and laborious to implement. In this study, we aimed to create a revised Ranson score by modifying the parameters in Ranson. Methods A total of 938 patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis (AP) between 2014 and 2021 were included in the study. The parameters of the Ranson score were included in the univariate and multivariate analyses. According to the results, some of these parameters were modified, and then the revised Ranson score was created. Results The revised Ranson system was created with nine parameters by modifying the hematocrit parameter at 48 hours and excluding the aspartate aminotransferase parameter from the scoring system. For in‐hospital mortality, the area under the curve value of the revised Ranson was 0.959 (95% CI: 0.931–0.986), and it was significantly higher compared to the three scoring systems evaluated. At a cut‐off value of 3.5, the revised Ranson had a sensitivity and specificity of 91.7% and 89.1%, respectively, for mortality. 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In this study, we aimed to create a revised Ranson score by modifying the parameters in Ranson. Methods A total of 938 patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis (AP) between 2014 and 2021 were included in the study. The parameters of the Ranson score were included in the univariate and multivariate analyses. According to the results, some of these parameters were modified, and then the revised Ranson score was created. Results The revised Ranson system was created with nine parameters by modifying the hematocrit parameter at 48 hours and excluding the aspartate aminotransferase parameter from the scoring system. For in‐hospital mortality, the area under the curve value of the revised Ranson was 0.959 (95% CI: 0.931–0.986), and it was significantly higher compared to the three scoring systems evaluated. At a cut‐off value of 3.5, the revised Ranson had a sensitivity and specificity of 91.7% and 89.1%, respectively, for mortality. 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source MEDLINE; Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete
subjects Acute Disease
acute pancreatitis
Hematocrit
Humans
mortality
new scoring system
Pancreatitis
Pancreatitis - diagnosis
Predictive Value of Tests
Prognosis
Prospective Studies
Ranson score
Retrospective Studies
severity
Severity of Illness Index
title Revisiting the Ranson score in acute pancreatitis: Is the drop in hematocrit a worrisome sign?
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