Revisiting the Ranson score in acute pancreatitis: Is the drop in hematocrit a worrisome sign?
Background The Ranson score has 11 parameters that are complex and laborious to implement. In this study, we aimed to create a revised Ranson score by modifying the parameters in Ranson. Methods A total of 938 patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis (AP) between 2014 and 2021 were included in the...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Journal of hepato-biliary-pancreatic sciences 2023-03, Vol.30 (3), p.315-324 |
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creator | Acehan, Fatih Tez, Mesut Kalkan, Cagdas Akdogan, Meral Altiparmak, Emin Doganay, Mutlu Surel, Aziz Ahmet Ates, Ihsan |
description | Background
The Ranson score has 11 parameters that are complex and laborious to implement. In this study, we aimed to create a revised Ranson score by modifying the parameters in Ranson.
Methods
A total of 938 patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis (AP) between 2014 and 2021 were included in the study. The parameters of the Ranson score were included in the univariate and multivariate analyses. According to the results, some of these parameters were modified, and then the revised Ranson score was created.
Results
The revised Ranson system was created with nine parameters by modifying the hematocrit parameter at 48 hours and excluding the aspartate aminotransferase parameter from the scoring system. For in‐hospital mortality, the area under the curve value of the revised Ranson was 0.959 (95% CI: 0.931–0.986), and it was significantly higher compared to the three scoring systems evaluated. At a cut‐off value of 3.5, the revised Ranson had a sensitivity and specificity of 91.7% and 89.1%, respectively, for mortality.
Conclusion
The revised Ranson scoring system had better predictive ability for all clinical outcomes compared to the original Ranson in our large sample of 938 patients. However, the revised version should be further validated by prospective and multicenter studies. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1002/jhbp.1200 |
format | Article |
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The Ranson score has 11 parameters that are complex and laborious to implement. In this study, we aimed to create a revised Ranson score by modifying the parameters in Ranson.
Methods
A total of 938 patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis (AP) between 2014 and 2021 were included in the study. The parameters of the Ranson score were included in the univariate and multivariate analyses. According to the results, some of these parameters were modified, and then the revised Ranson score was created.
Results
The revised Ranson system was created with nine parameters by modifying the hematocrit parameter at 48 hours and excluding the aspartate aminotransferase parameter from the scoring system. For in‐hospital mortality, the area under the curve value of the revised Ranson was 0.959 (95% CI: 0.931–0.986), and it was significantly higher compared to the three scoring systems evaluated. At a cut‐off value of 3.5, the revised Ranson had a sensitivity and specificity of 91.7% and 89.1%, respectively, for mortality.
Conclusion
The revised Ranson scoring system had better predictive ability for all clinical outcomes compared to the original Ranson in our large sample of 938 patients. However, the revised version should be further validated by prospective and multicenter studies.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1868-6974</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1868-6982</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1002/jhbp.1200</identifier><identifier>PMID: 35703004</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Japan: Wiley Subscription Services, Inc</publisher><subject>Acute Disease ; acute pancreatitis ; Hematocrit ; Humans ; mortality ; new scoring system ; Pancreatitis ; Pancreatitis - diagnosis ; Predictive Value of Tests ; Prognosis ; Prospective Studies ; Ranson score ; Retrospective Studies ; severity ; Severity of Illness Index</subject><ispartof>Journal of hepato-biliary-pancreatic sciences, 2023-03, Vol.30 (3), p.315-324</ispartof><rights>2022 Japanese Society of Hepato‐Biliary‐Pancreatic Surgery.</rights><rights>2022 Japanese Society of Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery.</rights><rights>Copyright © 2023 Japanese Society of Hepato‐Biliary‐Pancreatic Surgery</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3770-b5782f798eb78b456969f53b3c6225b1dee645259a4fd7e885aabd5ffd85355e3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3770-b5782f798eb78b456969f53b3c6225b1dee645259a4fd7e885aabd5ffd85355e3</cites><orcidid>0000-0001-8900-9498 ; 0000-0002-4992-1754 ; 0000-0001-8469-0907 ; 0000-0003-2858-6229 ; 0000-0001-9229-0081 ; 0000-0001-5282-9492 ; 0000-0003-4624-2542 ; 0000-0002-3354-2047</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002%2Fjhbp.1200$$EPDF$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002%2Fjhbp.1200$$EHTML$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,1416,27922,27923,45572,45573</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35703004$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Acehan, Fatih</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tez, Mesut</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kalkan, Cagdas</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Akdogan, Meral</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Altiparmak, Emin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Doganay, Mutlu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Surel, Aziz Ahmet</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ates, Ihsan</creatorcontrib><title>Revisiting the Ranson score in acute pancreatitis: Is the drop in hematocrit a worrisome sign?</title><title>Journal of hepato-biliary-pancreatic sciences</title><addtitle>J Hepatobiliary Pancreat Sci</addtitle><description>Background
The Ranson score has 11 parameters that are complex and laborious to implement. In this study, we aimed to create a revised Ranson score by modifying the parameters in Ranson.
Methods
A total of 938 patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis (AP) between 2014 and 2021 were included in the study. The parameters of the Ranson score were included in the univariate and multivariate analyses. According to the results, some of these parameters were modified, and then the revised Ranson score was created.
Results
The revised Ranson system was created with nine parameters by modifying the hematocrit parameter at 48 hours and excluding the aspartate aminotransferase parameter from the scoring system. For in‐hospital mortality, the area under the curve value of the revised Ranson was 0.959 (95% CI: 0.931–0.986), and it was significantly higher compared to the three scoring systems evaluated. At a cut‐off value of 3.5, the revised Ranson had a sensitivity and specificity of 91.7% and 89.1%, respectively, for mortality.
Conclusion
The revised Ranson scoring system had better predictive ability for all clinical outcomes compared to the original Ranson in our large sample of 938 patients. However, the revised version should be further validated by prospective and multicenter studies.</description><subject>Acute Disease</subject><subject>acute pancreatitis</subject><subject>Hematocrit</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>mortality</subject><subject>new scoring system</subject><subject>Pancreatitis</subject><subject>Pancreatitis - diagnosis</subject><subject>Predictive Value of Tests</subject><subject>Prognosis</subject><subject>Prospective Studies</subject><subject>Ranson score</subject><subject>Retrospective Studies</subject><subject>severity</subject><subject>Severity of Illness Index</subject><issn>1868-6974</issn><issn>1868-6982</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2023</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><recordid>eNp10M9LwzAUB_Agioru4D8gAS966JYfTZN6ERV1ykARvRrS9nXLWJuatIr_vd2mOwi-y3uHD18eX4SOKBlSQthoPsuaIWWEbKF9qhIVJali25tbxntoEMKc9MMpTznZRXtcSMIJiffR2zN82GBbW09xOwP8bOrgahxy5wHbGpu8awE3ps49mLZ34RzfhxUtvGuWZAaVaV3ubYsN_nTe2-AqwMFO64tDtFOaRYDBzz5Ar7c3L9fjaPJ4d399OYlyLiWJMiEVK2WqIJMqi0WSJmkpeMbzhDGR0QIgiQUTqYnLQoJSwpisEGVZKMGFAH6ATte5jXfvHYRWVzbksFiYGlwXNEtkkjLOUtnTkz907jpf999pJpWkVPQf9epsrXLvQvBQ6sbbyvgvTYle9q6Xvetl7709_knssgqKjfxtuQejNfi0C_j6P0k_jK-eVpHfkI6Lvg</recordid><startdate>202303</startdate><enddate>202303</enddate><creator>Acehan, Fatih</creator><creator>Tez, Mesut</creator><creator>Kalkan, Cagdas</creator><creator>Akdogan, Meral</creator><creator>Altiparmak, Emin</creator><creator>Doganay, Mutlu</creator><creator>Surel, Aziz Ahmet</creator><creator>Ates, Ihsan</creator><general>Wiley Subscription Services, Inc</general><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>7X8</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8900-9498</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4992-1754</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8469-0907</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2858-6229</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9229-0081</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5282-9492</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4624-2542</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3354-2047</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>202303</creationdate><title>Revisiting the Ranson score in acute pancreatitis: Is the drop in hematocrit a worrisome sign?</title><author>Acehan, Fatih ; Tez, Mesut ; Kalkan, Cagdas ; Akdogan, Meral ; Altiparmak, Emin ; Doganay, Mutlu ; Surel, Aziz Ahmet ; Ates, Ihsan</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c3770-b5782f798eb78b456969f53b3c6225b1dee645259a4fd7e885aabd5ffd85355e3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2023</creationdate><topic>Acute Disease</topic><topic>acute pancreatitis</topic><topic>Hematocrit</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>mortality</topic><topic>new scoring system</topic><topic>Pancreatitis</topic><topic>Pancreatitis - diagnosis</topic><topic>Predictive Value of Tests</topic><topic>Prognosis</topic><topic>Prospective Studies</topic><topic>Ranson score</topic><topic>Retrospective Studies</topic><topic>severity</topic><topic>Severity of Illness Index</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Acehan, Fatih</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tez, Mesut</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kalkan, Cagdas</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Akdogan, Meral</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Altiparmak, Emin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Doganay, Mutlu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Surel, Aziz Ahmet</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ates, Ihsan</creatorcontrib><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>ProQuest Health & Medical Complete (Alumni)</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><jtitle>Journal of hepato-biliary-pancreatic sciences</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Acehan, Fatih</au><au>Tez, Mesut</au><au>Kalkan, Cagdas</au><au>Akdogan, Meral</au><au>Altiparmak, Emin</au><au>Doganay, Mutlu</au><au>Surel, Aziz Ahmet</au><au>Ates, Ihsan</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Revisiting the Ranson score in acute pancreatitis: Is the drop in hematocrit a worrisome sign?</atitle><jtitle>Journal of hepato-biliary-pancreatic sciences</jtitle><addtitle>J Hepatobiliary Pancreat Sci</addtitle><date>2023-03</date><risdate>2023</risdate><volume>30</volume><issue>3</issue><spage>315</spage><epage>324</epage><pages>315-324</pages><issn>1868-6974</issn><eissn>1868-6982</eissn><abstract>Background
The Ranson score has 11 parameters that are complex and laborious to implement. In this study, we aimed to create a revised Ranson score by modifying the parameters in Ranson.
Methods
A total of 938 patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis (AP) between 2014 and 2021 were included in the study. The parameters of the Ranson score were included in the univariate and multivariate analyses. According to the results, some of these parameters were modified, and then the revised Ranson score was created.
Results
The revised Ranson system was created with nine parameters by modifying the hematocrit parameter at 48 hours and excluding the aspartate aminotransferase parameter from the scoring system. For in‐hospital mortality, the area under the curve value of the revised Ranson was 0.959 (95% CI: 0.931–0.986), and it was significantly higher compared to the three scoring systems evaluated. At a cut‐off value of 3.5, the revised Ranson had a sensitivity and specificity of 91.7% and 89.1%, respectively, for mortality.
Conclusion
The revised Ranson scoring system had better predictive ability for all clinical outcomes compared to the original Ranson in our large sample of 938 patients. However, the revised version should be further validated by prospective and multicenter studies.</abstract><cop>Japan</cop><pub>Wiley Subscription Services, Inc</pub><pmid>35703004</pmid><doi>10.1002/jhbp.1200</doi><tpages>10</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8900-9498</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4992-1754</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8469-0907</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2858-6229</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9229-0081</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5282-9492</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4624-2542</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3354-2047</orcidid></addata></record> |
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source | MEDLINE; Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete |
subjects | Acute Disease acute pancreatitis Hematocrit Humans mortality new scoring system Pancreatitis Pancreatitis - diagnosis Predictive Value of Tests Prognosis Prospective Studies Ranson score Retrospective Studies severity Severity of Illness Index |
title | Revisiting the Ranson score in acute pancreatitis: Is the drop in hematocrit a worrisome sign? |
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