Modified N score is helpful for identifying patients who need endoscopic intervention among those with black stools without hematemesis

Objectives Although black stools are one of the signs of upper gastrointestinal bleeding, not all patients without hematemesis need endoscopic intervention. There is no apparent indicator to select who needs treatment thus far. The aim of this study was to establish a novel score that predicts the n...

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Veröffentlicht in:Digestive endoscopy 2022-09, Vol.34 (6), p.1157-1165
Hauptverfasser: Ito, Nobuhito, Funasaka, Kohei, Fujiyoshi, Toshihisa, Furukawa, Kazuhiro, Kakushima, Naomi, Furune, Satoshi, Ishikawa, Eri, Mizutani, Yasuyuki, Sawada, Tsunaki, Maeda, Keiko, Ishikawa, Takuya, Yamamura, Takeshi, Ohno, Eizaburo, Nakamura, Masanao, Kawashima, Hiroki, Miyahara, Ryoji, Hirooka, Yoshiki, Haruta, Jun‐Ichi, Fujishiro, Mitsuhiro
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container_end_page 1165
container_issue 6
container_start_page 1157
container_title Digestive endoscopy
container_volume 34
creator Ito, Nobuhito
Funasaka, Kohei
Fujiyoshi, Toshihisa
Furukawa, Kazuhiro
Kakushima, Naomi
Furune, Satoshi
Ishikawa, Eri
Mizutani, Yasuyuki
Sawada, Tsunaki
Maeda, Keiko
Ishikawa, Takuya
Yamamura, Takeshi
Ohno, Eizaburo
Nakamura, Masanao
Kawashima, Hiroki
Miyahara, Ryoji
Hirooka, Yoshiki
Haruta, Jun‐Ichi
Fujishiro, Mitsuhiro
description Objectives Although black stools are one of the signs of upper gastrointestinal bleeding, not all patients without hematemesis need endoscopic intervention. There is no apparent indicator to select who needs treatment thus far. The aim of this study was to establish a novel score that predicts the need for endoscopic intervention in patients with black stools without hematemesis. Methods We retrospectively enrolled 721 consecutive patients with black stools without hematemesis who underwent emergency endoscopy from two facilities. In the development stage (from January 2016 to December 2018), risk factors that predict the need for endoscopic intervention were determined from the data of 422 patients by multivariate logistic regression analysis, and a novel scoring system, named the modified Nagoya University score (modified N score), was developed. In the validation stage (from January 2019 to September 2020), we evaluated the diagnostic value of the modified N score for 299 patients. Results Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed four predictive factors for endoscopic intervention: syncope, the blood urea nitrogen (BUN) level, and the BUN/creatinine ratio as positive indicators and anticoagulant drug use as a negative indicator. In the validation stage, the area under the curve of the modified N score was 0.731, and the modified N score showed a sensitivity of 82.0% and a specificity of 58.8%. Conclusions Our modified N score, which consists of only four factors, can identify patients who need endoscopic intervention among those with black stools without hematemesis.
doi_str_mv 10.1111/den.14323
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There is no apparent indicator to select who needs treatment thus far. The aim of this study was to establish a novel score that predicts the need for endoscopic intervention in patients with black stools without hematemesis. Methods We retrospectively enrolled 721 consecutive patients with black stools without hematemesis who underwent emergency endoscopy from two facilities. In the development stage (from January 2016 to December 2018), risk factors that predict the need for endoscopic intervention were determined from the data of 422 patients by multivariate logistic regression analysis, and a novel scoring system, named the modified Nagoya University score (modified N score), was developed. In the validation stage (from January 2019 to September 2020), we evaluated the diagnostic value of the modified N score for 299 patients. Results Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed four predictive factors for endoscopic intervention: syncope, the blood urea nitrogen (BUN) level, and the BUN/creatinine ratio as positive indicators and anticoagulant drug use as a negative indicator. In the validation stage, the area under the curve of the modified N score was 0.731, and the modified N score showed a sensitivity of 82.0% and a specificity of 58.8%. Conclusions Our modified N score, which consists of only four factors, can identify patients who need endoscopic intervention among those with black stools without hematemesis.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0915-5635</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1443-1661</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1111/den.14323</identifier><identifier>PMID: 35396885</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Australia</publisher><subject>blood urea nitrogen ; endoscopic intervention ; Endoscopy, Gastrointestinal ; gastrointestinal bleeding ; Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage - diagnosis ; Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage - etiology ; Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage - surgery ; hematemesis ; Hematemesis - diagnosis ; Hematemesis - etiology ; Humans ; Melena ; Retrospective Studies ; Risk Assessment ; syncope</subject><ispartof>Digestive endoscopy, 2022-09, Vol.34 (6), p.1157-1165</ispartof><rights>2022 Japan Gastroenterological Endoscopy Society.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3493-8ffce79a5e41397c757f34a33c636f92315a5e69cdbbe2492ecc6411616fe39f3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3493-8ffce79a5e41397c757f34a33c636f92315a5e69cdbbe2492ecc6411616fe39f3</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-3720-781X ; 0000-0002-7730-4630 ; 0000-0002-3869-1420 ; 0000-0002-4074-1140 ; 0000-0001-5814-3555 ; 0000-0002-9635-2099 ; 0000-0002-2421-8798</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111%2Fden.14323$$EPDF$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111%2Fden.14323$$EHTML$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,1417,27924,27925,45574,45575</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35396885$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Ito, Nobuhito</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Funasaka, Kohei</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fujiyoshi, Toshihisa</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Furukawa, Kazuhiro</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kakushima, Naomi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Furune, Satoshi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ishikawa, Eri</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mizutani, Yasuyuki</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sawada, Tsunaki</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Maeda, Keiko</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ishikawa, Takuya</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yamamura, Takeshi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ohno, Eizaburo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Nakamura, Masanao</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kawashima, Hiroki</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Miyahara, Ryoji</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hirooka, Yoshiki</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Haruta, Jun‐Ichi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fujishiro, Mitsuhiro</creatorcontrib><title>Modified N score is helpful for identifying patients who need endoscopic intervention among those with black stools without hematemesis</title><title>Digestive endoscopy</title><addtitle>Dig Endosc</addtitle><description>Objectives Although black stools are one of the signs of upper gastrointestinal bleeding, not all patients without hematemesis need endoscopic intervention. There is no apparent indicator to select who needs treatment thus far. The aim of this study was to establish a novel score that predicts the need for endoscopic intervention in patients with black stools without hematemesis. Methods We retrospectively enrolled 721 consecutive patients with black stools without hematemesis who underwent emergency endoscopy from two facilities. In the development stage (from January 2016 to December 2018), risk factors that predict the need for endoscopic intervention were determined from the data of 422 patients by multivariate logistic regression analysis, and a novel scoring system, named the modified Nagoya University score (modified N score), was developed. In the validation stage (from January 2019 to September 2020), we evaluated the diagnostic value of the modified N score for 299 patients. Results Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed four predictive factors for endoscopic intervention: syncope, the blood urea nitrogen (BUN) level, and the BUN/creatinine ratio as positive indicators and anticoagulant drug use as a negative indicator. In the validation stage, the area under the curve of the modified N score was 0.731, and the modified N score showed a sensitivity of 82.0% and a specificity of 58.8%. 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There is no apparent indicator to select who needs treatment thus far. The aim of this study was to establish a novel score that predicts the need for endoscopic intervention in patients with black stools without hematemesis. Methods We retrospectively enrolled 721 consecutive patients with black stools without hematemesis who underwent emergency endoscopy from two facilities. In the development stage (from January 2016 to December 2018), risk factors that predict the need for endoscopic intervention were determined from the data of 422 patients by multivariate logistic regression analysis, and a novel scoring system, named the modified Nagoya University score (modified N score), was developed. In the validation stage (from January 2019 to September 2020), we evaluated the diagnostic value of the modified N score for 299 patients. Results Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed four predictive factors for endoscopic intervention: syncope, the blood urea nitrogen (BUN) level, and the BUN/creatinine ratio as positive indicators and anticoagulant drug use as a negative indicator. In the validation stage, the area under the curve of the modified N score was 0.731, and the modified N score showed a sensitivity of 82.0% and a specificity of 58.8%. Conclusions Our modified N score, which consists of only four factors, can identify patients who need endoscopic intervention among those with black stools without hematemesis.</abstract><cop>Australia</cop><pmid>35396885</pmid><doi>10.1111/den.14323</doi><tpages>1165</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3720-781X</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7730-4630</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3869-1420</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4074-1140</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5814-3555</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9635-2099</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2421-8798</orcidid></addata></record>
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source MEDLINE; Wiley Journals
subjects blood urea nitrogen
endoscopic intervention
Endoscopy, Gastrointestinal
gastrointestinal bleeding
Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage - diagnosis
Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage - etiology
Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage - surgery
hematemesis
Hematemesis - diagnosis
Hematemesis - etiology
Humans
Melena
Retrospective Studies
Risk Assessment
syncope
title Modified N score is helpful for identifying patients who need endoscopic intervention among those with black stools without hematemesis
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