Modified N score is helpful for identifying patients who need endoscopic intervention among those with black stools without hematemesis
Objectives Although black stools are one of the signs of upper gastrointestinal bleeding, not all patients without hematemesis need endoscopic intervention. There is no apparent indicator to select who needs treatment thus far. The aim of this study was to establish a novel score that predicts the n...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Digestive endoscopy 2022-09, Vol.34 (6), p.1157-1165 |
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creator | Ito, Nobuhito Funasaka, Kohei Fujiyoshi, Toshihisa Furukawa, Kazuhiro Kakushima, Naomi Furune, Satoshi Ishikawa, Eri Mizutani, Yasuyuki Sawada, Tsunaki Maeda, Keiko Ishikawa, Takuya Yamamura, Takeshi Ohno, Eizaburo Nakamura, Masanao Kawashima, Hiroki Miyahara, Ryoji Hirooka, Yoshiki Haruta, Jun‐Ichi Fujishiro, Mitsuhiro |
description | Objectives
Although black stools are one of the signs of upper gastrointestinal bleeding, not all patients without hematemesis need endoscopic intervention. There is no apparent indicator to select who needs treatment thus far. The aim of this study was to establish a novel score that predicts the need for endoscopic intervention in patients with black stools without hematemesis.
Methods
We retrospectively enrolled 721 consecutive patients with black stools without hematemesis who underwent emergency endoscopy from two facilities. In the development stage (from January 2016 to December 2018), risk factors that predict the need for endoscopic intervention were determined from the data of 422 patients by multivariate logistic regression analysis, and a novel scoring system, named the modified Nagoya University score (modified N score), was developed. In the validation stage (from January 2019 to September 2020), we evaluated the diagnostic value of the modified N score for 299 patients.
Results
Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed four predictive factors for endoscopic intervention: syncope, the blood urea nitrogen (BUN) level, and the BUN/creatinine ratio as positive indicators and anticoagulant drug use as a negative indicator. In the validation stage, the area under the curve of the modified N score was 0.731, and the modified N score showed a sensitivity of 82.0% and a specificity of 58.8%.
Conclusions
Our modified N score, which consists of only four factors, can identify patients who need endoscopic intervention among those with black stools without hematemesis. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1111/den.14323 |
format | Article |
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Although black stools are one of the signs of upper gastrointestinal bleeding, not all patients without hematemesis need endoscopic intervention. There is no apparent indicator to select who needs treatment thus far. The aim of this study was to establish a novel score that predicts the need for endoscopic intervention in patients with black stools without hematemesis.
Methods
We retrospectively enrolled 721 consecutive patients with black stools without hematemesis who underwent emergency endoscopy from two facilities. In the development stage (from January 2016 to December 2018), risk factors that predict the need for endoscopic intervention were determined from the data of 422 patients by multivariate logistic regression analysis, and a novel scoring system, named the modified Nagoya University score (modified N score), was developed. In the validation stage (from January 2019 to September 2020), we evaluated the diagnostic value of the modified N score for 299 patients.
Results
Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed four predictive factors for endoscopic intervention: syncope, the blood urea nitrogen (BUN) level, and the BUN/creatinine ratio as positive indicators and anticoagulant drug use as a negative indicator. In the validation stage, the area under the curve of the modified N score was 0.731, and the modified N score showed a sensitivity of 82.0% and a specificity of 58.8%.
Conclusions
Our modified N score, which consists of only four factors, can identify patients who need endoscopic intervention among those with black stools without hematemesis.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0915-5635</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1443-1661</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1111/den.14323</identifier><identifier>PMID: 35396885</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Australia</publisher><subject>blood urea nitrogen ; endoscopic intervention ; Endoscopy, Gastrointestinal ; gastrointestinal bleeding ; Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage - diagnosis ; Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage - etiology ; Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage - surgery ; hematemesis ; Hematemesis - diagnosis ; Hematemesis - etiology ; Humans ; Melena ; Retrospective Studies ; Risk Assessment ; syncope</subject><ispartof>Digestive endoscopy, 2022-09, Vol.34 (6), p.1157-1165</ispartof><rights>2022 Japan Gastroenterological Endoscopy Society.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3493-8ffce79a5e41397c757f34a33c636f92315a5e69cdbbe2492ecc6411616fe39f3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3493-8ffce79a5e41397c757f34a33c636f92315a5e69cdbbe2492ecc6411616fe39f3</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-3720-781X ; 0000-0002-7730-4630 ; 0000-0002-3869-1420 ; 0000-0002-4074-1140 ; 0000-0001-5814-3555 ; 0000-0002-9635-2099 ; 0000-0002-2421-8798</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111%2Fden.14323$$EPDF$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111%2Fden.14323$$EHTML$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,1417,27924,27925,45574,45575</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35396885$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Ito, Nobuhito</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Funasaka, Kohei</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fujiyoshi, Toshihisa</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Furukawa, Kazuhiro</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kakushima, Naomi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Furune, Satoshi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ishikawa, Eri</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mizutani, Yasuyuki</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sawada, Tsunaki</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Maeda, Keiko</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ishikawa, Takuya</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yamamura, Takeshi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ohno, Eizaburo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Nakamura, Masanao</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kawashima, Hiroki</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Miyahara, Ryoji</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hirooka, Yoshiki</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Haruta, Jun‐Ichi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fujishiro, Mitsuhiro</creatorcontrib><title>Modified N score is helpful for identifying patients who need endoscopic intervention among those with black stools without hematemesis</title><title>Digestive endoscopy</title><addtitle>Dig Endosc</addtitle><description>Objectives
Although black stools are one of the signs of upper gastrointestinal bleeding, not all patients without hematemesis need endoscopic intervention. There is no apparent indicator to select who needs treatment thus far. The aim of this study was to establish a novel score that predicts the need for endoscopic intervention in patients with black stools without hematemesis.
Methods
We retrospectively enrolled 721 consecutive patients with black stools without hematemesis who underwent emergency endoscopy from two facilities. In the development stage (from January 2016 to December 2018), risk factors that predict the need for endoscopic intervention were determined from the data of 422 patients by multivariate logistic regression analysis, and a novel scoring system, named the modified Nagoya University score (modified N score), was developed. In the validation stage (from January 2019 to September 2020), we evaluated the diagnostic value of the modified N score for 299 patients.
Results
Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed four predictive factors for endoscopic intervention: syncope, the blood urea nitrogen (BUN) level, and the BUN/creatinine ratio as positive indicators and anticoagulant drug use as a negative indicator. In the validation stage, the area under the curve of the modified N score was 0.731, and the modified N score showed a sensitivity of 82.0% and a specificity of 58.8%.
Conclusions
Our modified N score, which consists of only four factors, can identify patients who need endoscopic intervention among those with black stools without hematemesis.</description><subject>blood urea nitrogen</subject><subject>endoscopic intervention</subject><subject>Endoscopy, Gastrointestinal</subject><subject>gastrointestinal bleeding</subject><subject>Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage - diagnosis</subject><subject>Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage - etiology</subject><subject>Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage - surgery</subject><subject>hematemesis</subject><subject>Hematemesis - diagnosis</subject><subject>Hematemesis - etiology</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Melena</subject><subject>Retrospective Studies</subject><subject>Risk Assessment</subject><subject>syncope</subject><issn>0915-5635</issn><issn>1443-1661</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2022</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><recordid>eNp1kLtOwzAUhi0EglIYeAHkEYaUOL40HlEpF6mUBebIcY6pIYlD7FD1CXhtDAU2vFg-5_s_Sz9CJySdkHguKmgnhNGM7qARYYwmRAiyi0apJDzhgvIDdOj9S5qSTDK2jw4op1LkOR-hj3tXWWOhwkvstesBW49XUHdmqLFxPbZRHqzZ2PYZdyrY-PJ4vXK4hRiCtnIx1lmNbRugf_-CXYtV4yIfVs4DXtuwwmWt9Cv2wbnaf0_cEOI_jQrQgLf-CO0ZVXs4_rnH6Ol6_ji7TRYPN3ezy0WiKZM0yY3RMJWKAyNUTvWUTw1lilItqDAyo4THnZC6KkvImMxAa8EIEUQYoNLQMTrbervevQ3gQ9FYr6GuVQtu8EUmWC7TNOdZRM-3qO6d9z2Youtto_pNQdLiq_ciVlN89x7Z0x_tUDZQ_ZG_RUfgYgusbQ2b_03F1Xy5VX4C_HuPbQ</recordid><startdate>202209</startdate><enddate>202209</enddate><creator>Ito, Nobuhito</creator><creator>Funasaka, Kohei</creator><creator>Fujiyoshi, Toshihisa</creator><creator>Furukawa, Kazuhiro</creator><creator>Kakushima, Naomi</creator><creator>Furune, Satoshi</creator><creator>Ishikawa, Eri</creator><creator>Mizutani, Yasuyuki</creator><creator>Sawada, Tsunaki</creator><creator>Maeda, Keiko</creator><creator>Ishikawa, Takuya</creator><creator>Yamamura, Takeshi</creator><creator>Ohno, Eizaburo</creator><creator>Nakamura, Masanao</creator><creator>Kawashima, Hiroki</creator><creator>Miyahara, Ryoji</creator><creator>Hirooka, Yoshiki</creator><creator>Haruta, Jun‐Ichi</creator><creator>Fujishiro, Mitsuhiro</creator><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7X8</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3720-781X</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7730-4630</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3869-1420</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4074-1140</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5814-3555</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9635-2099</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2421-8798</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>202209</creationdate><title>Modified N score is helpful for identifying patients who need endoscopic intervention among those with black stools without hematemesis</title><author>Ito, Nobuhito ; Funasaka, Kohei ; Fujiyoshi, Toshihisa ; Furukawa, Kazuhiro ; Kakushima, Naomi ; Furune, Satoshi ; Ishikawa, Eri ; Mizutani, Yasuyuki ; Sawada, Tsunaki ; Maeda, Keiko ; Ishikawa, Takuya ; Yamamura, Takeshi ; Ohno, Eizaburo ; Nakamura, Masanao ; Kawashima, Hiroki ; Miyahara, Ryoji ; Hirooka, Yoshiki ; Haruta, Jun‐Ichi ; Fujishiro, Mitsuhiro</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c3493-8ffce79a5e41397c757f34a33c636f92315a5e69cdbbe2492ecc6411616fe39f3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2022</creationdate><topic>blood urea nitrogen</topic><topic>endoscopic intervention</topic><topic>Endoscopy, Gastrointestinal</topic><topic>gastrointestinal bleeding</topic><topic>Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage - diagnosis</topic><topic>Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage - etiology</topic><topic>Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage - surgery</topic><topic>hematemesis</topic><topic>Hematemesis - diagnosis</topic><topic>Hematemesis - etiology</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Melena</topic><topic>Retrospective Studies</topic><topic>Risk Assessment</topic><topic>syncope</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Ito, Nobuhito</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Funasaka, Kohei</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fujiyoshi, Toshihisa</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Furukawa, Kazuhiro</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kakushima, Naomi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Furune, Satoshi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ishikawa, Eri</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mizutani, Yasuyuki</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sawada, Tsunaki</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Maeda, Keiko</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ishikawa, Takuya</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yamamura, Takeshi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ohno, Eizaburo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Nakamura, Masanao</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kawashima, Hiroki</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Miyahara, Ryoji</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hirooka, Yoshiki</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Haruta, Jun‐Ichi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fujishiro, Mitsuhiro</creatorcontrib><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><jtitle>Digestive endoscopy</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Ito, Nobuhito</au><au>Funasaka, Kohei</au><au>Fujiyoshi, Toshihisa</au><au>Furukawa, Kazuhiro</au><au>Kakushima, Naomi</au><au>Furune, Satoshi</au><au>Ishikawa, Eri</au><au>Mizutani, Yasuyuki</au><au>Sawada, Tsunaki</au><au>Maeda, Keiko</au><au>Ishikawa, Takuya</au><au>Yamamura, Takeshi</au><au>Ohno, Eizaburo</au><au>Nakamura, Masanao</au><au>Kawashima, Hiroki</au><au>Miyahara, Ryoji</au><au>Hirooka, Yoshiki</au><au>Haruta, Jun‐Ichi</au><au>Fujishiro, Mitsuhiro</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Modified N score is helpful for identifying patients who need endoscopic intervention among those with black stools without hematemesis</atitle><jtitle>Digestive endoscopy</jtitle><addtitle>Dig Endosc</addtitle><date>2022-09</date><risdate>2022</risdate><volume>34</volume><issue>6</issue><spage>1157</spage><epage>1165</epage><pages>1157-1165</pages><issn>0915-5635</issn><eissn>1443-1661</eissn><abstract>Objectives
Although black stools are one of the signs of upper gastrointestinal bleeding, not all patients without hematemesis need endoscopic intervention. There is no apparent indicator to select who needs treatment thus far. The aim of this study was to establish a novel score that predicts the need for endoscopic intervention in patients with black stools without hematemesis.
Methods
We retrospectively enrolled 721 consecutive patients with black stools without hematemesis who underwent emergency endoscopy from two facilities. In the development stage (from January 2016 to December 2018), risk factors that predict the need for endoscopic intervention were determined from the data of 422 patients by multivariate logistic regression analysis, and a novel scoring system, named the modified Nagoya University score (modified N score), was developed. In the validation stage (from January 2019 to September 2020), we evaluated the diagnostic value of the modified N score for 299 patients.
Results
Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed four predictive factors for endoscopic intervention: syncope, the blood urea nitrogen (BUN) level, and the BUN/creatinine ratio as positive indicators and anticoagulant drug use as a negative indicator. In the validation stage, the area under the curve of the modified N score was 0.731, and the modified N score showed a sensitivity of 82.0% and a specificity of 58.8%.
Conclusions
Our modified N score, which consists of only four factors, can identify patients who need endoscopic intervention among those with black stools without hematemesis.</abstract><cop>Australia</cop><pmid>35396885</pmid><doi>10.1111/den.14323</doi><tpages>1165</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3720-781X</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7730-4630</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3869-1420</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4074-1140</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5814-3555</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9635-2099</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2421-8798</orcidid></addata></record> |
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subjects | blood urea nitrogen endoscopic intervention Endoscopy, Gastrointestinal gastrointestinal bleeding Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage - diagnosis Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage - etiology Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage - surgery hematemesis Hematemesis - diagnosis Hematemesis - etiology Humans Melena Retrospective Studies Risk Assessment syncope |
title | Modified N score is helpful for identifying patients who need endoscopic intervention among those with black stools without hematemesis |
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