Effects of a Medicaid dental coverage “cliff” on dental care access among low‐income Medicare beneficiaries

Objective To evaluate how an abrupt drop‐off, or “cliff,” in Medicaid dental coverage affects access to dental care among low‐income Medicare beneficiaries. Medicaid is an important source of dental insurance for low‐income Medicare beneficiaries, but beneficiaries whose incomes slightly exceed eligibility thresholds for Medicaid have fewer affordable options for dental coverage, resulting in a dental coverage cliff above these thresholds. Data Source Medicare Current Beneficiary Surveys (MCBS) from 2016 to 2019. Study Design We used a regression discontinuity design to evaluate effects of this dental coverage cliff. This study design exploited an abrupt difference in Medicaid coverage above income eligibility thresholds in the Medicaid program for elderly and disabled populations. Data Collection The study included low‐income community‐dwelling Medicare beneficiaries surveyed in the MCBS whose incomes, measured in percentage points of the federal poverty level, were within ±75 percentage points of state‐specific Medicaid income eligibility thresholds (n = 7508 respondent‐years, which when weighted represented 26,776,719 beneficiary‐years). Principal Findings Medicare beneficiaries whose income exceeded Medicaid eligibility thresholds were 5.0 percentage points more likely to report difficulty accessing dental care due to cost concerns or a lack of insurance than beneficiaries below the thresholds (95% CI: 0.2, 9.8; p = 0.04)—a one‐third increase over the proportion reporting difficulty below the thresholds (15.0%). Conclusions A Medicaid dental coverage cliff exacerbates barriers to dental care access among low‐income Medicare beneficiaries. Expanding dental coverage for Medicare beneficiaries, particularly those who are ineligible for Medicaid, could alleviate barriers to dental care access that result from the lack of comprehensive dental coverage in Medicare.