Epidemiology of atrial fibrillation-related ischemic stroke and its association with DOAC uptake in Spain: first national population-based study 2005 to 2018

The incidence and prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF), a major risk factor for stroke, has increased substantially in the past few years. However, several studies have reported a decline in AF-related stroke rates associated with higher uptake of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs). This ecological study evaluated the association between DOAC uptake in Spain and the incidence rate (IR) of AF-related ischemic stroke. Data were obtained from the Registry of Activity of Specialized Healthcare of the Spanish Ministry of Health (RAE-MDS). AF-related ischemic strokes were identified using International Classification of Diseases codes. IR were age-standardized and adjusted to the 2013 European standard population. Poisson regression models were used to identify the association between DOAC uptake and AF-related ischemic stroke in patients aged ≥ 65 years. Before the use of DOACs, the adjusted IR of AF-related ischemic stroke increased steadily from 2005 (IR=2.20 per 100 000 person/y) to 2012 (IR=2.67). Upon DOAC uptake in Spain from 2012 onwards for AF-related ischemic stroke prevention, the IR remained constant or decreased slightly (IR in 2018=2.66). Poisson regression showed that DOAC uptake was a significant predictor for the rate of AF-related ischemic stroke in patients older than 65 years (IRR=0.995; 95%CI, 0.995-0.996). This study shows an association between DOAC use and a reduced incidence of AF-related ischemic stroke. While this association is based on aggregate data and cannot demonstrate causality, these findings suggest that higher DOAC uptake could improve health outcomes in AF patients in Spain. La prevalencia y la incidencia de la fibrilación auricular (FA), un importante factor de riesgo de ictus cardioembólico, han aumentado sustancialmente en los últimos años. Sin embargo, varios estudios europeos han observado una disminución en la tasa de ictus cardioembólico asociada con un aumento de la penetración de los anticoagulantes orales de acción directa (ACOD). Este estudio ecológico evalúa la asociación entre la penetración de los ACOD y la tasa de incidencia de ictus cardioembólicos en España. Los datos se obtuvieron del Registro de Actividad Sanitaria Especializada del Ministerio de Sanidad de España (RAE-CMBD). Los ictus cardioembólicos se identificaron mediante códigos ICD. Las tasas de incidencia se estandarizaron por edad y se ajustaron a la población estándar europea de 2013. Se utilizaron modelos de regresión de Poisson para estimar l