Kidney Function as Risk Factor and Predictor of Cardiovascular Outcomes and Mortality Among Older Adults

Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urinary albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR) are associated with cardiovascular events in the general population but their utility among older adults is unclear. We investigated the associations of eGFR and UACR with stroke, myocardial infarction (MI), and...

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Veröffentlicht in:American journal of kidney diseases 2021-03, Vol.77 (3), p.386-396.e1
Hauptverfasser: Kühn, Andreas, van der Giet, Markus, Kuhlmann, Martin K., Martus, Peter, Mielke, Nina, Ebert, Natalie, Schaeffner, Elke S.
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container_issue 3
container_start_page 386
container_title American journal of kidney diseases
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creator Kühn, Andreas
van der Giet, Markus
Kuhlmann, Martin K.
Martus, Peter
Mielke, Nina
Ebert, Natalie
Schaeffner, Elke S.
description Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urinary albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR) are associated with cardiovascular events in the general population but their utility among older adults is unclear. We investigated the associations of eGFR and UACR with stroke, myocardial infarction (MI), and death among older adults. Population-based cohort study. 1,581 participants (aged≥70 years) in the Berlin Initiative Study (BIS) without prior stroke or MI. Serum creatinine- and cystatin C–based eGFR, UACR categories, and measured GFR (n=436). Stroke, MI, and all-cause mortality. HRs and 95% CIs derived from multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models for association analyses. Net reclassification improvement (NRI) and C statistic differences comparing the predictive benefit of kidney measures with a traditional cardiovascular risk model. During a median follow-up of 8.2 years, 193 strokes, 125 MIs, and 531 deaths occurred. Independent of UACR, when GFR was estimated using the creatinine- and cystatin C–based BIS equation, eGFR of 45 to 59mL/min/1.73m2 (vs eGFR>60mL/min/1.73m2) was associated with stroke (HR, 2.23; 95% CI, 1.55-3.21) but not MI or all-cause mortality. For those with eGFR
doi_str_mv 10.1053/j.ajkd.2020.09.015
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We investigated the associations of eGFR and UACR with stroke, myocardial infarction (MI), and death among older adults. Population-based cohort study. 1,581 participants (aged≥70 years) in the Berlin Initiative Study (BIS) without prior stroke or MI. Serum creatinine- and cystatin C–based eGFR, UACR categories, and measured GFR (n=436). Stroke, MI, and all-cause mortality. HRs and 95% CIs derived from multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models for association analyses. Net reclassification improvement (NRI) and C statistic differences comparing the predictive benefit of kidney measures with a traditional cardiovascular risk model. During a median follow-up of 8.2 years, 193 strokes, 125 MIs, and 531 deaths occurred. Independent of UACR, when GFR was estimated using the creatinine- and cystatin C–based BIS equation, eGFR of 45 to 59mL/min/1.73m2 (vs eGFR&gt;60mL/min/1.73m2) was associated with stroke (HR, 2.23; 95% CI, 1.55-3.21) but not MI or all-cause mortality. For those with eGFR&lt;45mL/min/1.73m2, the HRs were 1.99 (95% CI, 1.23-3.20) for stroke, 1.38 (95% CI, 0.81-2.36) for MI, and 1.57 (95% CI, 1.20-2.06) for mortality. Compared with UACR&lt;30mg/g, UACR of 30 to 300mg/g was not associated with stroke (HR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.63-1.33) but was associated with MI (HR, 1.65; 95% CI, 1.09-2.51) and all-cause mortality (HR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.34-1.98). Prediction analysis for stroke showed significant positive NRI for eGFR calculated using the cystatin C–based Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation and the creatinine- and cystatin C–based BIS and Full Age Spectrum equations. UACR demonstrated significant positive NRIs for MI and mortality. eGFR and UACR categorization based on single assessments; lack of cause-specific death data. eGFR of 45 to 59mL/min/1.73m2 without albuminuria was associated with stroke but not MI or all-cause mortality in older adults. In contrast, UACR of 30 to 300mg/g was associated with MI and all-cause mortality but not with stroke. Furthermore, cystatin C–based eGFR improved risk prediction for stroke in this cohort of older adults. 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We investigated the associations of eGFR and UACR with stroke, myocardial infarction (MI), and death among older adults. Population-based cohort study. 1,581 participants (aged≥70 years) in the Berlin Initiative Study (BIS) without prior stroke or MI. Serum creatinine- and cystatin C–based eGFR, UACR categories, and measured GFR (n=436). Stroke, MI, and all-cause mortality. HRs and 95% CIs derived from multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models for association analyses. Net reclassification improvement (NRI) and C statistic differences comparing the predictive benefit of kidney measures with a traditional cardiovascular risk model. During a median follow-up of 8.2 years, 193 strokes, 125 MIs, and 531 deaths occurred. Independent of UACR, when GFR was estimated using the creatinine- and cystatin C–based BIS equation, eGFR of 45 to 59mL/min/1.73m2 (vs eGFR&gt;60mL/min/1.73m2) was associated with stroke (HR, 2.23; 95% CI, 1.55-3.21) but not MI or all-cause mortality. For those with eGFR&lt;45mL/min/1.73m2, the HRs were 1.99 (95% CI, 1.23-3.20) for stroke, 1.38 (95% CI, 0.81-2.36) for MI, and 1.57 (95% CI, 1.20-2.06) for mortality. Compared with UACR&lt;30mg/g, UACR of 30 to 300mg/g was not associated with stroke (HR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.63-1.33) but was associated with MI (HR, 1.65; 95% CI, 1.09-2.51) and all-cause mortality (HR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.34-1.98). Prediction analysis for stroke showed significant positive NRI for eGFR calculated using the cystatin C–based Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation and the creatinine- and cystatin C–based BIS and Full Age Spectrum equations. UACR demonstrated significant positive NRIs for MI and mortality. eGFR and UACR categorization based on single assessments; lack of cause-specific death data. eGFR of 45 to 59mL/min/1.73m2 without albuminuria was associated with stroke but not MI or all-cause mortality in older adults. In contrast, UACR of 30 to 300mg/g was associated with MI and all-cause mortality but not with stroke. Furthermore, cystatin C–based eGFR improved risk prediction for stroke in this cohort of older adults. [Display omitted]</description><subject>Aged</subject><subject>Aged, 80 and over</subject><subject>Albuminuria - epidemiology</subject><subject>all-cause mortality</subject><subject>association</subject><subject>Berlin Initiative Study (BIS)</subject><subject>cardiovascular disease (CVD)</subject><subject>Cause of Death</subject><subject>Chronic kidney disease (CKD)</subject><subject>Cohort Studies</subject><subject>creatinine</subject><subject>Creatinine - metabolism</subject><subject>cystatin C</subject><subject>Cystatin C - metabolism</subject><subject>elderly</subject><subject>estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>Glomerular Filtration Rate</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Kidney - metabolism</subject><subject>Kidney - physiopathology</subject><subject>Kidney Function Tests</subject><subject>Male</subject><subject>measured GFR</subject><subject>Mortality</subject><subject>myocardial infarction (MI)</subject><subject>Myocardial Infarction - epidemiology</subject><subject>old age</subject><subject>prediction</subject><subject>Proportional Hazards Models</subject><subject>renal function</subject><subject>Renal Insufficiency, Chronic - epidemiology</subject><subject>Renal Insufficiency, Chronic - metabolism</subject><subject>Risk Factors</subject><subject>stroke</subject><subject>Stroke - epidemiology</subject><subject>urinary albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR)</subject><issn>0272-6386</issn><issn>1523-6838</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2021</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><recordid>eNp9kMFu1DAURS0EotPCD7BAXrJJsP0cJ5HYjEYdqCgahGBteexn8DSJi-1Umr8n0yksWT096dwr3UPIG85qzhp4f6jN4c7VgglWs75mvHlGVrwRUKkOuudkxUQrKgWduiCXOR8YYz0o9ZJcAPC-bQBW5Nfn4CY80u082RLiRE2m30K-o1tjS0zUTI5-TejC4xc93ZjkQnww2c6DSXQ3FxtHzI_gl5iKGUI50vUYp590NzhMdO3moeRX5IU3Q8bXT_eK_Nhef998qm53H28269vKSiFK5XuLngvFrcQODJPMta3x6GUjPN-DE3suGsmFAK6sg36ZaloPsJeKCQVwRd6de-9T_D1jLnoM2eIwmAnjnLWQikPXS8kXVJxRm2LOCb2-T2E06ag50yfD-qBPhvXJsGa9XgwvobdP_fN-RPcv8lfpAnw4A7isfAiYdLYBJ7s4TGiLdjH8r_8PGHmMOQ</recordid><startdate>202103</startdate><enddate>202103</enddate><creator>Kühn, Andreas</creator><creator>van der Giet, Markus</creator><creator>Kuhlmann, Martin K.</creator><creator>Martus, Peter</creator><creator>Mielke, Nina</creator><creator>Ebert, Natalie</creator><creator>Schaeffner, Elke S.</creator><general>Elsevier Inc</general><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7X8</scope></search><sort><creationdate>202103</creationdate><title>Kidney Function as Risk Factor and Predictor of Cardiovascular Outcomes and Mortality Among Older Adults</title><author>Kühn, Andreas ; 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We investigated the associations of eGFR and UACR with stroke, myocardial infarction (MI), and death among older adults. Population-based cohort study. 1,581 participants (aged≥70 years) in the Berlin Initiative Study (BIS) without prior stroke or MI. Serum creatinine- and cystatin C–based eGFR, UACR categories, and measured GFR (n=436). Stroke, MI, and all-cause mortality. HRs and 95% CIs derived from multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models for association analyses. Net reclassification improvement (NRI) and C statistic differences comparing the predictive benefit of kidney measures with a traditional cardiovascular risk model. During a median follow-up of 8.2 years, 193 strokes, 125 MIs, and 531 deaths occurred. Independent of UACR, when GFR was estimated using the creatinine- and cystatin C–based BIS equation, eGFR of 45 to 59mL/min/1.73m2 (vs eGFR&gt;60mL/min/1.73m2) was associated with stroke (HR, 2.23; 95% CI, 1.55-3.21) but not MI or all-cause mortality. For those with eGFR&lt;45mL/min/1.73m2, the HRs were 1.99 (95% CI, 1.23-3.20) for stroke, 1.38 (95% CI, 0.81-2.36) for MI, and 1.57 (95% CI, 1.20-2.06) for mortality. Compared with UACR&lt;30mg/g, UACR of 30 to 300mg/g was not associated with stroke (HR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.63-1.33) but was associated with MI (HR, 1.65; 95% CI, 1.09-2.51) and all-cause mortality (HR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.34-1.98). Prediction analysis for stroke showed significant positive NRI for eGFR calculated using the cystatin C–based Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation and the creatinine- and cystatin C–based BIS and Full Age Spectrum equations. UACR demonstrated significant positive NRIs for MI and mortality. eGFR and UACR categorization based on single assessments; lack of cause-specific death data. eGFR of 45 to 59mL/min/1.73m2 without albuminuria was associated with stroke but not MI or all-cause mortality in older adults. In contrast, UACR of 30 to 300mg/g was associated with MI and all-cause mortality but not with stroke. Furthermore, cystatin C–based eGFR improved risk prediction for stroke in this cohort of older adults. [Display omitted]</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>Elsevier Inc</pub><pmid>33197533</pmid><doi>10.1053/j.ajkd.2020.09.015</doi></addata></record>
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subjects Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Albuminuria - epidemiology
all-cause mortality
association
Berlin Initiative Study (BIS)
cardiovascular disease (CVD)
Cause of Death
Chronic kidney disease (CKD)
Cohort Studies
creatinine
Creatinine - metabolism
cystatin C
Cystatin C - metabolism
elderly
estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)
Female
Glomerular Filtration Rate
Humans
Kidney - metabolism
Kidney - physiopathology
Kidney Function Tests
Male
measured GFR
Mortality
myocardial infarction (MI)
Myocardial Infarction - epidemiology
old age
prediction
Proportional Hazards Models
renal function
Renal Insufficiency, Chronic - epidemiology
Renal Insufficiency, Chronic - metabolism
Risk Factors
stroke
Stroke - epidemiology
urinary albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR)
title Kidney Function as Risk Factor and Predictor of Cardiovascular Outcomes and Mortality Among Older Adults
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