Risk factors for incident kidney disease in older adults: an Australian prospective population‐based study

Background and Aim To determine risk factors for incident chronic kidney disease (CKD) in a large population‐based cohort. Methods This prospective opt‐in population‐based cohort study is based on the 45 and Up Study, where New South Wales residents aged ≥45 years were randomly sampled from the Serv...

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Veröffentlicht in:Internal medicine journal 2022-05, Vol.52 (5), p.808-817
Hauptverfasser: Kang, Amy, Sukkar, Louisa, Hockham, Carinna, Jun, Min, Young, Tamara, Scaria, Anish, Foote, Celine, Neuen, Brendon L., Cass, Alan, Pollock, Carol, Comino, Elizabeth, Lung, Thomas, Pecoits‐Filho, Roberto, Rogers, Kris, Jardine, Meg J.
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container_issue 5
container_start_page 808
container_title Internal medicine journal
container_volume 52
creator Kang, Amy
Sukkar, Louisa
Hockham, Carinna
Jun, Min
Young, Tamara
Scaria, Anish
Foote, Celine
Neuen, Brendon L.
Cass, Alan
Pollock, Carol
Comino, Elizabeth
Lung, Thomas
Pecoits‐Filho, Roberto
Rogers, Kris
Jardine, Meg J.
description Background and Aim To determine risk factors for incident chronic kidney disease (CKD) in a large population‐based cohort. Methods This prospective opt‐in population‐based cohort study is based on the 45 and Up Study, where New South Wales residents aged ≥45 years were randomly sampled from the Services Australia database and agreed to complete the 45 and Up Study baseline questionnaire and have their responses linked to their health data in routinely collected databases. The primary outcome was the development of incident CKD, defined as eGFR 
doi_str_mv 10.1111/imj.15074
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Methods This prospective opt‐in population‐based cohort study is based on the 45 and Up Study, where New South Wales residents aged ≥45 years were randomly sampled from the Services Australia database and agreed to complete the 45 and Up Study baseline questionnaire and have their responses linked to their health data in routinely collected databases. The primary outcome was the development of incident CKD, defined as eGFR &lt; 60 mL/min/1.73 m2. CKD incidence was calculated using Poisson regression. Risk factors for incident CKD were assessed using Cox regression in multivariable models. Results In 39 574 participants who did not have CKD at enrolment, independent factors associated with developing CKD included: older age, regional residence (HR 1.38 (1.27–1.50) for outer regional vs major city), smoking (1.13 (1.00–1.27) for current smoker vs non‐smoker), obesity (1.25 (1.16–1.35) for obese vs normal body mass index), diabetes mellitus (1.41 (1.33–1.50)), hypertension (1.53 (1.44–1.62)), coronary heart disease (1.13 (1.07–1.20)), depression/anxiety (1.16 (1.09–1.24)) and cancer (1.29 (1.20–1.39)). Migrants were less likely to develop CKD compared with people born in Australia (0.88 (0.83–0.94)). Gender, partner status and socioeconomic factors were not independently associated with developing CKD. Conclusions This large population‐based study found multiple modifiable and non‐modifiable factors were independently associated with developing CKD. In the Australian setting, the risk of CKD was higher with regional residence. Differences according to socioeconomic status were predominantly explained by age, comorbidities and harmful health‐related behaviours.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1444-0903</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1445-5994</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1111/imj.15074</identifier><identifier>PMID: 33012112</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Melbourne: John Wiley &amp; Sons Australia, Ltd</publisher><subject>45 and Up Study ; Aged ; Australia - epidemiology ; Body mass index ; Cardiovascular disease ; chronic kidney disease ; Cohort analysis ; Cohort Studies ; cohort study ; Coronary artery disease ; Diabetes mellitus ; Female ; Glomerular Filtration Rate ; Heart diseases ; Humans ; Incidence ; Kidney diseases ; Male ; Obesity ; Obesity - epidemiology ; Population ; Population studies ; Population-based studies ; population‐based cohort ; Prospective Studies ; Regression analysis ; Renal Insufficiency, Chronic - complications ; Risk Factors ; sociodemographic risk factors ; Socioeconomic factors</subject><ispartof>Internal medicine journal, 2022-05, Vol.52 (5), p.808-817</ispartof><rights>2020 Royal Australasian College of Physicians</rights><rights>2020 Royal Australasian College of Physicians.</rights><rights>2022 Royal Australasian College of Physicians</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3034-d2b9eb6c34f3cfad556dab78c21b8c66d7de6b8667c252633a6a66927beedcd33</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3034-d2b9eb6c34f3cfad556dab78c21b8c66d7de6b8667c252633a6a66927beedcd33</cites><orcidid>0000-0001-7409-2938 ; 0000-0001-9276-8380 ; 0000-0002-0300-1282</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111%2Fimj.15074$$EPDF$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111%2Fimj.15074$$EHTML$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,1411,27901,27902,45550,45551</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33012112$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Kang, Amy</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sukkar, Louisa</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hockham, Carinna</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jun, Min</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Young, Tamara</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Scaria, Anish</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Foote, Celine</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Neuen, Brendon L.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Cass, Alan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pollock, Carol</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Comino, Elizabeth</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lung, Thomas</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pecoits‐Filho, Roberto</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Rogers, Kris</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jardine, Meg J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>EXTEND45 Study Steering Committee</creatorcontrib><title>Risk factors for incident kidney disease in older adults: an Australian prospective population‐based study</title><title>Internal medicine journal</title><addtitle>Intern Med J</addtitle><description>Background and Aim To determine risk factors for incident chronic kidney disease (CKD) in a large population‐based cohort. Methods This prospective opt‐in population‐based cohort study is based on the 45 and Up Study, where New South Wales residents aged ≥45 years were randomly sampled from the Services Australia database and agreed to complete the 45 and Up Study baseline questionnaire and have their responses linked to their health data in routinely collected databases. The primary outcome was the development of incident CKD, defined as eGFR &lt; 60 mL/min/1.73 m2. CKD incidence was calculated using Poisson regression. Risk factors for incident CKD were assessed using Cox regression in multivariable models. Results In 39 574 participants who did not have CKD at enrolment, independent factors associated with developing CKD included: older age, regional residence (HR 1.38 (1.27–1.50) for outer regional vs major city), smoking (1.13 (1.00–1.27) for current smoker vs non‐smoker), obesity (1.25 (1.16–1.35) for obese vs normal body mass index), diabetes mellitus (1.41 (1.33–1.50)), hypertension (1.53 (1.44–1.62)), coronary heart disease (1.13 (1.07–1.20)), depression/anxiety (1.16 (1.09–1.24)) and cancer (1.29 (1.20–1.39)). Migrants were less likely to develop CKD compared with people born in Australia (0.88 (0.83–0.94)). Gender, partner status and socioeconomic factors were not independently associated with developing CKD. Conclusions This large population‐based study found multiple modifiable and non‐modifiable factors were independently associated with developing CKD. In the Australian setting, the risk of CKD was higher with regional residence. Differences according to socioeconomic status were predominantly explained by age, comorbidities and harmful health‐related behaviours.</description><subject>45 and Up Study</subject><subject>Aged</subject><subject>Australia - epidemiology</subject><subject>Body mass index</subject><subject>Cardiovascular disease</subject><subject>chronic kidney disease</subject><subject>Cohort analysis</subject><subject>Cohort Studies</subject><subject>cohort study</subject><subject>Coronary artery disease</subject><subject>Diabetes mellitus</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>Glomerular Filtration Rate</subject><subject>Heart diseases</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Incidence</subject><subject>Kidney diseases</subject><subject>Male</subject><subject>Obesity</subject><subject>Obesity - epidemiology</subject><subject>Population</subject><subject>Population studies</subject><subject>Population-based studies</subject><subject>population‐based cohort</subject><subject>Prospective Studies</subject><subject>Regression analysis</subject><subject>Renal Insufficiency, Chronic - complications</subject><subject>Risk Factors</subject><subject>sociodemographic risk factors</subject><subject>Socioeconomic factors</subject><issn>1444-0903</issn><issn>1445-5994</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2022</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><recordid>eNp1kctKxTAQhoMo3he-gATc6KKaW9PW3UG8ogii65AmU8gxp61Jq5ydj-Az-iRGj7oQnM0Mwzc_M_MjtEPJIU1x5GbTQ5qTQiyhdSpEnuVVJZa_apGRivA1tBHjlBBa8EqsojXOCWWUsnXk71x8xI02QxcibrqAXWuchXbAj862MMfWRdARUh933kLA2o5-iMdYt3gyxiFo71LZhy72YAb3DLjv-tHrwXXt--tbnYYtjsNo51topdE-wvZ33kQPZ6f3JxfZ9e355cnkOjOccJFZVldQS8NFw02jbZ5Lq-uiNIzWpZHSFhZkXUpZGJYzybmWWsqKFTWANZbzTbS_0E1LPY0QBzVz0YD3uoVujIoJUUpeiuIT3fuDTrsxtGk7xaSkBRFVVSbqYEGZdGUM0Kg-uJkOc0WJ-rRAJQvUlwWJ3f1WHOsZ2F_y5-cJOFoAL87D_H8ldXlztZD8AFViknY</recordid><startdate>202205</startdate><enddate>202205</enddate><creator>Kang, Amy</creator><creator>Sukkar, Louisa</creator><creator>Hockham, Carinna</creator><creator>Jun, Min</creator><creator>Young, Tamara</creator><creator>Scaria, Anish</creator><creator>Foote, Celine</creator><creator>Neuen, Brendon L.</creator><creator>Cass, Alan</creator><creator>Pollock, Carol</creator><creator>Comino, Elizabeth</creator><creator>Lung, Thomas</creator><creator>Pecoits‐Filho, Roberto</creator><creator>Rogers, Kris</creator><creator>Jardine, Meg J.</creator><general>John Wiley &amp; Sons Australia, Ltd</general><general>Wiley Subscription Services, Inc</general><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7T5</scope><scope>7U9</scope><scope>H94</scope><scope>7X8</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7409-2938</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9276-8380</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0300-1282</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>202205</creationdate><title>Risk factors for incident kidney disease in older adults: an Australian prospective population‐based study</title><author>Kang, Amy ; Sukkar, Louisa ; Hockham, Carinna ; Jun, Min ; Young, Tamara ; Scaria, Anish ; Foote, Celine ; Neuen, Brendon L. ; Cass, Alan ; Pollock, Carol ; Comino, Elizabeth ; Lung, Thomas ; Pecoits‐Filho, Roberto ; Rogers, Kris ; Jardine, Meg J.</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c3034-d2b9eb6c34f3cfad556dab78c21b8c66d7de6b8667c252633a6a66927beedcd33</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2022</creationdate><topic>45 and Up Study</topic><topic>Aged</topic><topic>Australia - epidemiology</topic><topic>Body mass index</topic><topic>Cardiovascular disease</topic><topic>chronic kidney disease</topic><topic>Cohort analysis</topic><topic>Cohort Studies</topic><topic>cohort study</topic><topic>Coronary artery disease</topic><topic>Diabetes mellitus</topic><topic>Female</topic><topic>Glomerular Filtration Rate</topic><topic>Heart diseases</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Incidence</topic><topic>Kidney diseases</topic><topic>Male</topic><topic>Obesity</topic><topic>Obesity - epidemiology</topic><topic>Population</topic><topic>Population studies</topic><topic>Population-based studies</topic><topic>population‐based cohort</topic><topic>Prospective Studies</topic><topic>Regression analysis</topic><topic>Renal Insufficiency, Chronic - complications</topic><topic>Risk Factors</topic><topic>sociodemographic risk factors</topic><topic>Socioeconomic factors</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Kang, Amy</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sukkar, Louisa</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hockham, Carinna</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jun, Min</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Young, Tamara</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Scaria, Anish</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Foote, Celine</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Neuen, Brendon L.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Cass, Alan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pollock, Carol</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Comino, Elizabeth</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lung, Thomas</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pecoits‐Filho, Roberto</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Rogers, Kris</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jardine, Meg J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>EXTEND45 Study Steering Committee</creatorcontrib><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Immunology Abstracts</collection><collection>Virology and AIDS Abstracts</collection><collection>AIDS and Cancer Research Abstracts</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><jtitle>Internal medicine journal</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Kang, Amy</au><au>Sukkar, Louisa</au><au>Hockham, Carinna</au><au>Jun, Min</au><au>Young, Tamara</au><au>Scaria, Anish</au><au>Foote, Celine</au><au>Neuen, Brendon L.</au><au>Cass, Alan</au><au>Pollock, Carol</au><au>Comino, Elizabeth</au><au>Lung, Thomas</au><au>Pecoits‐Filho, Roberto</au><au>Rogers, Kris</au><au>Jardine, Meg J.</au><aucorp>EXTEND45 Study Steering Committee</aucorp><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Risk factors for incident kidney disease in older adults: an Australian prospective population‐based study</atitle><jtitle>Internal medicine journal</jtitle><addtitle>Intern Med J</addtitle><date>2022-05</date><risdate>2022</risdate><volume>52</volume><issue>5</issue><spage>808</spage><epage>817</epage><pages>808-817</pages><issn>1444-0903</issn><eissn>1445-5994</eissn><abstract>Background and Aim To determine risk factors for incident chronic kidney disease (CKD) in a large population‐based cohort. Methods This prospective opt‐in population‐based cohort study is based on the 45 and Up Study, where New South Wales residents aged ≥45 years were randomly sampled from the Services Australia database and agreed to complete the 45 and Up Study baseline questionnaire and have their responses linked to their health data in routinely collected databases. The primary outcome was the development of incident CKD, defined as eGFR &lt; 60 mL/min/1.73 m2. CKD incidence was calculated using Poisson regression. Risk factors for incident CKD were assessed using Cox regression in multivariable models. Results In 39 574 participants who did not have CKD at enrolment, independent factors associated with developing CKD included: older age, regional residence (HR 1.38 (1.27–1.50) for outer regional vs major city), smoking (1.13 (1.00–1.27) for current smoker vs non‐smoker), obesity (1.25 (1.16–1.35) for obese vs normal body mass index), diabetes mellitus (1.41 (1.33–1.50)), hypertension (1.53 (1.44–1.62)), coronary heart disease (1.13 (1.07–1.20)), depression/anxiety (1.16 (1.09–1.24)) and cancer (1.29 (1.20–1.39)). Migrants were less likely to develop CKD compared with people born in Australia (0.88 (0.83–0.94)). Gender, partner status and socioeconomic factors were not independently associated with developing CKD. Conclusions This large population‐based study found multiple modifiable and non‐modifiable factors were independently associated with developing CKD. In the Australian setting, the risk of CKD was higher with regional residence. Differences according to socioeconomic status were predominantly explained by age, comorbidities and harmful health‐related behaviours.</abstract><cop>Melbourne</cop><pub>John Wiley &amp; Sons Australia, Ltd</pub><pmid>33012112</pmid><doi>10.1111/imj.15074</doi><tpages>10</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7409-2938</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9276-8380</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0300-1282</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects 45 and Up Study
Aged
Australia - epidemiology
Body mass index
Cardiovascular disease
chronic kidney disease
Cohort analysis
Cohort Studies
cohort study
Coronary artery disease
Diabetes mellitus
Female
Glomerular Filtration Rate
Heart diseases
Humans
Incidence
Kidney diseases
Male
Obesity
Obesity - epidemiology
Population
Population studies
Population-based studies
population‐based cohort
Prospective Studies
Regression analysis
Renal Insufficiency, Chronic - complications
Risk Factors
sociodemographic risk factors
Socioeconomic factors
title Risk factors for incident kidney disease in older adults: an Australian prospective population‐based study
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