Prognostic value of multiparametric MRI-based radiomics model: Potential role for chemotherapeutic benefits in locally advanced rectal cancer

•Radiomics analysis of pretreatment MR images could predict DFS in patients with LARC.•The nomogram can classify patients into high- vs low-risk group for DFS, DMFS and OS.•The radiomics nomogram was able to identify which patients could benefit from AC. We aimed to develop a radiomics model for the...

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Veröffentlicht in:Radiotherapy and oncology 2021-01, Vol.154, p.161-169
Hauptverfasser: Cui, Yanfen, Yang, Wenhui, Ren, Jialiang, Li, Dandan, Du, Xiaosong, Zhang, Junjie, Yang, Xiaotang
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container_end_page 169
container_issue
container_start_page 161
container_title Radiotherapy and oncology
container_volume 154
creator Cui, Yanfen
Yang, Wenhui
Ren, Jialiang
Li, Dandan
Du, Xiaosong
Zhang, Junjie
Yang, Xiaotang
description •Radiomics analysis of pretreatment MR images could predict DFS in patients with LARC.•The nomogram can classify patients into high- vs low-risk group for DFS, DMFS and OS.•The radiomics nomogram was able to identify which patients could benefit from AC. We aimed to develop a radiomics model for the prediction of survival and chemotherapeutic benefits using pretreatment multiparameter MR images and clinicopathological features in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). 186 consecutive patients with LARC underwent feature extraction from the whole tumor on T2-weighted, contrast enhanced T1-weighted, and ADC images. Feature selection was based on feature stability and the Boruta algorithm. Radiomics signatures for predicting DFS (disease-free survival) were then generated using the selected features. Combining clinical risk factors, a radiomics nomogram was constructed using Cox proportional hazards regression model. The predictive performance was evaluated by Harrell's concordance indices (C-index) and time-independent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Four features were selected to construct the radiomics signature, significantly associated with DFS (P 
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.radonc.2020.09.039
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We aimed to develop a radiomics model for the prediction of survival and chemotherapeutic benefits using pretreatment multiparameter MR images and clinicopathological features in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). 186 consecutive patients with LARC underwent feature extraction from the whole tumor on T2-weighted, contrast enhanced T1-weighted, and ADC images. Feature selection was based on feature stability and the Boruta algorithm. Radiomics signatures for predicting DFS (disease-free survival) were then generated using the selected features. Combining clinical risk factors, a radiomics nomogram was constructed using Cox proportional hazards regression model. The predictive performance was evaluated by Harrell's concordance indices (C-index) and time-independent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Four features were selected to construct the radiomics signature, significantly associated with DFS (P &lt; 0.001). The radiomics nomogram, incorporating radiomics signature and two clinicopathological variables (pN and tumor differentiation), exhibited better prediction performance for DFS than the clinicopathological model, with C-index of 0.780 (95%CI, 0.718–0.843) and 0.803 (95%CI, 0.717–0.889) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The radiomics nomogram-defined high-risk group had a shorter DFS, DMFS, and OS than those in the low-risk group (all P &lt; 0.05). Further analysis showed that patients with higher nomogram-defined score exhibited a favorable response to adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) while the low-risk could not. This study demonstrated that the newly developed pretreatment multiparameter MRI-based radiomics model could serve as a powerful predictor of prognosis, and may act as a potential indicator for guiding AC in patients with LARC.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0167-8140</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1879-0887</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1016/j.radonc.2020.09.039</identifier><identifier>PMID: 32976874</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Ireland: Elsevier B.V</publisher><subject>Disease-free survival ; Humans ; Locally advanced rectal cancer ; Magnetic resonance imaging ; Multiparametric Magnetic Resonance Imaging ; Nomograms ; Prognosis ; Radiomics ; Rectal Neoplasms - diagnostic imaging ; Rectal Neoplasms - drug therapy ; Rectum ; Retrospective Studies</subject><ispartof>Radiotherapy and oncology, 2021-01, Vol.154, p.161-169</ispartof><rights>2020 Elsevier B.V.</rights><rights>Copyright © 2020 Elsevier B.V. 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We aimed to develop a radiomics model for the prediction of survival and chemotherapeutic benefits using pretreatment multiparameter MR images and clinicopathological features in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). 186 consecutive patients with LARC underwent feature extraction from the whole tumor on T2-weighted, contrast enhanced T1-weighted, and ADC images. Feature selection was based on feature stability and the Boruta algorithm. Radiomics signatures for predicting DFS (disease-free survival) were then generated using the selected features. Combining clinical risk factors, a radiomics nomogram was constructed using Cox proportional hazards regression model. The predictive performance was evaluated by Harrell's concordance indices (C-index) and time-independent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Four features were selected to construct the radiomics signature, significantly associated with DFS (P &lt; 0.001). The radiomics nomogram, incorporating radiomics signature and two clinicopathological variables (pN and tumor differentiation), exhibited better prediction performance for DFS than the clinicopathological model, with C-index of 0.780 (95%CI, 0.718–0.843) and 0.803 (95%CI, 0.717–0.889) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The radiomics nomogram-defined high-risk group had a shorter DFS, DMFS, and OS than those in the low-risk group (all P &lt; 0.05). Further analysis showed that patients with higher nomogram-defined score exhibited a favorable response to adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) while the low-risk could not. 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The radiomics nomogram, incorporating radiomics signature and two clinicopathological variables (pN and tumor differentiation), exhibited better prediction performance for DFS than the clinicopathological model, with C-index of 0.780 (95%CI, 0.718–0.843) and 0.803 (95%CI, 0.717–0.889) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The radiomics nomogram-defined high-risk group had a shorter DFS, DMFS, and OS than those in the low-risk group (all P &lt; 0.05). Further analysis showed that patients with higher nomogram-defined score exhibited a favorable response to adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) while the low-risk could not. 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subjects Disease-free survival
Humans
Locally advanced rectal cancer
Magnetic resonance imaging
Multiparametric Magnetic Resonance Imaging
Nomograms
Prognosis
Radiomics
Rectal Neoplasms - diagnostic imaging
Rectal Neoplasms - drug therapy
Rectum
Retrospective Studies
title Prognostic value of multiparametric MRI-based radiomics model: Potential role for chemotherapeutic benefits in locally advanced rectal cancer
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