Influence of Meteorological Factors on HFMD and Construction of Prediction Model in Sichuan Province
To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) in Sichuan Province from 2013 to 2019. To study the correlation between meteorological factors and the incidence of HFMD and construct a prediction model. The HMFD surveillance data and meteorological data from 201...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Sichuan da xue xue bao. Journal of Sichuan University. Yi xue ban 2020-09, Vol.51 (5), p.685-690 |
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| container_title | Sichuan da xue xue bao. Journal of Sichuan University. Yi xue ban |
| container_volume | 51 |
| creator | Yang, Ya-Si Lu, Ya-Ling Fang, Li-Yuan Sun, Zhao-Hua Zheng, Lin Xie, Li-Jiao Gou, Yu-Ting Zhao, Yun Si, Huan Ding, Xian-Ping |
| description | To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) in Sichuan Province from 2013 to 2019. To study the correlation between meteorological factors and the incidence of HFMD and construct a prediction model.
The HMFD surveillance data and meteorological data from 2013 to 2019 in Sichuan Province were collected through the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention and the China Meteorological data Network. Spearman correlation was used to analyze the relationship between HFMD incidence and meteorological factors. Multiple regression model and support vector regression (SVR) model were used to construct HFMD incidence prediction models respectively.
A total of 615 840 cases of HFMD and 81 deaths were reported from 2013 to 2019. The average annual incidence rate was 107.31/10
, and the mortality rate was 0.16/10
. Spearman correlation analysis showed that the monthly incidence rate of HFMD was correlated with monthly average relative humidity (
=0.342), monthly average te |
| doi_str_mv | 10.12182/20200960106 |
| format | Article |
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The HMFD surveillance data and meteorological data from 2013 to 2019 in Sichuan Province were collected through the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention and the China Meteorological data Network. Spearman correlation was used to analyze the relationship between HFMD incidence and meteorological factors. Multiple regression model and support vector regression (SVR) model were used to construct HFMD incidence prediction models respectively.
A total of 615 840 cases of HFMD and 81 deaths were reported from 2013 to 2019. The average annual incidence rate was 107.31/10
, and the mortality rate was 0.16/10
. Spearman correlation analysis showed that the monthly incidence rate of HFMD was correlated with monthly average relative humidity (
=0.342), monthly average te</description><identifier>ISSN: 1672-173X</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.12182/20200960106</identifier><identifier>PMID: 32975085</identifier><language>chi</language><publisher>China</publisher><subject>China - epidemiology ; Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease - epidemiology ; Humans ; Incidence ; Meteorological Concepts ; Temperature</subject><ispartof>Sichuan da xue xue bao. Journal of Sichuan University. Yi xue ban, 2020-09, Vol.51 (5), p.685-690</ispartof><rights>Copyright© by Editorial Board of Journal of Sichuan University (Medical Science Edition).</rights><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,27924,27925</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32975085$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Yang, Ya-Si</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lu, Ya-Ling</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fang, Li-Yuan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sun, Zhao-Hua</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zheng, Lin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Xie, Li-Jiao</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gou, Yu-Ting</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhao, Yun</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Si, Huan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ding, Xian-Ping</creatorcontrib><title>Influence of Meteorological Factors on HFMD and Construction of Prediction Model in Sichuan Province</title><title>Sichuan da xue xue bao. Journal of Sichuan University. Yi xue ban</title><addtitle>Sichuan Da Xue Xue Bao Yi Xue Ban</addtitle><description>To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) in Sichuan Province from 2013 to 2019. To study the correlation between meteorological factors and the incidence of HFMD and construct a prediction model.
The HMFD surveillance data and meteorological data from 2013 to 2019 in Sichuan Province were collected through the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention and the China Meteorological data Network. Spearman correlation was used to analyze the relationship between HFMD incidence and meteorological factors. Multiple regression model and support vector regression (SVR) model were used to construct HFMD incidence prediction models respectively.
A total of 615 840 cases of HFMD and 81 deaths were reported from 2013 to 2019. The average annual incidence rate was 107.31/10
, and the mortality rate was 0.16/10
. Spearman correlation analysis showed that the monthly incidence rate of HFMD was correlated with monthly average relative humidity (
=0.342), monthly average te</description><subject>China - epidemiology</subject><subject>Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease - epidemiology</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Incidence</subject><subject>Meteorological Concepts</subject><subject>Temperature</subject><issn>1672-173X</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2020</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><recordid>eNo1UM9LwzAYzUFxY-7mWXL0Uk3ypUl7lOncYEVBBW8lTb9ooEtm0wr-9xY2T4_38_AIueLslgteiDvBBGOlYpypMzLnSouMa_iYkWVKvmGMcwZloS_IDESpc1bkc9Jug-tGDBZpdLTCAWMfu_jpreno2tgh9onGQDfr6oGa0NJVDGnoRzv4SZ0qLz22_siq2GJHfaCv3n6NJkxe_PHT9CU5d6ZLuDzhgryvH99Wm2z3_LRd3e-yAxdqyDRIp50SqhGiZBJyBANSMmc1CGu1ACjAGc55I8Fgi1LLXAnhcmkZAocFuTnuHvr4PWIa6r1PFrvOBIxjqoWUSqkCtJqi16fo2OyxrQ-935v-t_5_Bv4AHhpijw</recordid><startdate>202009</startdate><enddate>202009</enddate><creator>Yang, Ya-Si</creator><creator>Lu, Ya-Ling</creator><creator>Fang, Li-Yuan</creator><creator>Sun, Zhao-Hua</creator><creator>Zheng, Lin</creator><creator>Xie, Li-Jiao</creator><creator>Gou, Yu-Ting</creator><creator>Zhao, Yun</creator><creator>Si, Huan</creator><creator>Ding, Xian-Ping</creator><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>7X8</scope></search><sort><creationdate>202009</creationdate><title>Influence of Meteorological Factors on HFMD and Construction of Prediction Model in Sichuan Province</title><author>Yang, Ya-Si ; Lu, Ya-Ling ; Fang, Li-Yuan ; Sun, Zhao-Hua ; Zheng, Lin ; Xie, Li-Jiao ; Gou, Yu-Ting ; Zhao, Yun ; Si, Huan ; Ding, Xian-Ping</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-p126t-734f7f626b2290435e3a3440fc732cc723383fa111b43aede4745622f54c0e313</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>chi</language><creationdate>2020</creationdate><topic>China - epidemiology</topic><topic>Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease - epidemiology</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Incidence</topic><topic>Meteorological Concepts</topic><topic>Temperature</topic><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Yang, Ya-Si</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lu, Ya-Ling</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fang, Li-Yuan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sun, Zhao-Hua</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zheng, Lin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Xie, Li-Jiao</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gou, Yu-Ting</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhao, Yun</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Si, Huan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ding, Xian-Ping</creatorcontrib><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><jtitle>Sichuan da xue xue bao. Journal of Sichuan University. Yi xue ban</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Yang, Ya-Si</au><au>Lu, Ya-Ling</au><au>Fang, Li-Yuan</au><au>Sun, Zhao-Hua</au><au>Zheng, Lin</au><au>Xie, Li-Jiao</au><au>Gou, Yu-Ting</au><au>Zhao, Yun</au><au>Si, Huan</au><au>Ding, Xian-Ping</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Influence of Meteorological Factors on HFMD and Construction of Prediction Model in Sichuan Province</atitle><jtitle>Sichuan da xue xue bao. Journal of Sichuan University. Yi xue ban</jtitle><addtitle>Sichuan Da Xue Xue Bao Yi Xue Ban</addtitle><date>2020-09</date><risdate>2020</risdate><volume>51</volume><issue>5</issue><spage>685</spage><epage>690</epage><pages>685-690</pages><issn>1672-173X</issn><abstract>To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) in Sichuan Province from 2013 to 2019. To study the correlation between meteorological factors and the incidence of HFMD and construct a prediction model.
The HMFD surveillance data and meteorological data from 2013 to 2019 in Sichuan Province were collected through the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention and the China Meteorological data Network. Spearman correlation was used to analyze the relationship between HFMD incidence and meteorological factors. Multiple regression model and support vector regression (SVR) model were used to construct HFMD incidence prediction models respectively.
A total of 615 840 cases of HFMD and 81 deaths were reported from 2013 to 2019. The average annual incidence rate was 107.31/10
, and the mortality rate was 0.16/10
. Spearman correlation analysis showed that the monthly incidence rate of HFMD was correlated with monthly average relative humidity (
=0.342), monthly average te</abstract><cop>China</cop><pmid>32975085</pmid><doi>10.12182/20200960106</doi><tpages>6</tpages></addata></record> |
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| identifier | ISSN: 1672-173X |
| ispartof | Sichuan da xue xue bao. Journal of Sichuan University. Yi xue ban, 2020-09, Vol.51 (5), p.685-690 |
| issn | 1672-173X |
| language | chi |
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| source | MEDLINE; Alma/SFX Local Collection |
| subjects | China - epidemiology Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease - epidemiology Humans Incidence Meteorological Concepts Temperature |
| title | Influence of Meteorological Factors on HFMD and Construction of Prediction Model in Sichuan Province |
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