Emerging cancer incidence trends in Canada: The growing burden of young adult cancers

Background Recent studies have identified increases in cancer incidence among younger adults for some cancers. This study examined incidence trends for 28 cancers in Canada by age and birth cohort from 1983 to 2012. Methods Canadian incidence data for 20 to 84 year‐olds were obtained from the Cancer...

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Veröffentlicht in:Cancer 2020-10, Vol.126 (20), p.4553-4562
Hauptverfasser: Heer, Emily V., Harper, Andrew S., Sung, Hyuna, Jemal, Ahmedin, Fidler‐Benaoudia, Miranda M.
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container_issue 20
container_start_page 4553
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creator Heer, Emily V.
Harper, Andrew S.
Sung, Hyuna
Jemal, Ahmedin
Fidler‐Benaoudia, Miranda M.
description Background Recent studies have identified increases in cancer incidence among younger adults for some cancers. This study examined incidence trends for 28 cancers in Canada by age and birth cohort from 1983 to 2012. Methods Canadian incidence data for 20 to 84 year‐olds were obtained from the Cancer Incidence in Five Continents Plus database. Age‐period‐cohort modeling was used to estimate the average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) and incidence rate ratios (IRRs) for 10‐year birth cohorts (reference cohort, 1943) for 28 cancer types. Results Incidence increased for 13 cancer sites among adults younger than 50 years (1983‐2012), with the largest increase occurring for rectal cancer (AAPC20‐24, 5.62; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.77‐7.51) and colon cancer (AAPC20‐24, 4.08; 95% CI, 2.89‐5.29). Compared with the 1943 birth cohort, persons born circa 1988 had approximately 5‐ and 2‐fold greater risks of rectal cancer (IRR, 4.98; 95% CI, 2.87‐8.63) and colon cancer (IRR, 2.31; 95% CI, 1.62‐3.30), respectively. Incidence decreased among younger adults for 9 sites (1983‐2012), with the largest decreases observed for lung cancer (AAPC25‐29,−2.29; 95% CI, −3.57 to −0.98), cervical cancer (AAPC25‐29, −1.29; 95% CI, −1.67 to −0.90), and melanoma (AAPC25‐29, −0.61; 95% CI, −0.97 to −0.24). Decreased risks in recent birth cohorts were observed for all sites with decreasing trends in younger adults. For example, the risk of lung cancer was 60% lower in the 1988 birth cohort than the 1943 birth cohort (IRR, 0.42; 95% CI, 0.23‐0.78). Conclusions Incidence among young adults is increasing for some cancers associated with obesity but decreasing for many cancers associated with infections or smoking. Although further studies are needed to replicate these findings and understand the etiology of early‐onset cancers, measures to promote healthy behaviors in young adults warranted. Recent studies have documented concerning increases in cancer incidence among young adults. This study demonstrates further evidence of increasing trends in the incidence of some cancer sites among young adults in Canada, which may have implications for public health efforts.
doi_str_mv 10.1002/cncr.33050
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This study examined incidence trends for 28 cancers in Canada by age and birth cohort from 1983 to 2012. Methods Canadian incidence data for 20 to 84 year‐olds were obtained from the Cancer Incidence in Five Continents Plus database. Age‐period‐cohort modeling was used to estimate the average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) and incidence rate ratios (IRRs) for 10‐year birth cohorts (reference cohort, 1943) for 28 cancer types. Results Incidence increased for 13 cancer sites among adults younger than 50 years (1983‐2012), with the largest increase occurring for rectal cancer (AAPC20‐24, 5.62; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.77‐7.51) and colon cancer (AAPC20‐24, 4.08; 95% CI, 2.89‐5.29). Compared with the 1943 birth cohort, persons born circa 1988 had approximately 5‐ and 2‐fold greater risks of rectal cancer (IRR, 4.98; 95% CI, 2.87‐8.63) and colon cancer (IRR, 2.31; 95% CI, 1.62‐3.30), respectively. Incidence decreased among younger adults for 9 sites (1983‐2012), with the largest decreases observed for lung cancer (AAPC25‐29,−2.29; 95% CI, −3.57 to −0.98), cervical cancer (AAPC25‐29, −1.29; 95% CI, −1.67 to −0.90), and melanoma (AAPC25‐29, −0.61; 95% CI, −0.97 to −0.24). Decreased risks in recent birth cohorts were observed for all sites with decreasing trends in younger adults. For example, the risk of lung cancer was 60% lower in the 1988 birth cohort than the 1943 birth cohort (IRR, 0.42; 95% CI, 0.23‐0.78). Conclusions Incidence among young adults is increasing for some cancers associated with obesity but decreasing for many cancers associated with infections or smoking. Although further studies are needed to replicate these findings and understand the etiology of early‐onset cancers, measures to promote healthy behaviors in young adults warranted. Recent studies have documented concerning increases in cancer incidence among young adults. This study demonstrates further evidence of increasing trends in the incidence of some cancer sites among young adults in Canada, which may have implications for public health efforts.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0008-543X</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1097-0142</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1002/cncr.33050</identifier><identifier>PMID: 32770762</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>United States: Wiley Subscription Services, Inc</publisher><subject>Adults ; Canada ; cancer prevention ; Cervical cancer ; Cervix ; Colon ; Colon cancer ; Colorectal cancer ; Confidence intervals ; epidemiology ; Etiology ; Health risks ; incidence ; Lung cancer ; Melanoma ; Oncology ; Rectum ; Trends ; young adult cancer ; Young adults</subject><ispartof>Cancer, 2020-10, Vol.126 (20), p.4553-4562</ispartof><rights>2020 American Cancer Society</rights><rights>2020 American Cancer Society.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c4590-d9824298173042ccd40ea397b22a0be13a726f162819b2037226470496bc79d33</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c4590-d9824298173042ccd40ea397b22a0be13a726f162819b2037226470496bc79d33</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-0000-4111 ; 0000-0002-8021-5997 ; 0000-0001-9594-9881</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002%2Fcncr.33050$$EPDF$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002%2Fcncr.33050$$EHTML$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,1411,1427,27901,27902,45550,45551,46384,46808</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32770762$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Heer, Emily V.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Harper, Andrew S.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sung, Hyuna</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jemal, Ahmedin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fidler‐Benaoudia, Miranda M.</creatorcontrib><title>Emerging cancer incidence trends in Canada: The growing burden of young adult cancers</title><title>Cancer</title><addtitle>Cancer</addtitle><description>Background Recent studies have identified increases in cancer incidence among younger adults for some cancers. This study examined incidence trends for 28 cancers in Canada by age and birth cohort from 1983 to 2012. Methods Canadian incidence data for 20 to 84 year‐olds were obtained from the Cancer Incidence in Five Continents Plus database. Age‐period‐cohort modeling was used to estimate the average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) and incidence rate ratios (IRRs) for 10‐year birth cohorts (reference cohort, 1943) for 28 cancer types. Results Incidence increased for 13 cancer sites among adults younger than 50 years (1983‐2012), with the largest increase occurring for rectal cancer (AAPC20‐24, 5.62; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.77‐7.51) and colon cancer (AAPC20‐24, 4.08; 95% CI, 2.89‐5.29). Compared with the 1943 birth cohort, persons born circa 1988 had approximately 5‐ and 2‐fold greater risks of rectal cancer (IRR, 4.98; 95% CI, 2.87‐8.63) and colon cancer (IRR, 2.31; 95% CI, 1.62‐3.30), respectively. Incidence decreased among younger adults for 9 sites (1983‐2012), with the largest decreases observed for lung cancer (AAPC25‐29,−2.29; 95% CI, −3.57 to −0.98), cervical cancer (AAPC25‐29, −1.29; 95% CI, −1.67 to −0.90), and melanoma (AAPC25‐29, −0.61; 95% CI, −0.97 to −0.24). Decreased risks in recent birth cohorts were observed for all sites with decreasing trends in younger adults. For example, the risk of lung cancer was 60% lower in the 1988 birth cohort than the 1943 birth cohort (IRR, 0.42; 95% CI, 0.23‐0.78). Conclusions Incidence among young adults is increasing for some cancers associated with obesity but decreasing for many cancers associated with infections or smoking. Although further studies are needed to replicate these findings and understand the etiology of early‐onset cancers, measures to promote healthy behaviors in young adults warranted. Recent studies have documented concerning increases in cancer incidence among young adults. 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This study examined incidence trends for 28 cancers in Canada by age and birth cohort from 1983 to 2012. Methods Canadian incidence data for 20 to 84 year‐olds were obtained from the Cancer Incidence in Five Continents Plus database. Age‐period‐cohort modeling was used to estimate the average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) and incidence rate ratios (IRRs) for 10‐year birth cohorts (reference cohort, 1943) for 28 cancer types. Results Incidence increased for 13 cancer sites among adults younger than 50 years (1983‐2012), with the largest increase occurring for rectal cancer (AAPC20‐24, 5.62; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.77‐7.51) and colon cancer (AAPC20‐24, 4.08; 95% CI, 2.89‐5.29). Compared with the 1943 birth cohort, persons born circa 1988 had approximately 5‐ and 2‐fold greater risks of rectal cancer (IRR, 4.98; 95% CI, 2.87‐8.63) and colon cancer (IRR, 2.31; 95% CI, 1.62‐3.30), respectively. Incidence decreased among younger adults for 9 sites (1983‐2012), with the largest decreases observed for lung cancer (AAPC25‐29,−2.29; 95% CI, −3.57 to −0.98), cervical cancer (AAPC25‐29, −1.29; 95% CI, −1.67 to −0.90), and melanoma (AAPC25‐29, −0.61; 95% CI, −0.97 to −0.24). Decreased risks in recent birth cohorts were observed for all sites with decreasing trends in younger adults. For example, the risk of lung cancer was 60% lower in the 1988 birth cohort than the 1943 birth cohort (IRR, 0.42; 95% CI, 0.23‐0.78). Conclusions Incidence among young adults is increasing for some cancers associated with obesity but decreasing for many cancers associated with infections or smoking. Although further studies are needed to replicate these findings and understand the etiology of early‐onset cancers, measures to promote healthy behaviors in young adults warranted. Recent studies have documented concerning increases in cancer incidence among young adults. 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source Wiley Free Content; Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete; Elektronische Zeitschriftenbibliothek - Frei zugängliche E-Journals; Alma/SFX Local Collection
subjects Adults
Canada
cancer prevention
Cervical cancer
Cervix
Colon
Colon cancer
Colorectal cancer
Confidence intervals
epidemiology
Etiology
Health risks
incidence
Lung cancer
Melanoma
Oncology
Rectum
Trends
young adult cancer
Young adults
title Emerging cancer incidence trends in Canada: The growing burden of young adult cancers
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