Harnessing multiple models for outbreak management

Expert elicitation methods and a structured decision-making framework will help account for risk and uncertainty The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has triggered efforts by multiple modeling groups to forecast disease trajectory, assess interventions, and improve understanding of the p...

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Veröffentlicht in:	Science (American Association for the Advancement of Science) 2020-05, Vol.368 (6491), p.577-579
Hauptverfasser:	Shea, Katriona, Runge, Michael C, Pannell, David, Probert, William J M, Li, Shou-Li, Tildesley, Michael, Ferrari, Matthew
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Biological activity Cognitive ability Coronavirus Infections - prevention & control Coronaviruses COVID-19 Decision Making Decision theory Disease Outbreaks - prevention & control Forecasting Humans Management Models, Statistical Outbreaks Pandemics Pandemics - prevention & control Pneumonia, Viral - prevention & control Risk Trajectory analysis Uncertainty Viral diseases
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