Long‐term liver cancer incidence and mortality trends in the Changning District of Shanghai, China

Objective To evaluate the trends and estimate the long‐term effects of age, period and birth cohort on the incidence and mortality rates of liver cancer (LC) in an urban district of Shanghai, China. Methods Crude and age‐standardized rates of the incidence and mortality of LC were calculated from 19...

Ausführliche Beschreibung

Gespeichert in:
Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Journal of digestive diseases 2020-04, Vol.21 (4), p.230-236
Hauptverfasser: Ji, Xiao Wei, Jiang, Yu, Wu, Hua, Zhou, Peng, Tan, Yu Ting, Li, Hong Lan, Zhang, Lei, Zhao, Wen Sui, Xia, Qing Hua, Bray, Freddie, Xiang, Yong Bing
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
Schlagworte:
Online-Zugang:Volltext
Tags: Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
container_end_page 236
container_issue 4
container_start_page 230
container_title Journal of digestive diseases
container_volume 21
creator Ji, Xiao Wei
Jiang, Yu
Wu, Hua
Zhou, Peng
Tan, Yu Ting
Li, Hong Lan
Zhang, Lei
Zhao, Wen Sui
Xia, Qing Hua
Bray, Freddie
Xiang, Yong Bing
description Objective To evaluate the trends and estimate the long‐term effects of age, period and birth cohort on the incidence and mortality rates of liver cancer (LC) in an urban district of Shanghai, China. Methods Crude and age‐standardized rates of the incidence and mortality of LC were calculated from 1973 to 2013 annually by sex, and the direction and magnitude of the trends were estimated by the average annual percentage change (AAPC) using the Joinpoint Regression Model. An age–period–cohort (APC) model was also used to evaluate the non‐linear effects of calendar time and birth cohort on LC incidence and mortality. Results In 1973‐1977 and 2008‐2013 the age‐standardized rates of LC incidence and mortality (per 100 000) were 24.27 and 22.60 in men, and 7.50 and 7.26 in women, respectively. Declining trends of LC incidence and mortality rates were observed for both sexes (AAPC; P 
doi_str_mv 10.1111/1751-2980.12855
format Article
fullrecord <record><control><sourceid>proquest_cross</sourceid><recordid>TN_cdi_proquest_miscellaneous_2370529521</recordid><sourceformat>XML</sourceformat><sourcesystem>PC</sourcesystem><sourcerecordid>2400900175</sourcerecordid><originalsourceid>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3715-ac30191a366e19f93ebe95640e3fcd282705a2d840a5f2be405759bdb4b88a343</originalsourceid><addsrcrecordid>eNqFkT1PwzAQhi0EglKY2ZAlFgYK_oiTeEQpX1IlBmC2HOfSGiVOsVNQN34Cv5FfgkuhAwu33Pnu8avTewgdUXJOY1zQTNARk3l8slyILTTYdLY3dcb20H4Iz4SINMvTXbTHGWWJEHKAqknnpp_vHz34Fjf2FTw22pmYrDO2glhi7Srcdr7Xje2XuPfgqhDHuJ8BLmbaTZ11Uzy2offW9Lir8cOqO9P2LM6t0wdop9ZNgMOfPERP11ePxe1ocn9zV1xORoZnVIy04YRKqnmaApW15FCCFGlCgNemYjnLiNCsyhOiRc1KSIjIhCyrMinzXPOED9HpWnfuu5cFhF61NhhoGu2gWwTFeFRgUjAa0ZM_6HO38C5up1hCiCQkmhepizVlfBeCh1rNvW21XypK1OoAamWxWtmtvg8Qfxz_6C7KFqoN_-t4BMQaeLMNLP_TU8V4vBb-AifYjyY</addsrcrecordid><sourcetype>Aggregation Database</sourcetype><iscdi>true</iscdi><recordtype>article</recordtype><pqid>2400900175</pqid></control><display><type>article</type><title>Long‐term liver cancer incidence and mortality trends in the Changning District of Shanghai, China</title><source>MEDLINE</source><source>Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete</source><creator>Ji, Xiao Wei ; Jiang, Yu ; Wu, Hua ; Zhou, Peng ; Tan, Yu Ting ; Li, Hong Lan ; Zhang, Lei ; Zhao, Wen Sui ; Xia, Qing Hua ; Bray, Freddie ; Xiang, Yong Bing</creator><creatorcontrib>Ji, Xiao Wei ; Jiang, Yu ; Wu, Hua ; Zhou, Peng ; Tan, Yu Ting ; Li, Hong Lan ; Zhang, Lei ; Zhao, Wen Sui ; Xia, Qing Hua ; Bray, Freddie ; Xiang, Yong Bing</creatorcontrib><description>Objective To evaluate the trends and estimate the long‐term effects of age, period and birth cohort on the incidence and mortality rates of liver cancer (LC) in an urban district of Shanghai, China. Methods Crude and age‐standardized rates of the incidence and mortality of LC were calculated from 1973 to 2013 annually by sex, and the direction and magnitude of the trends were estimated by the average annual percentage change (AAPC) using the Joinpoint Regression Model. An age–period–cohort (APC) model was also used to evaluate the non‐linear effects of calendar time and birth cohort on LC incidence and mortality. Results In 1973‐1977 and 2008‐2013 the age‐standardized rates of LC incidence and mortality (per 100 000) were 24.27 and 22.60 in men, and 7.50 and 7.26 in women, respectively. Declining trends of LC incidence and mortality rates were observed for both sexes (AAPC; P &lt; 0.05 for both). The APC models indicated that the rates of LC incidence and mortality were significantly influenced both by calendar time and birth cohort effects. Conclusions The incidence and mortality rates of LC have decreased in both sexes in the Changning District of Shanghai over the past four decades. Although obvious descending trends of LC incidence and mortality were detected, attention should also be paid to the LC burden for a long time in the future because of huge population size in China and the continuity of population aging.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1751-2972</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1751-2980</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1111/1751-2980.12855</identifier><identifier>PMID: 32124559</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Melbourne: Wiley Publishing Asia Pty Ltd</publisher><subject>Adenomatous polyposis coli ; Adult ; Age ; Age Distribution ; Aged ; age–period–cohort analysis ; Aging ; China - epidemiology ; Cohort analysis ; Female ; Humans ; Incidence ; Joinpoint regression model ; Liver cancer ; Liver Neoplasms - mortality ; Long-term effects ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Mortality ; Mortality - trends ; Sex Distribution ; Trends</subject><ispartof>Journal of digestive diseases, 2020-04, Vol.21 (4), p.230-236</ispartof><rights>2020 Chinese Medical Association Shanghai Branch, Chinese Society of Gastroenterology, Renji Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine and John Wiley &amp; Sons Australia, Ltd</rights><rights>2020 Chinese Medical Association Shanghai Branch, Chinese Society of Gastroenterology, Renji Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine and John Wiley &amp; Sons Australia, Ltd.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3715-ac30191a366e19f93ebe95640e3fcd282705a2d840a5f2be405759bdb4b88a343</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3715-ac30191a366e19f93ebe95640e3fcd282705a2d840a5f2be405759bdb4b88a343</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-3840-9915</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111%2F1751-2980.12855$$EPDF$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111%2F1751-2980.12855$$EHTML$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,1411,27903,27904,45553,45554</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32124559$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Ji, Xiao Wei</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jiang, Yu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wu, Hua</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhou, Peng</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tan, Yu Ting</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Li, Hong Lan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhang, Lei</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhao, Wen Sui</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Xia, Qing Hua</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bray, Freddie</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Xiang, Yong Bing</creatorcontrib><title>Long‐term liver cancer incidence and mortality trends in the Changning District of Shanghai, China</title><title>Journal of digestive diseases</title><addtitle>J Dig Dis</addtitle><description>Objective To evaluate the trends and estimate the long‐term effects of age, period and birth cohort on the incidence and mortality rates of liver cancer (LC) in an urban district of Shanghai, China. Methods Crude and age‐standardized rates of the incidence and mortality of LC were calculated from 1973 to 2013 annually by sex, and the direction and magnitude of the trends were estimated by the average annual percentage change (AAPC) using the Joinpoint Regression Model. An age–period–cohort (APC) model was also used to evaluate the non‐linear effects of calendar time and birth cohort on LC incidence and mortality. Results In 1973‐1977 and 2008‐2013 the age‐standardized rates of LC incidence and mortality (per 100 000) were 24.27 and 22.60 in men, and 7.50 and 7.26 in women, respectively. Declining trends of LC incidence and mortality rates were observed for both sexes (AAPC; P &lt; 0.05 for both). The APC models indicated that the rates of LC incidence and mortality were significantly influenced both by calendar time and birth cohort effects. Conclusions The incidence and mortality rates of LC have decreased in both sexes in the Changning District of Shanghai over the past four decades. Although obvious descending trends of LC incidence and mortality were detected, attention should also be paid to the LC burden for a long time in the future because of huge population size in China and the continuity of population aging.</description><subject>Adenomatous polyposis coli</subject><subject>Adult</subject><subject>Age</subject><subject>Age Distribution</subject><subject>Aged</subject><subject>age–period–cohort analysis</subject><subject>Aging</subject><subject>China - epidemiology</subject><subject>Cohort analysis</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Incidence</subject><subject>Joinpoint regression model</subject><subject>Liver cancer</subject><subject>Liver Neoplasms - mortality</subject><subject>Long-term effects</subject><subject>Male</subject><subject>Middle Aged</subject><subject>Mortality</subject><subject>Mortality - trends</subject><subject>Sex Distribution</subject><subject>Trends</subject><issn>1751-2972</issn><issn>1751-2980</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2020</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><recordid>eNqFkT1PwzAQhi0EglKY2ZAlFgYK_oiTeEQpX1IlBmC2HOfSGiVOsVNQN34Cv5FfgkuhAwu33Pnu8avTewgdUXJOY1zQTNARk3l8slyILTTYdLY3dcb20H4Iz4SINMvTXbTHGWWJEHKAqknnpp_vHz34Fjf2FTw22pmYrDO2glhi7Srcdr7Xje2XuPfgqhDHuJ8BLmbaTZ11Uzy2offW9Lir8cOqO9P2LM6t0wdop9ZNgMOfPERP11ePxe1ocn9zV1xORoZnVIy04YRKqnmaApW15FCCFGlCgNemYjnLiNCsyhOiRc1KSIjIhCyrMinzXPOED9HpWnfuu5cFhF61NhhoGu2gWwTFeFRgUjAa0ZM_6HO38C5up1hCiCQkmhepizVlfBeCh1rNvW21XypK1OoAamWxWtmtvg8Qfxz_6C7KFqoN_-t4BMQaeLMNLP_TU8V4vBb-AifYjyY</recordid><startdate>202004</startdate><enddate>202004</enddate><creator>Ji, Xiao Wei</creator><creator>Jiang, Yu</creator><creator>Wu, Hua</creator><creator>Zhou, Peng</creator><creator>Tan, Yu Ting</creator><creator>Li, Hong Lan</creator><creator>Zhang, Lei</creator><creator>Zhao, Wen Sui</creator><creator>Xia, Qing Hua</creator><creator>Bray, Freddie</creator><creator>Xiang, Yong Bing</creator><general>Wiley Publishing Asia Pty Ltd</general><general>Wiley Subscription Services, Inc</general><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7T5</scope><scope>H94</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>7X8</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3840-9915</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>202004</creationdate><title>Long‐term liver cancer incidence and mortality trends in the Changning District of Shanghai, China</title><author>Ji, Xiao Wei ; Jiang, Yu ; Wu, Hua ; Zhou, Peng ; Tan, Yu Ting ; Li, Hong Lan ; Zhang, Lei ; Zhao, Wen Sui ; Xia, Qing Hua ; Bray, Freddie ; Xiang, Yong Bing</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c3715-ac30191a366e19f93ebe95640e3fcd282705a2d840a5f2be405759bdb4b88a343</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2020</creationdate><topic>Adenomatous polyposis coli</topic><topic>Adult</topic><topic>Age</topic><topic>Age Distribution</topic><topic>Aged</topic><topic>age–period–cohort analysis</topic><topic>Aging</topic><topic>China - epidemiology</topic><topic>Cohort analysis</topic><topic>Female</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Incidence</topic><topic>Joinpoint regression model</topic><topic>Liver cancer</topic><topic>Liver Neoplasms - mortality</topic><topic>Long-term effects</topic><topic>Male</topic><topic>Middle Aged</topic><topic>Mortality</topic><topic>Mortality - trends</topic><topic>Sex Distribution</topic><topic>Trends</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Ji, Xiao Wei</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jiang, Yu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wu, Hua</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhou, Peng</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tan, Yu Ting</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Li, Hong Lan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhang, Lei</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhao, Wen Sui</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Xia, Qing Hua</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bray, Freddie</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Xiang, Yong Bing</creatorcontrib><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Immunology Abstracts</collection><collection>AIDS and Cancer Research Abstracts</collection><collection>ProQuest Health &amp; Medical Complete (Alumni)</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><jtitle>Journal of digestive diseases</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Ji, Xiao Wei</au><au>Jiang, Yu</au><au>Wu, Hua</au><au>Zhou, Peng</au><au>Tan, Yu Ting</au><au>Li, Hong Lan</au><au>Zhang, Lei</au><au>Zhao, Wen Sui</au><au>Xia, Qing Hua</au><au>Bray, Freddie</au><au>Xiang, Yong Bing</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Long‐term liver cancer incidence and mortality trends in the Changning District of Shanghai, China</atitle><jtitle>Journal of digestive diseases</jtitle><addtitle>J Dig Dis</addtitle><date>2020-04</date><risdate>2020</risdate><volume>21</volume><issue>4</issue><spage>230</spage><epage>236</epage><pages>230-236</pages><issn>1751-2972</issn><eissn>1751-2980</eissn><abstract>Objective To evaluate the trends and estimate the long‐term effects of age, period and birth cohort on the incidence and mortality rates of liver cancer (LC) in an urban district of Shanghai, China. Methods Crude and age‐standardized rates of the incidence and mortality of LC were calculated from 1973 to 2013 annually by sex, and the direction and magnitude of the trends were estimated by the average annual percentage change (AAPC) using the Joinpoint Regression Model. An age–period–cohort (APC) model was also used to evaluate the non‐linear effects of calendar time and birth cohort on LC incidence and mortality. Results In 1973‐1977 and 2008‐2013 the age‐standardized rates of LC incidence and mortality (per 100 000) were 24.27 and 22.60 in men, and 7.50 and 7.26 in women, respectively. Declining trends of LC incidence and mortality rates were observed for both sexes (AAPC; P &lt; 0.05 for both). The APC models indicated that the rates of LC incidence and mortality were significantly influenced both by calendar time and birth cohort effects. Conclusions The incidence and mortality rates of LC have decreased in both sexes in the Changning District of Shanghai over the past four decades. Although obvious descending trends of LC incidence and mortality were detected, attention should also be paid to the LC burden for a long time in the future because of huge population size in China and the continuity of population aging.</abstract><cop>Melbourne</cop><pub>Wiley Publishing Asia Pty Ltd</pub><pmid>32124559</pmid><doi>10.1111/1751-2980.12855</doi><tpages>7</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3840-9915</orcidid></addata></record>
fulltext fulltext
identifier ISSN: 1751-2972
ispartof Journal of digestive diseases, 2020-04, Vol.21 (4), p.230-236
issn 1751-2972
1751-2980
language eng
recordid cdi_proquest_miscellaneous_2370529521
source MEDLINE; Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete
subjects Adenomatous polyposis coli
Adult
Age
Age Distribution
Aged
age–period–cohort analysis
Aging
China - epidemiology
Cohort analysis
Female
Humans
Incidence
Joinpoint regression model
Liver cancer
Liver Neoplasms - mortality
Long-term effects
Male
Middle Aged
Mortality
Mortality - trends
Sex Distribution
Trends
title Long‐term liver cancer incidence and mortality trends in the Changning District of Shanghai, China
url https://sfx.bib-bvb.de/sfx_tum?ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info:ofi/enc:UTF-8&ctx_tim=2025-01-28T01%3A54%3A06IST&url_ver=Z39.88-2004&url_ctx_fmt=infofi/fmt:kev:mtx:ctx&rfr_id=info:sid/primo.exlibrisgroup.com:primo3-Article-proquest_cross&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Long%E2%80%90term%20liver%20cancer%20incidence%20and%20mortality%20trends%20in%20the%20Changning%20District%20of%20Shanghai,%20China&rft.jtitle=Journal%20of%20digestive%20diseases&rft.au=Ji,%20Xiao%20Wei&rft.date=2020-04&rft.volume=21&rft.issue=4&rft.spage=230&rft.epage=236&rft.pages=230-236&rft.issn=1751-2972&rft.eissn=1751-2980&rft_id=info:doi/10.1111/1751-2980.12855&rft_dat=%3Cproquest_cross%3E2400900175%3C/proquest_cross%3E%3Curl%3E%3C/url%3E&disable_directlink=true&sfx.directlink=off&sfx.report_link=0&rft_id=info:oai/&rft_pqid=2400900175&rft_id=info:pmid/32124559&rfr_iscdi=true