Prognostic value of base excess as indicator of acid-base balance in acute heart failure

Background: Acid-base balance can change as a result of pulmonary oedema and low tissue perfusion in acute heart failure patients. However, its long-term prognostic significance remains to be clarified. Methods: We prospectively examined a cohort of 472 consecutive acute heart failure patients who u...

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Veröffentlicht in:European heart journal. Acute cardiovascular care 2020-08, Vol.9 (5), p.399-405
Hauptverfasser: Nakano, Hiroki, Nagai, Toshiyuki, Honda, Yasuyuki, Honda, Satoshi, Iwakami, Naotsugu, Matsumoto, Chisa, Asaumi, Yasuhide, Aiba, Takeshi, Noguchi, Teruo, Kusano, Kengo, Yokoyama, Hiroyuki, Ogawa, Hisao, Yasuda, Satoshi, Chikamori, Taishiro, Anzai, Toshihisa
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container_end_page 405
container_issue 5
container_start_page 399
container_title European heart journal. Acute cardiovascular care
container_volume 9
creator Nakano, Hiroki
Nagai, Toshiyuki
Honda, Yasuyuki
Honda, Satoshi
Iwakami, Naotsugu
Matsumoto, Chisa
Asaumi, Yasuhide
Aiba, Takeshi
Noguchi, Teruo
Kusano, Kengo
Yokoyama, Hiroyuki
Ogawa, Hisao
Yasuda, Satoshi
Chikamori, Taishiro
Anzai, Toshihisa
description Background: Acid-base balance can change as a result of pulmonary oedema and low tissue perfusion in acute heart failure patients. However, its long-term prognostic significance remains to be clarified. Methods: We prospectively examined a cohort of 472 consecutive acute heart failure patients who underwent arterial blood gas analysis on admission between January 2013 and May 2016. Acidaemia, alkalaemia and normal range of base excess were defined as pH 7.42 and −2 to 2 mEq/L, respectively. The primary outcome was all-cause death. Results: During a median follow-up period of 714 days, 101 patients died. Although there was no difference in mortality among patients with acidaemia, normal pH and alkalaemia (p = 0.92), patients with high base excess had the highest mortality compared with others. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models revealed that high base excess was an independent determinant of mortality (hazard ratio 1.83, 95% confidence interval 1.08–3.13 (high versus normal base excess), hazard ratio 0.81, 95% confidence interval 0.47–1.41 (low versus normal base excess)), even after adjustment for significant prognostic covariates. Furthermore, regarding mortality stratified by base excess and carbon dioxide partial pressure (pCO2), patients with high base excess (>2.1 mEq/L) and high pCO2 (>40 mmHg) had the highest mortality compared with others. Conclusions: High base excess, but not low base excess, on admission was associated with long-term mortality in acute heart failure patients, indicating the importance of evaluating acid-base balance on admission by base excess for stratifying the risk of mortality in patients with acute heart failure.
doi_str_mv 10.1177/2048872619898781
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However, its long-term prognostic significance remains to be clarified. Methods: We prospectively examined a cohort of 472 consecutive acute heart failure patients who underwent arterial blood gas analysis on admission between January 2013 and May 2016. Acidaemia, alkalaemia and normal range of base excess were defined as pH &lt;7.38, &gt;7.42 and −2 to 2 mEq/L, respectively. The primary outcome was all-cause death. Results: During a median follow-up period of 714 days, 101 patients died. Although there was no difference in mortality among patients with acidaemia, normal pH and alkalaemia (p = 0.92), patients with high base excess had the highest mortality compared with others. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models revealed that high base excess was an independent determinant of mortality (hazard ratio 1.83, 95% confidence interval 1.08–3.13 (high versus normal base excess), hazard ratio 0.81, 95% confidence interval 0.47–1.41 (low versus normal base excess)), even after adjustment for significant prognostic covariates. Furthermore, regarding mortality stratified by base excess and carbon dioxide partial pressure (pCO2), patients with high base excess (&gt;2.1 mEq/L) and high pCO2 (&gt;40 mmHg) had the highest mortality compared with others. 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Acute cardiovascular care</title><addtitle>Eur Heart J Acute Cardiovasc Care</addtitle><description>Background: Acid-base balance can change as a result of pulmonary oedema and low tissue perfusion in acute heart failure patients. However, its long-term prognostic significance remains to be clarified. Methods: We prospectively examined a cohort of 472 consecutive acute heart failure patients who underwent arterial blood gas analysis on admission between January 2013 and May 2016. Acidaemia, alkalaemia and normal range of base excess were defined as pH &lt;7.38, &gt;7.42 and −2 to 2 mEq/L, respectively. The primary outcome was all-cause death. Results: During a median follow-up period of 714 days, 101 patients died. Although there was no difference in mortality among patients with acidaemia, normal pH and alkalaemia (p = 0.92), patients with high base excess had the highest mortality compared with others. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models revealed that high base excess was an independent determinant of mortality (hazard ratio 1.83, 95% confidence interval 1.08–3.13 (high versus normal base excess), hazard ratio 0.81, 95% confidence interval 0.47–1.41 (low versus normal base excess)), even after adjustment for significant prognostic covariates. Furthermore, regarding mortality stratified by base excess and carbon dioxide partial pressure (pCO2), patients with high base excess (&gt;2.1 mEq/L) and high pCO2 (&gt;40 mmHg) had the highest mortality compared with others. 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Acute cardiovascular care</jtitle><addtitle>Eur Heart J Acute Cardiovasc Care</addtitle><date>2020-08</date><risdate>2020</risdate><volume>9</volume><issue>5</issue><spage>399</spage><epage>405</epage><pages>399-405</pages><issn>2048-8726</issn><eissn>2048-8734</eissn><abstract>Background: Acid-base balance can change as a result of pulmonary oedema and low tissue perfusion in acute heart failure patients. However, its long-term prognostic significance remains to be clarified. Methods: We prospectively examined a cohort of 472 consecutive acute heart failure patients who underwent arterial blood gas analysis on admission between January 2013 and May 2016. Acidaemia, alkalaemia and normal range of base excess were defined as pH &lt;7.38, &gt;7.42 and −2 to 2 mEq/L, respectively. The primary outcome was all-cause death. Results: During a median follow-up period of 714 days, 101 patients died. Although there was no difference in mortality among patients with acidaemia, normal pH and alkalaemia (p = 0.92), patients with high base excess had the highest mortality compared with others. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models revealed that high base excess was an independent determinant of mortality (hazard ratio 1.83, 95% confidence interval 1.08–3.13 (high versus normal base excess), hazard ratio 0.81, 95% confidence interval 0.47–1.41 (low versus normal base excess)), even after adjustment for significant prognostic covariates. Furthermore, regarding mortality stratified by base excess and carbon dioxide partial pressure (pCO2), patients with high base excess (&gt;2.1 mEq/L) and high pCO2 (&gt;40 mmHg) had the highest mortality compared with others. Conclusions: High base excess, but not low base excess, on admission was associated with long-term mortality in acute heart failure patients, indicating the importance of evaluating acid-base balance on admission by base excess for stratifying the risk of mortality in patients with acute heart failure.</abstract><cop>London, England</cop><pub>SAGE Publications</pub><pmid>31970993</pmid><doi>10.1177/2048872619898781</doi><tpages>7</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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source Access via SAGE; MEDLINE; Oxford University Press Journals All Titles (1996-Current)
subjects Acid-Base Equilibrium
Acute Disease
Aged
Biomarkers - blood
Female
Follow-Up Studies
Heart Failure - blood
Heart Failure - diagnosis
Humans
Male
Prognosis
Prospective Studies
Registries
Time Factors
title Prognostic value of base excess as indicator of acid-base balance in acute heart failure
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