Global and regional diabetes prevalence estimates for 2019 and projections for 2030 and 2045: Results from the International Diabetes Federation Diabetes Atlas, 9th edition
To provide global estimates of diabetes prevalence for 2019 and projections for 2030 and 2045. A total of 255 high-quality data sources, published between 1990 and 2018 and representing 138 countries were identified. For countries without high quality in-country data, estimates were extrapolated fro...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Diabetes research and clinical practice 2019-11, Vol.157, p.107843-107843, Article 107843 |
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| container_title | Diabetes research and clinical practice |
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| creator | Saeedi, Pouya Petersohn, Inga Salpea, Paraskevi Malanda, Belma Karuranga, Suvi Unwin, Nigel Colagiuri, Stephen Guariguata, Leonor Motala, Ayesha A. Ogurtsova, Katherine Shaw, Jonathan E. Bright, Dominic Williams, Rhys |
| description | To provide global estimates of diabetes prevalence for 2019 and projections for 2030 and 2045.
A total of 255 high-quality data sources, published between 1990 and 2018 and representing 138 countries were identified. For countries without high quality in-country data, estimates were extrapolated from similar countries matched by economy, ethnicity, geography and language. Logistic regression was used to generate smoothed age-specific diabetes prevalence estimates (including previously undiagnosed diabetes) in adults aged 20–79 years.
The global diabetes prevalence in 2019 is estimated to be 9.3% (463 million people), rising to 10.2% (578 million) by 2030 and 10.9% (700 million) by 2045. The prevalence is higher in urban (10.8%) than rural (7.2%) areas, and in high-income (10.4%) than low-income countries (4.0%). One in two (50.1%) people living with diabetes do not know that they have diabetes. The global prevalence of impaired glucose tolerance is estimated to be 7.5% (374 million) in 2019 and projected to reach 8.0% (454 million) by 2030 and 8.6% (548 million) by 2045.
Just under half a billion people are living with diabetes worldwide and the number is projected to increase by 25% in 2030 and 51% in 2045. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1016/j.diabres.2019.107843 |
| format | Article |
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A total of 255 high-quality data sources, published between 1990 and 2018 and representing 138 countries were identified. For countries without high quality in-country data, estimates were extrapolated from similar countries matched by economy, ethnicity, geography and language. Logistic regression was used to generate smoothed age-specific diabetes prevalence estimates (including previously undiagnosed diabetes) in adults aged 20–79 years.
The global diabetes prevalence in 2019 is estimated to be 9.3% (463 million people), rising to 10.2% (578 million) by 2030 and 10.9% (700 million) by 2045. The prevalence is higher in urban (10.8%) than rural (7.2%) areas, and in high-income (10.4%) than low-income countries (4.0%). One in two (50.1%) people living with diabetes do not know that they have diabetes. The global prevalence of impaired glucose tolerance is estimated to be 7.5% (374 million) in 2019 and projected to reach 8.0% (454 million) by 2030 and 8.6% (548 million) by 2045.
Just under half a billion people are living with diabetes worldwide and the number is projected to increase by 25% in 2030 and 51% in 2045.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0168-8227</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1872-8227</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1016/j.diabres.2019.107843</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Elsevier B.V</publisher><subject>Diabetes ; Impaired glucose tolerance ; International Diabetes Federation ; Prevalence ; Projections ; Undiagnosed</subject><ispartof>Diabetes research and clinical practice, 2019-11, Vol.157, p.107843-107843, Article 107843</ispartof><rights>2019</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c319t-8c3f055ccc7db097fced730a76f7d25357c9a9b4af7128850fc47fd6caeabbf73</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c319t-8c3f055ccc7db097fced730a76f7d25357c9a9b4af7128850fc47fd6caeabbf73</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0168822719312306$$EHTML$$P50$$Gelsevier$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,3537,27901,27902,65306</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Saeedi, Pouya</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Petersohn, Inga</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Salpea, Paraskevi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Malanda, Belma</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Karuranga, Suvi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Unwin, Nigel</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Colagiuri, Stephen</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Guariguata, Leonor</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Motala, Ayesha A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ogurtsova, Katherine</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Shaw, Jonathan E.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bright, Dominic</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Williams, Rhys</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>On behalf of the IDF Diabetes Atlas Committee</creatorcontrib><title>Global and regional diabetes prevalence estimates for 2019 and projections for 2030 and 2045: Results from the International Diabetes Federation Diabetes Atlas, 9th edition</title><title>Diabetes research and clinical practice</title><description>To provide global estimates of diabetes prevalence for 2019 and projections for 2030 and 2045.
A total of 255 high-quality data sources, published between 1990 and 2018 and representing 138 countries were identified. For countries without high quality in-country data, estimates were extrapolated from similar countries matched by economy, ethnicity, geography and language. Logistic regression was used to generate smoothed age-specific diabetes prevalence estimates (including previously undiagnosed diabetes) in adults aged 20–79 years.
The global diabetes prevalence in 2019 is estimated to be 9.3% (463 million people), rising to 10.2% (578 million) by 2030 and 10.9% (700 million) by 2045. The prevalence is higher in urban (10.8%) than rural (7.2%) areas, and in high-income (10.4%) than low-income countries (4.0%). One in two (50.1%) people living with diabetes do not know that they have diabetes. The global prevalence of impaired glucose tolerance is estimated to be 7.5% (374 million) in 2019 and projected to reach 8.0% (454 million) by 2030 and 8.6% (548 million) by 2045.
Just under half a billion people are living with diabetes worldwide and the number is projected to increase by 25% in 2030 and 51% in 2045.</description><subject>Diabetes</subject><subject>Impaired glucose tolerance</subject><subject>International Diabetes Federation</subject><subject>Prevalence</subject><subject>Projections</subject><subject>Undiagnosed</subject><issn>0168-8227</issn><issn>1872-8227</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2019</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNqFUcFKAzEQDaJgrX6CkKMHW7PJZrPrRUrVKhQE0XPIJhObst2tSSr4T36k2a7i0VMm7817w7xB6Dwj04xkxdV6apyqPYQpJVmVMFHm7ACNslLQSUmpOESj1Ffu62N0EsKaEFKwnI_Q16LpatVg1Rrs4c11bfr0dhAh4K2HD9VAqwFDiG6jetB2HveD9pqt79agY9L9EozsCUpyfo2fIeyamCjfbXBcAX5sI_hWxWHQ7e-gezDg9-gfNouNCpe4iisMxvXcKTqyqglw9vOO0ev93cv8YbJ8WjzOZ8uJZlkVJ6VmlnCutRamJpWwGoxgRInCCkM540JXqqpzZUVGy5ITq3NhTaEVqLq2go3RxeCbtnvfpc3lxgUNTaNa6HZBUlqRknFa5KmVD63adyF4sHLrU07-U2ZE9teRa_lzHdmHJofrJN3NoIO0x4cDL4N2fdDG-ZSnNJ37x-EbRBGc9g</recordid><startdate>201911</startdate><enddate>201911</enddate><creator>Saeedi, Pouya</creator><creator>Petersohn, Inga</creator><creator>Salpea, Paraskevi</creator><creator>Malanda, Belma</creator><creator>Karuranga, Suvi</creator><creator>Unwin, Nigel</creator><creator>Colagiuri, Stephen</creator><creator>Guariguata, Leonor</creator><creator>Motala, Ayesha A.</creator><creator>Ogurtsova, Katherine</creator><creator>Shaw, Jonathan E.</creator><creator>Bright, Dominic</creator><creator>Williams, Rhys</creator><general>Elsevier B.V</general><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7X8</scope></search><sort><creationdate>201911</creationdate><title>Global and regional diabetes prevalence estimates for 2019 and projections for 2030 and 2045: Results from the International Diabetes Federation Diabetes Atlas, 9th edition</title><author>Saeedi, Pouya ; Petersohn, Inga ; Salpea, Paraskevi ; Malanda, Belma ; Karuranga, Suvi ; Unwin, Nigel ; Colagiuri, Stephen ; Guariguata, Leonor ; Motala, Ayesha A. ; Ogurtsova, Katherine ; Shaw, Jonathan E. ; Bright, Dominic ; Williams, Rhys</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c319t-8c3f055ccc7db097fced730a76f7d25357c9a9b4af7128850fc47fd6caeabbf73</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2019</creationdate><topic>Diabetes</topic><topic>Impaired glucose tolerance</topic><topic>International Diabetes Federation</topic><topic>Prevalence</topic><topic>Projections</topic><topic>Undiagnosed</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Saeedi, Pouya</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Petersohn, Inga</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Salpea, Paraskevi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Malanda, Belma</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Karuranga, Suvi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Unwin, Nigel</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Colagiuri, Stephen</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Guariguata, Leonor</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Motala, Ayesha A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ogurtsova, Katherine</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Shaw, Jonathan E.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bright, Dominic</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Williams, Rhys</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>On behalf of the IDF Diabetes Atlas Committee</creatorcontrib><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><jtitle>Diabetes research and clinical practice</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Saeedi, Pouya</au><au>Petersohn, Inga</au><au>Salpea, Paraskevi</au><au>Malanda, Belma</au><au>Karuranga, Suvi</au><au>Unwin, Nigel</au><au>Colagiuri, Stephen</au><au>Guariguata, Leonor</au><au>Motala, Ayesha A.</au><au>Ogurtsova, Katherine</au><au>Shaw, Jonathan E.</au><au>Bright, Dominic</au><au>Williams, Rhys</au><aucorp>On behalf of the IDF Diabetes Atlas Committee</aucorp><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Global and regional diabetes prevalence estimates for 2019 and projections for 2030 and 2045: Results from the International Diabetes Federation Diabetes Atlas, 9th edition</atitle><jtitle>Diabetes research and clinical practice</jtitle><date>2019-11</date><risdate>2019</risdate><volume>157</volume><spage>107843</spage><epage>107843</epage><pages>107843-107843</pages><artnum>107843</artnum><issn>0168-8227</issn><eissn>1872-8227</eissn><abstract>To provide global estimates of diabetes prevalence for 2019 and projections for 2030 and 2045.
A total of 255 high-quality data sources, published between 1990 and 2018 and representing 138 countries were identified. For countries without high quality in-country data, estimates were extrapolated from similar countries matched by economy, ethnicity, geography and language. Logistic regression was used to generate smoothed age-specific diabetes prevalence estimates (including previously undiagnosed diabetes) in adults aged 20–79 years.
The global diabetes prevalence in 2019 is estimated to be 9.3% (463 million people), rising to 10.2% (578 million) by 2030 and 10.9% (700 million) by 2045. The prevalence is higher in urban (10.8%) than rural (7.2%) areas, and in high-income (10.4%) than low-income countries (4.0%). One in two (50.1%) people living with diabetes do not know that they have diabetes. The global prevalence of impaired glucose tolerance is estimated to be 7.5% (374 million) in 2019 and projected to reach 8.0% (454 million) by 2030 and 8.6% (548 million) by 2045.
Just under half a billion people are living with diabetes worldwide and the number is projected to increase by 25% in 2030 and 51% in 2045.</abstract><pub>Elsevier B.V</pub><doi>10.1016/j.diabres.2019.107843</doi><tpages>1</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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| source | Elsevier ScienceDirect Journals |
| subjects | Diabetes Impaired glucose tolerance International Diabetes Federation Prevalence Projections Undiagnosed |
| title | Global and regional diabetes prevalence estimates for 2019 and projections for 2030 and 2045: Results from the International Diabetes Federation Diabetes Atlas, 9th edition |
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