Determinants of carbon emissions in Pakistan’s transport sector

The transport infrastructure plays an imperative role in a country’s progress. At the same time, it causes environmental degradation due to extensive use of fossil fuels. The transport system of Pakistan is largely dependent on nonrenewable energy sources (oil, coal, and gas), which are hazardous to...

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Veröffentlicht in:Environmental science and pollution research international 2019-08, Vol.26 (22), p.22907-22921
Hauptverfasser: Rasool, Yasir, Zaidi, Syed Anees Haider, Zafar, Muhammad Wasif
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creator Rasool, Yasir
Zaidi, Syed Anees Haider
Zafar, Muhammad Wasif
description The transport infrastructure plays an imperative role in a country’s progress. At the same time, it causes environmental degradation due to extensive use of fossil fuels. The transport system of Pakistan is largely dependent on nonrenewable energy sources (oil, coal, and gas), which are hazardous to environmental quality. This research uses an autoregressive distributive lag model (ARDL) to examine the impact of oil prices, energy intensity of road transport, economic growth, and population density on carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions of Pakistan’s transport sector during the 1971–2014 period. The ARDL bounding test examines the cointegration and long-run relationships among the variables, and the directions of causal relationships are found through the Granger causality vector error correction model (VECM). The long-run results indicate that increases in oil prices and economic growth help to reduce the transport sector’s CO 2 emissions, while rising energy intensity, population concentration, and road infrastructure increase them, with population playing a dominant role. The findings of this study can help authorities in Pakistan to develop suitable energy policies for the transport sector. Among other recommendations, the study recommends investment in renewable energy projects and energy-efficient transport systems (e.g., light train, rapid transport system, and electric busses) and environmental taxes (subsidies) on the vehicles that use fossil fuels (renewable energy).
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subjects Alternative energy
Aquatic Pollution
Atmospheric Protection/Air Quality Control/Air Pollution
Autoregressive models
Carbon dioxide
Carbon dioxide emissions
Crude oil
Earth and Environmental Science
Economic development
Economic growth
Economic models
Economics
Ecotoxicology
Emissions
Energy
Energy consumption
Energy efficiency
Energy policy
Energy sources
Energy utilization
Environment
Environmental Chemistry
Environmental degradation
Environmental Health
Environmental quality
Environmental science
Environmental tax
Error correction
Fossil fuels
Impact analysis
Infrastructure
Population density
Renewable energy
Renewable resources
Research Article
Road transportation
Taxation
Taxes
Waste Water Technology
Water Management
Water Pollution Control
title Determinants of carbon emissions in Pakistan’s transport sector
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