Locoregional risk assessment after neoadjuvant chemotherapy in patients with primary breast cancer: clinical utility of the CPS + EG score

Purpose Locoregional control is a prerequisite to cure primary breast cancer but the prediction of locoregional recurrence to guide further local therapy following neoadjuvant chemotherapy remains a challenge. The CPS + EG score was designed to predict distant recurrences. Here we examine its abilit...

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Veröffentlicht in:Breast cancer research and treatment 2019-09, Vol.177 (2), p.437-446
Hauptverfasser: Michel, Laura L., Sommer, Laura, González Silos, Rosa, Lorenzo Bermejo, Justo, von Au, Alexandra, Seitz, Julia, Hennigs, André, Smetanay, Katharina, Golatta, Michael, Heil, Jörg, Schütz, Florian, Sohn, Christof, Schneeweiss, Andreas, Marmé, Frederik
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container_issue 2
container_start_page 437
container_title Breast cancer research and treatment
container_volume 177
creator Michel, Laura L.
Sommer, Laura
González Silos, Rosa
Lorenzo Bermejo, Justo
von Au, Alexandra
Seitz, Julia
Hennigs, André
Smetanay, Katharina
Golatta, Michael
Heil, Jörg
Schütz, Florian
Sohn, Christof
Schneeweiss, Andreas
Marmé, Frederik
description Purpose Locoregional control is a prerequisite to cure primary breast cancer but the prediction of locoregional recurrence to guide further local therapy following neoadjuvant chemotherapy remains a challenge. The CPS + EG score was designed to predict distant recurrences. Here we examine its ability to predict both not only distant but also locoregional recurrences with respect to accuracy and clinical applicability. Methods Clinical data from 432 patients with primary breast cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy between 2003 and 2011 were prospectively collected. Using the Kaplan–Meier method we analyzed the risk of local and distant recurrences according to individual CPS + EG scores, stratified by type of surgery. Possible confounding of the relationship between recurrence risk and CPS + EG score by established risk factors was accounted for in multiple survival regression models. Additionally, we analyzed the performance of the CPS + EG score to predict isolated locoregional recurrence by censoring patients with prior or simultaneous distant metastases. Results 5-year locoregional recurrence-free survival was 90%, and 5-year distant metastases-free survival was 82%. The CPS + EG score stratified patients into six prognostic groups with distinct 5-year locoregional recurrence-free survival, ranging from 100 to 41% ( p  = 0.02) and 5-year distant metastases-free survival, ranging from 96 to 35% ( p  
doi_str_mv 10.1007/s10549-019-05314-9
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The CPS + EG score was designed to predict distant recurrences. Here we examine its ability to predict both not only distant but also locoregional recurrences with respect to accuracy and clinical applicability. Methods Clinical data from 432 patients with primary breast cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy between 2003 and 2011 were prospectively collected. Using the Kaplan–Meier method we analyzed the risk of local and distant recurrences according to individual CPS + EG scores, stratified by type of surgery. Possible confounding of the relationship between recurrence risk and CPS + EG score by established risk factors was accounted for in multiple survival regression models. Additionally, we analyzed the performance of the CPS + EG score to predict isolated locoregional recurrence by censoring patients with prior or simultaneous distant metastases. Results 5-year locoregional recurrence-free survival was 90%, and 5-year distant metastases-free survival was 82%. The CPS + EG score stratified patients into six prognostic groups with distinct 5-year locoregional recurrence-free survival, ranging from 100 to 41% ( p  = 0.02) and 5-year distant metastases-free survival, ranging from 96 to 35% ( p  &lt; 0.0001). 8 patients (17%) with CPS + EG scores ≥ 4 experienced locoregional recurrence—5 of them presented with simultaneous distant disease. Conclusion The CPS + EG score, originally designed to predict distant relapse, is also valuable for assessing local recurrence risks. Our data demonstrate that distant and locoregional recurrence risks are closely related. As prognosis of patients with high risk of locoregional failure based on CPS + EG is dominated by distant recurrences, escalating local therapies may have limited impact on overall prognosis.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0167-6806</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1573-7217</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1007/s10549-019-05314-9</identifier><identifier>PMID: 31236813</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>New York: Springer US</publisher><subject>Adjuvant treatment ; Adult ; Aged ; Biomarkers, Tumor ; Breast cancer ; Breast Neoplasms - diagnosis ; Breast Neoplasms - drug therapy ; Breast Neoplasms - etiology ; Cancer ; Cancer patients ; Cancer research ; Care and treatment ; Chemotherapy ; Chemotherapy, Adjuvant ; Clinical Decision-Making ; Clinical Trial ; Disease Management ; Female ; Humans ; Medical prognosis ; Medical research ; Medicine ; Medicine &amp; Public Health ; Medicine, Experimental ; Metastases ; Metastasis ; Middle Aged ; Neoplasm Grading ; Neoplasm Recurrence, Local ; Neoplasm Staging ; Oncology ; Patients ; Prognosis ; Receptors, Estrogen - genetics ; Receptors, Estrogen - metabolism ; Regression analysis ; Risk Assessment ; Risk factors ; Surgery ; Survival ; Treatment Outcome</subject><ispartof>Breast cancer research and treatment, 2019-09, Vol.177 (2), p.437-446</ispartof><rights>Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature 2019</rights><rights>COPYRIGHT 2019 Springer</rights><rights>Breast Cancer Research and Treatment is a copyright of Springer, (2019). All Rights Reserved.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3889-130230b9d0794251d931294c8f510c19122aaf26859290e24bc0118278966183</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3889-130230b9d0794251d931294c8f510c19122aaf26859290e24bc0118278966183</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-7784-2826</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10549-019-05314-9$$EPDF$$P50$$Gspringer$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10549-019-05314-9$$EHTML$$P50$$Gspringer$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>315,781,785,27929,27930,41493,42562,51324</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31236813$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Michel, Laura L.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sommer, Laura</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>González Silos, Rosa</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lorenzo Bermejo, Justo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>von Au, Alexandra</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Seitz, Julia</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hennigs, André</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Smetanay, Katharina</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Golatta, Michael</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Heil, Jörg</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Schütz, Florian</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sohn, Christof</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Schneeweiss, Andreas</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Marmé, Frederik</creatorcontrib><title>Locoregional risk assessment after neoadjuvant chemotherapy in patients with primary breast cancer: clinical utility of the CPS + EG score</title><title>Breast cancer research and treatment</title><addtitle>Breast Cancer Res Treat</addtitle><addtitle>Breast Cancer Res Treat</addtitle><description>Purpose Locoregional control is a prerequisite to cure primary breast cancer but the prediction of locoregional recurrence to guide further local therapy following neoadjuvant chemotherapy remains a challenge. The CPS + EG score was designed to predict distant recurrences. Here we examine its ability to predict both not only distant but also locoregional recurrences with respect to accuracy and clinical applicability. Methods Clinical data from 432 patients with primary breast cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy between 2003 and 2011 were prospectively collected. Using the Kaplan–Meier method we analyzed the risk of local and distant recurrences according to individual CPS + EG scores, stratified by type of surgery. Possible confounding of the relationship between recurrence risk and CPS + EG score by established risk factors was accounted for in multiple survival regression models. Additionally, we analyzed the performance of the CPS + EG score to predict isolated locoregional recurrence by censoring patients with prior or simultaneous distant metastases. Results 5-year locoregional recurrence-free survival was 90%, and 5-year distant metastases-free survival was 82%. The CPS + EG score stratified patients into six prognostic groups with distinct 5-year locoregional recurrence-free survival, ranging from 100 to 41% ( p  = 0.02) and 5-year distant metastases-free survival, ranging from 96 to 35% ( p  &lt; 0.0001). 8 patients (17%) with CPS + EG scores ≥ 4 experienced locoregional recurrence—5 of them presented with simultaneous distant disease. Conclusion The CPS + EG score, originally designed to predict distant relapse, is also valuable for assessing local recurrence risks. Our data demonstrate that distant and locoregional recurrence risks are closely related. As prognosis of patients with high risk of locoregional failure based on CPS + EG is dominated by distant recurrences, escalating local therapies may have limited impact on overall prognosis.</description><subject>Adjuvant treatment</subject><subject>Adult</subject><subject>Aged</subject><subject>Biomarkers, Tumor</subject><subject>Breast cancer</subject><subject>Breast Neoplasms - diagnosis</subject><subject>Breast Neoplasms - drug therapy</subject><subject>Breast Neoplasms - etiology</subject><subject>Cancer</subject><subject>Cancer patients</subject><subject>Cancer research</subject><subject>Care and treatment</subject><subject>Chemotherapy</subject><subject>Chemotherapy, Adjuvant</subject><subject>Clinical Decision-Making</subject><subject>Clinical Trial</subject><subject>Disease Management</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Medical prognosis</subject><subject>Medical research</subject><subject>Medicine</subject><subject>Medicine &amp; Public Health</subject><subject>Medicine, Experimental</subject><subject>Metastases</subject><subject>Metastasis</subject><subject>Middle Aged</subject><subject>Neoplasm Grading</subject><subject>Neoplasm Recurrence, Local</subject><subject>Neoplasm Staging</subject><subject>Oncology</subject><subject>Patients</subject><subject>Prognosis</subject><subject>Receptors, Estrogen - genetics</subject><subject>Receptors, Estrogen - metabolism</subject><subject>Regression analysis</subject><subject>Risk Assessment</subject><subject>Risk factors</subject><subject>Surgery</subject><subject>Survival</subject><subject>Treatment Outcome</subject><issn>0167-6806</issn><issn>1573-7217</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2019</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><sourceid>8G5</sourceid><sourceid>ABUWG</sourceid><sourceid>AFKRA</sourceid><sourceid>AZQEC</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><sourceid>CCPQU</sourceid><sourceid>DWQXO</sourceid><sourceid>GNUQQ</sourceid><sourceid>GUQSH</sourceid><sourceid>M2O</sourceid><recordid>eNp9ks-KFDEQxoMo7rj6Ah4kIIggveZPdyfxtgzrKgwouPeQSadnMnYnY5JW5ubViw_pk1izM7quiIQiUPnVl6rkQ-gxJWeUEPEyU9LUqiIUouG0rtQdNKON4JVgVNxFM0JbUbWStCfoQc4bQogSRN1HJ5wy3krKZ-j7ItqY3MrHYAacfP6ITc4u59GFgk1fXMLBRdNtps8GMnbtxljWLpntDvuAt6Z4IDP-4ssab5MfTdrhZXImA2yCdekVtoMP3oL-VPzgyw7HHoMGnr__8OPrtxcQF5c47_t4iO71Zsju0XE_RVevL67mb6rFu8u38_NFZbmUqqKcME6WqiNC1ayhnYKJVG1l31BiqaKMGdOzVjaKKeJYvbSEUsmEVG1LJT9Fzw-y2xQ_TS4XPfps3TAYmHXKmrG6VYRL3gL69C90E6cEj3VNNUpAK_SGWpnBaR_6WJKxe1F93qhaSLiVAHX2DwpW50ZvY3C9h_ytgmd_FKydGco6xwGeMYZ8G2QH0KaYc3K9Pn6FpkTvzaIPZtFgFn1tFq2g6MlxtGk5uu53yS93AMAPQIajsHLpZvb_yP4ErWXIvA</recordid><startdate>201909</startdate><enddate>201909</enddate><creator>Michel, Laura L.</creator><creator>Sommer, Laura</creator><creator>González Silos, Rosa</creator><creator>Lorenzo Bermejo, Justo</creator><creator>von Au, Alexandra</creator><creator>Seitz, Julia</creator><creator>Hennigs, André</creator><creator>Smetanay, Katharina</creator><creator>Golatta, Michael</creator><creator>Heil, Jörg</creator><creator>Schütz, Florian</creator><creator>Sohn, Christof</creator><creator>Schneeweiss, Andreas</creator><creator>Marmé, Frederik</creator><general>Springer US</general><general>Springer</general><general>Springer Nature B.V</general><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>3V.</scope><scope>7TO</scope><scope>7X7</scope><scope>7XB</scope><scope>88E</scope><scope>8AO</scope><scope>8C1</scope><scope>8FI</scope><scope>8FJ</scope><scope>8FK</scope><scope>8G5</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>AZQEC</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>FYUFA</scope><scope>GHDGH</scope><scope>GNUQQ</scope><scope>GUQSH</scope><scope>H94</scope><scope>K9-</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>M0R</scope><scope>M0S</scope><scope>M1P</scope><scope>M2O</scope><scope>MBDVC</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>PRINS</scope><scope>Q9U</scope><scope>7X8</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7784-2826</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>201909</creationdate><title>Locoregional risk assessment after neoadjuvant chemotherapy in patients with primary breast cancer: clinical utility of the CPS + EG score</title><author>Michel, Laura L. ; Sommer, Laura ; González Silos, Rosa ; Lorenzo Bermejo, Justo ; von Au, Alexandra ; Seitz, Julia ; Hennigs, André ; Smetanay, Katharina ; Golatta, Michael ; Heil, Jörg ; Schütz, Florian ; Sohn, Christof ; Schneeweiss, Andreas ; Marmé, Frederik</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c3889-130230b9d0794251d931294c8f510c19122aaf26859290e24bc0118278966183</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2019</creationdate><topic>Adjuvant treatment</topic><topic>Adult</topic><topic>Aged</topic><topic>Biomarkers, Tumor</topic><topic>Breast cancer</topic><topic>Breast Neoplasms - diagnosis</topic><topic>Breast Neoplasms - drug therapy</topic><topic>Breast Neoplasms - etiology</topic><topic>Cancer</topic><topic>Cancer patients</topic><topic>Cancer research</topic><topic>Care and treatment</topic><topic>Chemotherapy</topic><topic>Chemotherapy, Adjuvant</topic><topic>Clinical Decision-Making</topic><topic>Clinical Trial</topic><topic>Disease Management</topic><topic>Female</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Medical prognosis</topic><topic>Medical research</topic><topic>Medicine</topic><topic>Medicine &amp; Public Health</topic><topic>Medicine, Experimental</topic><topic>Metastases</topic><topic>Metastasis</topic><topic>Middle Aged</topic><topic>Neoplasm Grading</topic><topic>Neoplasm Recurrence, Local</topic><topic>Neoplasm Staging</topic><topic>Oncology</topic><topic>Patients</topic><topic>Prognosis</topic><topic>Receptors, Estrogen - genetics</topic><topic>Receptors, Estrogen - metabolism</topic><topic>Regression analysis</topic><topic>Risk Assessment</topic><topic>Risk factors</topic><topic>Surgery</topic><topic>Survival</topic><topic>Treatment Outcome</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Michel, Laura L.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sommer, Laura</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>González Silos, Rosa</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lorenzo Bermejo, Justo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>von Au, Alexandra</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Seitz, Julia</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hennigs, André</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Smetanay, Katharina</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Golatta, Michael</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Heil, Jörg</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Schütz, Florian</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sohn, Christof</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Schneeweiss, Andreas</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Marmé, Frederik</creatorcontrib><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Corporate)</collection><collection>Oncogenes and Growth Factors Abstracts</collection><collection>Health &amp; 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The CPS + EG score was designed to predict distant recurrences. Here we examine its ability to predict both not only distant but also locoregional recurrences with respect to accuracy and clinical applicability. Methods Clinical data from 432 patients with primary breast cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy between 2003 and 2011 were prospectively collected. Using the Kaplan–Meier method we analyzed the risk of local and distant recurrences according to individual CPS + EG scores, stratified by type of surgery. Possible confounding of the relationship between recurrence risk and CPS + EG score by established risk factors was accounted for in multiple survival regression models. Additionally, we analyzed the performance of the CPS + EG score to predict isolated locoregional recurrence by censoring patients with prior or simultaneous distant metastases. Results 5-year locoregional recurrence-free survival was 90%, and 5-year distant metastases-free survival was 82%. The CPS + EG score stratified patients into six prognostic groups with distinct 5-year locoregional recurrence-free survival, ranging from 100 to 41% ( p  = 0.02) and 5-year distant metastases-free survival, ranging from 96 to 35% ( p  &lt; 0.0001). 8 patients (17%) with CPS + EG scores ≥ 4 experienced locoregional recurrence—5 of them presented with simultaneous distant disease. Conclusion The CPS + EG score, originally designed to predict distant relapse, is also valuable for assessing local recurrence risks. Our data demonstrate that distant and locoregional recurrence risks are closely related. As prognosis of patients with high risk of locoregional failure based on CPS + EG is dominated by distant recurrences, escalating local therapies may have limited impact on overall prognosis.</abstract><cop>New York</cop><pub>Springer US</pub><pmid>31236813</pmid><doi>10.1007/s10549-019-05314-9</doi><tpages>10</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7784-2826</orcidid></addata></record>
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subjects Adjuvant treatment
Adult
Aged
Biomarkers, Tumor
Breast cancer
Breast Neoplasms - diagnosis
Breast Neoplasms - drug therapy
Breast Neoplasms - etiology
Cancer
Cancer patients
Cancer research
Care and treatment
Chemotherapy
Chemotherapy, Adjuvant
Clinical Decision-Making
Clinical Trial
Disease Management
Female
Humans
Medical prognosis
Medical research
Medicine
Medicine & Public Health
Medicine, Experimental
Metastases
Metastasis
Middle Aged
Neoplasm Grading
Neoplasm Recurrence, Local
Neoplasm Staging
Oncology
Patients
Prognosis
Receptors, Estrogen - genetics
Receptors, Estrogen - metabolism
Regression analysis
Risk Assessment
Risk factors
Surgery
Survival
Treatment Outcome
title Locoregional risk assessment after neoadjuvant chemotherapy in patients with primary breast cancer: clinical utility of the CPS + EG score
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