Election polling errors across time and space

Are election polling misses becoming more prevalent? Are they more likely in some contexts than others? Here we undertake an over-time and cross-national assessment of prediction errors in pre-election polls. Our analysis draws on more than 30,000 national polls from 351 general elections in 45 coun...

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Veröffentlicht in:	Nature human behaviour 2018-04, Vol.2 (4), p.276-283
Hauptverfasser:	Jennings, Will, Wlezien, Christopher
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	706/689/454 706/689/522 Behavioral Sciences Biomedical and Life Sciences Elections Experimental Psychology Letter Life Sciences Microeconomics Neurosciences Personality and Social Psychology Political campaigns Polls & surveys Wisdom
Online-Zugang:	Volltext
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