Validation and comparison of three newly-released Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data Systems for cancer risk determination

Purpose To validate and compare diagnostic value of three newly-released Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data Systems (TIRADS) for cancer risk determination. Methods Total 2031 patients with 2465 thyroid nodules were recruited for this study. Ultrasound (US) images were categorized based on three TIRADS editions established by Korean Society of Thyroid Radiology (KSThR), European Thyroid Association (ETA) and American College of Radiology (ACR). ROC curves were established to compare diagnostic value. Results Total 1460 benign and 1005 malignant nodules were enrolled. The malignancy rates of each category in KSThR-TIRADS were 2.8%, 5.1%, 33.7% and 79.6%, respectively. For European-TIRADS, 0, 3.1, 22.8, and 73.5% of nodules categorized as 2 to 5 were malignant. Distribution of carcinomas among ACR-TIRADS categories was 0%, 2.3%, 7.5%, 40.1% and 81.4%, respectively. In terms of diagnostic value, KSThR-TIRADS had highest AUC (0.855) and specificity (87.4%), while lowest (71.4%) sensitivity. ACR-TIRADS showed best sensitivity (96.6%) with lowest specificity (52.9%) and the AUC (0.846) was slightly lower than KSThR-TIRADS. Total 56.1, 45.4, and 37.4% fine-needle aspiration biopsy (FNAB) were recommended by KSThR, ETA and ACR, revealing 42.8%, 44.5% and 53.6% malignant lesions, respectively. The rate of unnecessary FNAB was lowest with the ACR (17.3%), followed by ETA (25.2%) and KSThR (32.1%). Conclusion All these US models showed great value in predicting thyroid malignancy. Among them, KSThR-TIRADS showed the most effective diagnostic performance in specificity, while ACR-TIRADS yielded best sensitivity. As for FNAB criteria, ACR-TIRADS showed the lowest rate of unnecessary FNAB and highest rate of malignancy in FNAB.