Streamflow Forecast and Reservoir Operation Performance Assessment Under Climate Change
This study attempts to investigate potential impacts of future climate change on streamflow and reservoir operation performance in a Northern American Prairie watershed. System Dynamics is employed as an effective methodology to organize and integrate existing information available on climate change...
Gespeichert in:
| Veröffentlicht in: | Water resources management 2010-01, Vol.24 (1), p.83-104 |
|---|---|
| Hauptverfasser: | , , , |
| Format: | Artikel |
| Sprache: | eng |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
| Tags: |
Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
|
| container_end_page | 104 |
|---|---|
| container_issue | 1 |
| container_start_page | 83 |
| container_title | Water resources management |
| container_volume | 24 |
| creator | Li, Lanhai Xu, Honggang Chen, Xi Simonovic, S. P |
| description | This study attempts to investigate potential impacts of future climate change on streamflow and reservoir operation performance in a Northern American Prairie watershed. System Dynamics is employed as an effective methodology to organize and integrate existing information available on climate change scenarios, watershed hydrologic processes, reservoir operation and water resource assessment system. The second version of the Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis Coupled Global Climate Model is selected to generate the climate change scenarios with daily climatic data series for hydrologic modeling. Watershed-based hydrologic and reservoir water dynamics modeling focuses on dynamic processes of both streamflow generation driven by climatic conditions, and the reservoir water dynamics based on reservoir operation rules. The reliability measure describes the effectiveness of present reservoir operation rules to meet various demands which are assumed to remain constant for the next 100 years in order to focus the study on the understanding of the structure and the behaviour of the water supply. Simulation results demonstrate that future climate variation and change may bring more high-peak-streamflow occurrences and more abundant water resources. Current reservoir operation rules can provide a high reliability in drought protection and flood control. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1007/s11269-009-9438-x |
| format | Article |
| fullrecord | <record><control><sourceid>proquest_cross</sourceid><recordid>TN_cdi_proquest_miscellaneous_21298041</recordid><sourceformat>XML</sourceformat><sourcesystem>PC</sourcesystem><sourcerecordid>1924016041</sourcerecordid><originalsourceid>FETCH-LOGICAL-c466t-87b12f78fa6d4c457a609083cf767cfb03f6f55d23bc5b1573c59f73690ba8e93</originalsourceid><addsrcrecordid>eNp9kMFu1DAURS0EEkPpB7DCQoJd4NlO7HhZjSitVKmIMurScjzPJVUST_0ypfx9PUpFJRasvPC5V_cdxt4J-CwAzBcSQmpbAdjK1qqtHl6wlWiMqoRu4CVbgZVQ1aYWr9kboluAkrKwYtdXc0Y_xiH95qcpY_A0cz9t-Q8kzPepz_xyh9nPfZr4d8wx5dFPAfkJERKNOM18M20x8_XQj35Gvv7lpxt8y15FPxAeP71HbHP69ef6rLq4_Ha-PrmoQq31XLWmEzKaNnq9rUPdGK_LrFaFaLQJsQMVdWyarVRdaLrDQaGx0ShtofMtWnXEPi29u5zu9kizG3sKOAx-wrQnJ4W0LdSigB_-AW_TPk9lW2G0tKCMKZBYoJATUcbodrlclf84Ae7g2S2eXZHnDp7dQ8l8fCr2FPwQc9HT09-glMoIXavCyYWj8lUM5ecB_yt_v4SiT87f5FK8uZIgFAgjmraUPwKrvZa2</addsrcrecordid><sourcetype>Aggregation Database</sourcetype><iscdi>true</iscdi><recordtype>article</recordtype><pqid>216290377</pqid></control><display><type>article</type><title>Streamflow Forecast and Reservoir Operation Performance Assessment Under Climate Change</title><source>SpringerLink Journals - AutoHoldings</source><creator>Li, Lanhai ; Xu, Honggang ; Chen, Xi ; Simonovic, S. P</creator><creatorcontrib>Li, Lanhai ; Xu, Honggang ; Chen, Xi ; Simonovic, S. P</creatorcontrib><description>This study attempts to investigate potential impacts of future climate change on streamflow and reservoir operation performance in a Northern American Prairie watershed. System Dynamics is employed as an effective methodology to organize and integrate existing information available on climate change scenarios, watershed hydrologic processes, reservoir operation and water resource assessment system. The second version of the Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis Coupled Global Climate Model is selected to generate the climate change scenarios with daily climatic data series for hydrologic modeling. Watershed-based hydrologic and reservoir water dynamics modeling focuses on dynamic processes of both streamflow generation driven by climatic conditions, and the reservoir water dynamics based on reservoir operation rules. The reliability measure describes the effectiveness of present reservoir operation rules to meet various demands which are assumed to remain constant for the next 100 years in order to focus the study on the understanding of the structure and the behaviour of the water supply. Simulation results demonstrate that future climate variation and change may bring more high-peak-streamflow occurrences and more abundant water resources. Current reservoir operation rules can provide a high reliability in drought protection and flood control.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0920-4741</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1573-1650</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1007/s11269-009-9438-x</identifier><identifier>CODEN: WRMAEJ</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Dordrecht: Dordrecht : Springer Netherlands</publisher><subject>Atmospheric Sciences ; Civil Engineering ; Climate change ; Climate models ; Climatic conditions ; Climatic data ; Drought ; Earth and Environmental Science ; Earth Sciences ; Earth, ocean, space ; Environment ; Exact sciences and technology ; Flood control ; Forecast ; Geotechnical Engineering & Applied Earth Sciences ; Global climate ; Hydrogeology ; Hydrologic cycle ; Hydrology ; Hydrology. Hydrogeology ; Hydrology/Water Resources ; Performance assessment ; Precipitation ; Reservoir ; Reservoir operation ; Reservoirs ; Runoff ; Shellmouth Dam ; Stream discharge ; Stream flow ; Streamflow forecasting ; Studies ; Temperature ; Water resources ; Water resources management ; Water shortages ; Water supply ; Water supply engineering ; Watersheds</subject><ispartof>Water resources management, 2010-01, Vol.24 (1), p.83-104</ispartof><rights>Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2009</rights><rights>2015 INIST-CNRS</rights><rights>Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2010</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c466t-87b12f78fa6d4c457a609083cf767cfb03f6f55d23bc5b1573c59f73690ba8e93</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c466t-87b12f78fa6d4c457a609083cf767cfb03f6f55d23bc5b1573c59f73690ba8e93</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s11269-009-9438-x$$EPDF$$P50$$Gspringer$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11269-009-9438-x$$EHTML$$P50$$Gspringer$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>315,781,785,27925,27926,41489,42558,51320</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttp://pascal-francis.inist.fr/vibad/index.php?action=getRecordDetail&idt=22371643$$DView record in Pascal Francis$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Li, Lanhai</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Xu, Honggang</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Chen, Xi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Simonovic, S. P</creatorcontrib><title>Streamflow Forecast and Reservoir Operation Performance Assessment Under Climate Change</title><title>Water resources management</title><addtitle>Water Resour Manage</addtitle><description>This study attempts to investigate potential impacts of future climate change on streamflow and reservoir operation performance in a Northern American Prairie watershed. System Dynamics is employed as an effective methodology to organize and integrate existing information available on climate change scenarios, watershed hydrologic processes, reservoir operation and water resource assessment system. The second version of the Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis Coupled Global Climate Model is selected to generate the climate change scenarios with daily climatic data series for hydrologic modeling. Watershed-based hydrologic and reservoir water dynamics modeling focuses on dynamic processes of both streamflow generation driven by climatic conditions, and the reservoir water dynamics based on reservoir operation rules. The reliability measure describes the effectiveness of present reservoir operation rules to meet various demands which are assumed to remain constant for the next 100 years in order to focus the study on the understanding of the structure and the behaviour of the water supply. Simulation results demonstrate that future climate variation and change may bring more high-peak-streamflow occurrences and more abundant water resources. Current reservoir operation rules can provide a high reliability in drought protection and flood control.</description><subject>Atmospheric Sciences</subject><subject>Civil Engineering</subject><subject>Climate change</subject><subject>Climate models</subject><subject>Climatic conditions</subject><subject>Climatic data</subject><subject>Drought</subject><subject>Earth and Environmental Science</subject><subject>Earth Sciences</subject><subject>Earth, ocean, space</subject><subject>Environment</subject><subject>Exact sciences and technology</subject><subject>Flood control</subject><subject>Forecast</subject><subject>Geotechnical Engineering & Applied Earth Sciences</subject><subject>Global climate</subject><subject>Hydrogeology</subject><subject>Hydrologic cycle</subject><subject>Hydrology</subject><subject>Hydrology. Hydrogeology</subject><subject>Hydrology/Water Resources</subject><subject>Performance assessment</subject><subject>Precipitation</subject><subject>Reservoir</subject><subject>Reservoir operation</subject><subject>Reservoirs</subject><subject>Runoff</subject><subject>Shellmouth Dam</subject><subject>Stream discharge</subject><subject>Stream flow</subject><subject>Streamflow forecasting</subject><subject>Studies</subject><subject>Temperature</subject><subject>Water resources</subject><subject>Water resources management</subject><subject>Water shortages</subject><subject>Water supply</subject><subject>Water supply engineering</subject><subject>Watersheds</subject><issn>0920-4741</issn><issn>1573-1650</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2010</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>ABUWG</sourceid><sourceid>AFKRA</sourceid><sourceid>AZQEC</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><sourceid>CCPQU</sourceid><sourceid>DWQXO</sourceid><sourceid>GNUQQ</sourceid><recordid>eNp9kMFu1DAURS0EEkPpB7DCQoJd4NlO7HhZjSitVKmIMurScjzPJVUST_0ypfx9PUpFJRasvPC5V_cdxt4J-CwAzBcSQmpbAdjK1qqtHl6wlWiMqoRu4CVbgZVQ1aYWr9kboluAkrKwYtdXc0Y_xiH95qcpY_A0cz9t-Q8kzPepz_xyh9nPfZr4d8wx5dFPAfkJERKNOM18M20x8_XQj35Gvv7lpxt8y15FPxAeP71HbHP69ef6rLq4_Ha-PrmoQq31XLWmEzKaNnq9rUPdGK_LrFaFaLQJsQMVdWyarVRdaLrDQaGx0ShtofMtWnXEPi29u5zu9kizG3sKOAx-wrQnJ4W0LdSigB_-AW_TPk9lW2G0tKCMKZBYoJATUcbodrlclf84Ae7g2S2eXZHnDp7dQ8l8fCr2FPwQc9HT09-glMoIXavCyYWj8lUM5ecB_yt_v4SiT87f5FK8uZIgFAgjmraUPwKrvZa2</recordid><startdate>20100101</startdate><enddate>20100101</enddate><creator>Li, Lanhai</creator><creator>Xu, Honggang</creator><creator>Chen, Xi</creator><creator>Simonovic, S. P</creator><general>Dordrecht : Springer Netherlands</general><general>Springer Netherlands</general><general>Springer</general><general>Springer Nature B.V</general><scope>FBQ</scope><scope>IQODW</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>0U~</scope><scope>1-H</scope><scope>3V.</scope><scope>7QH</scope><scope>7ST</scope><scope>7UA</scope><scope>7WY</scope><scope>7WZ</scope><scope>7XB</scope><scope>87Z</scope><scope>88I</scope><scope>8FD</scope><scope>8FE</scope><scope>8FG</scope><scope>8FH</scope><scope>8FK</scope><scope>8FL</scope><scope>ABJCF</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>ATCPS</scope><scope>AZQEC</scope><scope>BBNVY</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>BEZIV</scope><scope>BGLVJ</scope><scope>BHPHI</scope><scope>BKSAR</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>F1W</scope><scope>FR3</scope><scope>FRNLG</scope><scope>F~G</scope><scope>GNUQQ</scope><scope>H97</scope><scope>HCIFZ</scope><scope>K60</scope><scope>K6~</scope><scope>KR7</scope><scope>L.-</scope><scope>L.0</scope><scope>L.G</scope><scope>L6V</scope><scope>LK8</scope><scope>M0C</scope><scope>M2P</scope><scope>M7P</scope><scope>M7S</scope><scope>PATMY</scope><scope>PCBAR</scope><scope>PQBIZ</scope><scope>PQBZA</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>PTHSS</scope><scope>PYCSY</scope><scope>Q9U</scope><scope>SOI</scope><scope>7TG</scope><scope>7U6</scope><scope>H96</scope><scope>KL.</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20100101</creationdate><title>Streamflow Forecast and Reservoir Operation Performance Assessment Under Climate Change</title><author>Li, Lanhai ; Xu, Honggang ; Chen, Xi ; Simonovic, S. P</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c466t-87b12f78fa6d4c457a609083cf767cfb03f6f55d23bc5b1573c59f73690ba8e93</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2010</creationdate><topic>Atmospheric Sciences</topic><topic>Civil Engineering</topic><topic>Climate change</topic><topic>Climate models</topic><topic>Climatic conditions</topic><topic>Climatic data</topic><topic>Drought</topic><topic>Earth and Environmental Science</topic><topic>Earth Sciences</topic><topic>Earth, ocean, space</topic><topic>Environment</topic><topic>Exact sciences and technology</topic><topic>Flood control</topic><topic>Forecast</topic><topic>Geotechnical Engineering & Applied Earth Sciences</topic><topic>Global climate</topic><topic>Hydrogeology</topic><topic>Hydrologic cycle</topic><topic>Hydrology</topic><topic>Hydrology. Hydrogeology</topic><topic>Hydrology/Water Resources</topic><topic>Performance assessment</topic><topic>Precipitation</topic><topic>Reservoir</topic><topic>Reservoir operation</topic><topic>Reservoirs</topic><topic>Runoff</topic><topic>Shellmouth Dam</topic><topic>Stream discharge</topic><topic>Stream flow</topic><topic>Streamflow forecasting</topic><topic>Studies</topic><topic>Temperature</topic><topic>Water resources</topic><topic>Water resources management</topic><topic>Water shortages</topic><topic>Water supply</topic><topic>Water supply engineering</topic><topic>Watersheds</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Li, Lanhai</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Xu, Honggang</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Chen, Xi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Simonovic, S. P</creatorcontrib><collection>AGRIS</collection><collection>Pascal-Francis</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Global News & ABI/Inform Professional</collection><collection>Trade PRO</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Corporate)</collection><collection>Aqualine</collection><collection>Environment Abstracts</collection><collection>Water Resources Abstracts</collection><collection>Access via ABI/INFORM (ProQuest)</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Global (PDF only)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Global (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>Science Database (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>Technology Research Database</collection><collection>ProQuest SciTech Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Technology Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Natural Science Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni) (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Collection (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>Materials Science & Engineering Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central UK/Ireland</collection><collection>Agricultural & Environmental Science Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Essentials</collection><collection>Biological Science Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central</collection><collection>Business Premium Collection</collection><collection>Technology Collection</collection><collection>Natural Science Collection</collection><collection>Earth, Atmospheric & Aquatic Science Collection</collection><collection>Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management</collection><collection>ProQuest One Community College</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Korea</collection><collection>ASFA: Aquatic Sciences and Fisheries Abstracts</collection><collection>Engineering Research Database</collection><collection>Business Premium Collection (Alumni)</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Global (Corporate)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Student</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) 3: Aquatic Pollution & Environmental Quality</collection><collection>SciTech Premium Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Business Collection (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Business Collection</collection><collection>Civil Engineering Abstracts</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Professional Advanced</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Professional Standard</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) Professional</collection><collection>ProQuest Engineering Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Biological Science Collection</collection><collection>ABI/INFORM Global</collection><collection>Science Database</collection><collection>Biological Science Database</collection><collection>Engineering Database</collection><collection>Environmental Science Database</collection><collection>Earth, Atmospheric & Aquatic Science Database</collection><collection>ProQuest One Business</collection><collection>ProQuest One Business (Alumni)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition (DO NOT USE)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition</collection><collection>Engineering Collection</collection><collection>Environmental Science Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Basic</collection><collection>Environment Abstracts</collection><collection>Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts</collection><collection>Sustainability Science Abstracts</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) 2: Ocean Technology, Policy & Non-Living Resources</collection><collection>Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts - Academic</collection><jtitle>Water resources management</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Li, Lanhai</au><au>Xu, Honggang</au><au>Chen, Xi</au><au>Simonovic, S. P</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Streamflow Forecast and Reservoir Operation Performance Assessment Under Climate Change</atitle><jtitle>Water resources management</jtitle><stitle>Water Resour Manage</stitle><date>2010-01-01</date><risdate>2010</risdate><volume>24</volume><issue>1</issue><spage>83</spage><epage>104</epage><pages>83-104</pages><issn>0920-4741</issn><eissn>1573-1650</eissn><coden>WRMAEJ</coden><abstract>This study attempts to investigate potential impacts of future climate change on streamflow and reservoir operation performance in a Northern American Prairie watershed. System Dynamics is employed as an effective methodology to organize and integrate existing information available on climate change scenarios, watershed hydrologic processes, reservoir operation and water resource assessment system. The second version of the Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis Coupled Global Climate Model is selected to generate the climate change scenarios with daily climatic data series for hydrologic modeling. Watershed-based hydrologic and reservoir water dynamics modeling focuses on dynamic processes of both streamflow generation driven by climatic conditions, and the reservoir water dynamics based on reservoir operation rules. The reliability measure describes the effectiveness of present reservoir operation rules to meet various demands which are assumed to remain constant for the next 100 years in order to focus the study on the understanding of the structure and the behaviour of the water supply. Simulation results demonstrate that future climate variation and change may bring more high-peak-streamflow occurrences and more abundant water resources. Current reservoir operation rules can provide a high reliability in drought protection and flood control.</abstract><cop>Dordrecht</cop><pub>Dordrecht : Springer Netherlands</pub><doi>10.1007/s11269-009-9438-x</doi><tpages>22</tpages></addata></record> |
| fulltext | fulltext |
| identifier | ISSN: 0920-4741 |
| ispartof | Water resources management, 2010-01, Vol.24 (1), p.83-104 |
| issn | 0920-4741 1573-1650 |
| language | eng |
| recordid | cdi_proquest_miscellaneous_21298041 |
| source | SpringerLink Journals - AutoHoldings |
| subjects | Atmospheric Sciences Civil Engineering Climate change Climate models Climatic conditions Climatic data Drought Earth and Environmental Science Earth Sciences Earth, ocean, space Environment Exact sciences and technology Flood control Forecast Geotechnical Engineering & Applied Earth Sciences Global climate Hydrogeology Hydrologic cycle Hydrology Hydrology. Hydrogeology Hydrology/Water Resources Performance assessment Precipitation Reservoir Reservoir operation Reservoirs Runoff Shellmouth Dam Stream discharge Stream flow Streamflow forecasting Studies Temperature Water resources Water resources management Water shortages Water supply Water supply engineering Watersheds |
| title | Streamflow Forecast and Reservoir Operation Performance Assessment Under Climate Change |
| url | https://sfx.bib-bvb.de/sfx_tum?ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info:ofi/enc:UTF-8&ctx_tim=2024-12-18T13%3A27%3A14IST&url_ver=Z39.88-2004&url_ctx_fmt=infofi/fmt:kev:mtx:ctx&rfr_id=info:sid/primo.exlibrisgroup.com:primo3-Article-proquest_cross&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Streamflow%20Forecast%20and%20Reservoir%20Operation%20Performance%20Assessment%20Under%20Climate%20Change&rft.jtitle=Water%20resources%20management&rft.au=Li,%20Lanhai&rft.date=2010-01-01&rft.volume=24&rft.issue=1&rft.spage=83&rft.epage=104&rft.pages=83-104&rft.issn=0920-4741&rft.eissn=1573-1650&rft.coden=WRMAEJ&rft_id=info:doi/10.1007/s11269-009-9438-x&rft_dat=%3Cproquest_cross%3E1924016041%3C/proquest_cross%3E%3Curl%3E%3C/url%3E&disable_directlink=true&sfx.directlink=off&sfx.report_link=0&rft_id=info:oai/&rft_pqid=216290377&rft_id=info:pmid/&rfr_iscdi=true |