The early history of probability forecasts : Some extensions and clarifications
Heretofore it has been widely accepted that the contributions of W. E. Cooke in 1906 represented the first works related to the explicit treatment of uncertainty in weather forecasts. Recently, however, it has come to light that at least some aspects of the rationale for quantifying the uncertainty...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Weather and forecasting 1998-03, Vol.13 (1), p.5-15 |
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| container_title | Weather and forecasting |
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| creator | MURPHY, A. H |
| description | Heretofore it has been widely accepted that the contributions of W. E. Cooke in 1906 represented the first works related to the explicit treatment of uncertainty in weather forecasts. Recently, however, it has come to light that at least some aspects of the rationale for quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts were discussed prior to 1900 and that probabilities and odds were included in some weather forecasts formulated more than 200 years ago. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1175/1520-0434(1998)013<0005:TEHOPF>2.0.CO;2 |
| format | Article |
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| fulltext | fulltext |
| identifier | ISSN: 0882-8156 |
| ispartof | Weather and forecasting, 1998-03, Vol.13 (1), p.5-15 |
| issn | 0882-8156 1520-0434 |
| language | eng |
| recordid | cdi_proquest_miscellaneous_20662103 |
| source | American Meteorological Society; EZB-FREE-00999 freely available EZB journals; Alma/SFX Local Collection |
| subjects | Earth, ocean, space Exact sciences and technology External geophysics Meteorology Other topics in atmospheric geophysics Probability Weather forecasting |
| title | The early history of probability forecasts : Some extensions and clarifications |
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