Interdecadal Variability of the Relationship between the Indian Ocean Zonal Mode and East African Coastal Rainfall Anomalies
The variance of the rainfall during the October–November–December (OND) “short rain” season along the coast in Kenya and Tanzania correlates strongly with sea surface temperature (SST) in the Indian Ocean between 1950 and 1999. A zonal pattern of positive correlation in the Arabian Sea and negative...
Gespeichert in:
| Veröffentlicht in: | Journal of climate 2003-02, Vol.16 (3), p.548-554 |
|---|---|
| Hauptverfasser: | , , |
| Format: | Artikel |
| Sprache: | eng |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
| Tags: |
Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
|
| container_end_page | 554 |
|---|---|
| container_issue | 3 |
| container_start_page | 548 |
| container_title | Journal of climate |
| container_volume | 16 |
| creator | Clark, Christina Oelfke Webster, Peter J. Cole, Julia E. |
| description | The variance of the rainfall during the October–November–December (OND) “short rain” season along the coast in Kenya and Tanzania correlates strongly with sea surface temperature (SST) in the Indian Ocean between 1950 and 1999. A zonal pattern of positive correlation in the Arabian Sea and negative correlation southwest of Sumatra forms in the summer preceding the rainy season. The positive correlation strengthens in the western Indian Ocean and the negative correlation in the eastern Indian Ocean weakens in the subsequent fall concurrent with the short rain. Reduced OND East African rainfall is associated with the reversed SST pattern. The OND rainfall also correlates strongly with ENSO. The SST–rain correlation pattern breaks down between the years 1983 and 1993, as does the correlation with ENSO. However, between 1994 and 1999 the OND rainfall, ENSO, and the SST zonal mode again return to strong correlation, as in the years preceding 1983. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<0548:ivotrb>2.0.co;2 |
| format | Article |
| fullrecord | <record><control><sourceid>jstor_proqu</sourceid><recordid>TN_cdi_proquest_miscellaneous_20648772</recordid><sourceformat>XML</sourceformat><sourcesystem>PC</sourcesystem><jstor_id>26249566</jstor_id><sourcerecordid>26249566</sourcerecordid><originalsourceid>FETCH-LOGICAL-c458t-2a0dea73ae161d55f43f527a15a1d76191f49598282816f98d0b837c94cefd913</originalsourceid><addsrcrecordid>eNpdke1rUzEUxi-iYJ3-CUIQFPeh3Ulucl-cCLXMWZgUytwHv4TTvLCU26Qm6WTgH2-uHRMkkJA8v5zDeZ6qOqMwo7QVZ1QwmALn7D0DqE-BNh9B8O6Duws5bj6xGcxUOGdPqskj-bSaQNfzadcK8bx6kdIWgLIGYFL9XvpsojYKNQ7kBqPDjRtcvifBknxryNoMmF3w6dbtycbkX8b4v8LSa4eerJQp-4_gy_dvQRuCXpMLTJnMbXSqaItQbkVdo_MWh4HMfdjh4Ex6WT0rD8m8ejhPqu9fLq4XX6dXq8vlYn41VVx0ecoQtMG2RkMbqoWwvLaCtUgFUt02tKeW96LvWFm0sX2nYdPVreq5Mlb3tD6p3h3r7mP4eTApy51LygwDehMOSTJoeNe2rIBv_gO34RDLaIVhrFjIoSvQ5RFSMaQUjZX76HYY7yUFOUYkR-PlaLwcI5IlIjlGJJc3q-v1Z8kkyMVKju3ePrTDpHCwEb1y6V85AYwzGLnXR26bcoiPOmtYmbtp6j8sUJ7l</addsrcrecordid><sourcetype>Aggregation Database</sourcetype><iscdi>true</iscdi><recordtype>article</recordtype><pqid>222894408</pqid></control><display><type>article</type><title>Interdecadal Variability of the Relationship between the Indian Ocean Zonal Mode and East African Coastal Rainfall Anomalies</title><source>American Meteorological Society</source><source>JSTOR Archive Collection A-Z Listing</source><source>EZB-FREE-00999 freely available EZB journals</source><creator>Clark, Christina Oelfke ; Webster, Peter J. ; Cole, Julia E.</creator><creatorcontrib>Clark, Christina Oelfke ; Webster, Peter J. ; Cole, Julia E.</creatorcontrib><description>The variance of the rainfall during the October–November–December (OND) “short rain” season along the coast in Kenya and Tanzania correlates strongly with sea surface temperature (SST) in the Indian Ocean between 1950 and 1999. A zonal pattern of positive correlation in the Arabian Sea and negative correlation southwest of Sumatra forms in the summer preceding the rainy season. The positive correlation strengthens in the western Indian Ocean and the negative correlation in the eastern Indian Ocean weakens in the subsequent fall concurrent with the short rain. Reduced OND East African rainfall is associated with the reversed SST pattern. The OND rainfall also correlates strongly with ENSO. The SST–rain correlation pattern breaks down between the years 1983 and 1993, as does the correlation with ENSO. However, between 1994 and 1999 the OND rainfall, ENSO, and the SST zonal mode again return to strong correlation, as in the years preceding 1983.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0894-8755</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1520-0442</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<0548:ivotrb>2.0.co;2</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Boston, MA: American Meteorological Society</publisher><subject>Climate change ; Coasts ; Correlation analysis ; Correlations ; Earth, ocean, space ; El Nino ; Exact sciences and technology ; External geophysics ; Marine ; Meteorology ; Ocean currents ; Oceans ; Precipitation ; Rain ; Rainfall ; Rainy season ; Rainy seasons ; Sea surface temperature ; Seasons ; Temperature ; Tropical regions ; Water in the atmosphere (humidity, clouds, evaporation, precipitation)</subject><ispartof>Journal of climate, 2003-02, Vol.16 (3), p.548-554</ispartof><rights>2003 American Meteorological Society</rights><rights>2003 INIST-CNRS</rights><rights>Copyright American Meteorological Society Feb 1, 2003</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c458t-2a0dea73ae161d55f43f527a15a1d76191f49598282816f98d0b837c94cefd913</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/26249566$$EPDF$$P50$$Gjstor$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.jstor.org/stable/26249566$$EHTML$$P50$$Gjstor$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,803,3681,27924,27925,58017,58250</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttp://pascal-francis.inist.fr/vibad/index.php?action=getRecordDetail&idt=15024202$$DView record in Pascal Francis$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Clark, Christina Oelfke</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Webster, Peter J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Cole, Julia E.</creatorcontrib><title>Interdecadal Variability of the Relationship between the Indian Ocean Zonal Mode and East African Coastal Rainfall Anomalies</title><title>Journal of climate</title><description>The variance of the rainfall during the October–November–December (OND) “short rain” season along the coast in Kenya and Tanzania correlates strongly with sea surface temperature (SST) in the Indian Ocean between 1950 and 1999. A zonal pattern of positive correlation in the Arabian Sea and negative correlation southwest of Sumatra forms in the summer preceding the rainy season. The positive correlation strengthens in the western Indian Ocean and the negative correlation in the eastern Indian Ocean weakens in the subsequent fall concurrent with the short rain. Reduced OND East African rainfall is associated with the reversed SST pattern. The OND rainfall also correlates strongly with ENSO. The SST–rain correlation pattern breaks down between the years 1983 and 1993, as does the correlation with ENSO. However, between 1994 and 1999 the OND rainfall, ENSO, and the SST zonal mode again return to strong correlation, as in the years preceding 1983.</description><subject>Climate change</subject><subject>Coasts</subject><subject>Correlation analysis</subject><subject>Correlations</subject><subject>Earth, ocean, space</subject><subject>El Nino</subject><subject>Exact sciences and technology</subject><subject>External geophysics</subject><subject>Marine</subject><subject>Meteorology</subject><subject>Ocean currents</subject><subject>Oceans</subject><subject>Precipitation</subject><subject>Rain</subject><subject>Rainfall</subject><subject>Rainy season</subject><subject>Rainy seasons</subject><subject>Sea surface temperature</subject><subject>Seasons</subject><subject>Temperature</subject><subject>Tropical regions</subject><subject>Water in the atmosphere (humidity, clouds, evaporation, precipitation)</subject><issn>0894-8755</issn><issn>1520-0442</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2003</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>8G5</sourceid><sourceid>ABUWG</sourceid><sourceid>AFKRA</sourceid><sourceid>AZQEC</sourceid><sourceid>BEC</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><sourceid>CCPQU</sourceid><sourceid>DWQXO</sourceid><sourceid>GNUQQ</sourceid><sourceid>GUQSH</sourceid><sourceid>M2O</sourceid><recordid>eNpdke1rUzEUxi-iYJ3-CUIQFPeh3Ulucl-cCLXMWZgUytwHv4TTvLCU26Qm6WTgH2-uHRMkkJA8v5zDeZ6qOqMwo7QVZ1QwmALn7D0DqE-BNh9B8O6Duws5bj6xGcxUOGdPqskj-bSaQNfzadcK8bx6kdIWgLIGYFL9XvpsojYKNQ7kBqPDjRtcvifBknxryNoMmF3w6dbtycbkX8b4v8LSa4eerJQp-4_gy_dvQRuCXpMLTJnMbXSqaItQbkVdo_MWh4HMfdjh4Ex6WT0rD8m8ejhPqu9fLq4XX6dXq8vlYn41VVx0ecoQtMG2RkMbqoWwvLaCtUgFUt02tKeW96LvWFm0sX2nYdPVreq5Mlb3tD6p3h3r7mP4eTApy51LygwDehMOSTJoeNe2rIBv_gO34RDLaIVhrFjIoSvQ5RFSMaQUjZX76HYY7yUFOUYkR-PlaLwcI5IlIjlGJJc3q-v1Z8kkyMVKju3ePrTDpHCwEb1y6V85AYwzGLnXR26bcoiPOmtYmbtp6j8sUJ7l</recordid><startdate>20030201</startdate><enddate>20030201</enddate><creator>Clark, Christina Oelfke</creator><creator>Webster, Peter J.</creator><creator>Cole, Julia E.</creator><general>American Meteorological Society</general><scope>IQODW</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>3V.</scope><scope>7QH</scope><scope>7TG</scope><scope>7UA</scope><scope>7X2</scope><scope>7XB</scope><scope>88F</scope><scope>88I</scope><scope>8AF</scope><scope>8FE</scope><scope>8FG</scope><scope>8FH</scope><scope>8FK</scope><scope>8G5</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>ARAPS</scope><scope>ATCPS</scope><scope>AZQEC</scope><scope>BEC</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>BGLVJ</scope><scope>BHPHI</scope><scope>BKSAR</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>F1W</scope><scope>GNUQQ</scope><scope>GUQSH</scope><scope>H96</scope><scope>HCIFZ</scope><scope>KL.</scope><scope>L.G</scope><scope>M0K</scope><scope>M1Q</scope><scope>M2O</scope><scope>M2P</scope><scope>MBDVC</scope><scope>P5Z</scope><scope>P62</scope><scope>PATMY</scope><scope>PCBAR</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>PYCSY</scope><scope>Q9U</scope><scope>S0X</scope><scope>7TN</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20030201</creationdate><title>Interdecadal Variability of the Relationship between the Indian Ocean Zonal Mode and East African Coastal Rainfall Anomalies</title><author>Clark, Christina Oelfke ; Webster, Peter J. ; Cole, Julia E.</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c458t-2a0dea73ae161d55f43f527a15a1d76191f49598282816f98d0b837c94cefd913</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2003</creationdate><topic>Climate change</topic><topic>Coasts</topic><topic>Correlation analysis</topic><topic>Correlations</topic><topic>Earth, ocean, space</topic><topic>El Nino</topic><topic>Exact sciences and technology</topic><topic>External geophysics</topic><topic>Marine</topic><topic>Meteorology</topic><topic>Ocean currents</topic><topic>Oceans</topic><topic>Precipitation</topic><topic>Rain</topic><topic>Rainfall</topic><topic>Rainy season</topic><topic>Rainy seasons</topic><topic>Sea surface temperature</topic><topic>Seasons</topic><topic>Temperature</topic><topic>Tropical regions</topic><topic>Water in the atmosphere (humidity, clouds, evaporation, precipitation)</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Clark, Christina Oelfke</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Webster, Peter J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Cole, Julia E.</creatorcontrib><collection>Pascal-Francis</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Corporate)</collection><collection>Aqualine</collection><collection>Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts</collection><collection>Water Resources Abstracts</collection><collection>Agricultural Science Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>Military Database (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>Science Database (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>STEM Database</collection><collection>ProQuest SciTech Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Technology Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Natural Science Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni) (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>Research Library (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central UK/Ireland</collection><collection>Advanced Technologies & Aerospace Collection</collection><collection>Agricultural & Environmental Science Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Essentials</collection><collection>eLibrary</collection><collection>ProQuest Central</collection><collection>Technology Collection</collection><collection>Natural Science Collection</collection><collection>Earth, Atmospheric & Aquatic Science Collection</collection><collection>Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management</collection><collection>ProQuest One Community College</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Korea</collection><collection>ASFA: Aquatic Sciences and Fisheries Abstracts</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Student</collection><collection>Research Library Prep</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) 2: Ocean Technology, Policy & Non-Living Resources</collection><collection>SciTech Premium Collection</collection><collection>Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts - Academic</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) Professional</collection><collection>Agricultural Science Database</collection><collection>Military Database</collection><collection>Research Library</collection><collection>Science Database</collection><collection>Research Library (Corporate)</collection><collection>Advanced Technologies & Aerospace Database</collection><collection>ProQuest Advanced Technologies & Aerospace Collection</collection><collection>Environmental Science Database</collection><collection>Earth, Atmospheric & Aquatic Science Database</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition (DO NOT USE)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition</collection><collection>Environmental Science Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Basic</collection><collection>SIRS Editorial</collection><collection>Oceanic Abstracts</collection><jtitle>Journal of climate</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Clark, Christina Oelfke</au><au>Webster, Peter J.</au><au>Cole, Julia E.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Interdecadal Variability of the Relationship between the Indian Ocean Zonal Mode and East African Coastal Rainfall Anomalies</atitle><jtitle>Journal of climate</jtitle><date>2003-02-01</date><risdate>2003</risdate><volume>16</volume><issue>3</issue><spage>548</spage><epage>554</epage><pages>548-554</pages><issn>0894-8755</issn><eissn>1520-0442</eissn><abstract>The variance of the rainfall during the October–November–December (OND) “short rain” season along the coast in Kenya and Tanzania correlates strongly with sea surface temperature (SST) in the Indian Ocean between 1950 and 1999. A zonal pattern of positive correlation in the Arabian Sea and negative correlation southwest of Sumatra forms in the summer preceding the rainy season. The positive correlation strengthens in the western Indian Ocean and the negative correlation in the eastern Indian Ocean weakens in the subsequent fall concurrent with the short rain. Reduced OND East African rainfall is associated with the reversed SST pattern. The OND rainfall also correlates strongly with ENSO. The SST–rain correlation pattern breaks down between the years 1983 and 1993, as does the correlation with ENSO. However, between 1994 and 1999 the OND rainfall, ENSO, and the SST zonal mode again return to strong correlation, as in the years preceding 1983.</abstract><cop>Boston, MA</cop><pub>American Meteorological Society</pub><doi>10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<0548:ivotrb>2.0.co;2</doi><tpages>7</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
| fulltext | fulltext |
| identifier | ISSN: 0894-8755 |
| ispartof | Journal of climate, 2003-02, Vol.16 (3), p.548-554 |
| issn | 0894-8755 1520-0442 |
| language | eng |
| recordid | cdi_proquest_miscellaneous_20648772 |
| source | American Meteorological Society; JSTOR Archive Collection A-Z Listing; EZB-FREE-00999 freely available EZB journals |
| subjects | Climate change Coasts Correlation analysis Correlations Earth, ocean, space El Nino Exact sciences and technology External geophysics Marine Meteorology Ocean currents Oceans Precipitation Rain Rainfall Rainy season Rainy seasons Sea surface temperature Seasons Temperature Tropical regions Water in the atmosphere (humidity, clouds, evaporation, precipitation) |
| title | Interdecadal Variability of the Relationship between the Indian Ocean Zonal Mode and East African Coastal Rainfall Anomalies |
| url | https://sfx.bib-bvb.de/sfx_tum?ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info:ofi/enc:UTF-8&ctx_tim=2024-12-26T09%3A34%3A18IST&url_ver=Z39.88-2004&url_ctx_fmt=infofi/fmt:kev:mtx:ctx&rfr_id=info:sid/primo.exlibrisgroup.com:primo3-Article-jstor_proqu&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Interdecadal%20Variability%20of%20the%20Relationship%20between%20the%20Indian%20Ocean%20Zonal%20Mode%20and%20East%20African%20Coastal%20Rainfall%20Anomalies&rft.jtitle=Journal%20of%20climate&rft.au=Clark,%20Christina%20Oelfke&rft.date=2003-02-01&rft.volume=16&rft.issue=3&rft.spage=548&rft.epage=554&rft.pages=548-554&rft.issn=0894-8755&rft.eissn=1520-0442&rft_id=info:doi/10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016%3C0548:ivotrb%3E2.0.co;2&rft_dat=%3Cjstor_proqu%3E26249566%3C/jstor_proqu%3E%3Curl%3E%3C/url%3E&disable_directlink=true&sfx.directlink=off&sfx.report_link=0&rft_id=info:oai/&rft_pqid=222894408&rft_id=info:pmid/&rft_jstor_id=26249566&rfr_iscdi=true |