Monetary policy and country risk

This article develops an econometric model in order to study country risk behaviour for six emerging economies (Argentina, Mexico, Russia, Thailand, Korea and Indonesia), by expanding the country beta risk model of Harvey and Zhou ( 1993 ), Erb et al . (1996a, b) and Gangemi et al . (2000). Towards...

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Veröffentlicht in:Applied economics 2008-08, Vol.40 (15), p.2021-2028
Hauptverfasser: Teles, Vladimir, Andrade, Joaquim
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creator Teles, Vladimir
Andrade, Joaquim
description This article develops an econometric model in order to study country risk behaviour for six emerging economies (Argentina, Mexico, Russia, Thailand, Korea and Indonesia), by expanding the country beta risk model of Harvey and Zhou ( 1993 ), Erb et al . (1996a, b) and Gangemi et al . (2000). Towards this end, we have analysed the impact of macroeconomic variables, especially monetary policy, upon country risk, by way of a time-varying parameter approach. The results indicate an unstable effect of monetary policy upon country risk in periods of crisis. However, this effect is stable in other periods, and the Favero-Giavazzi effect is not verified for all economies, with an opposite effect being observed in many cases.
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(1996a, b) and Gangemi et al . (2000). Towards this end, we have analysed the impact of macroeconomic variables, especially monetary policy, upon country risk, by way of a time-varying parameter approach. The results indicate an unstable effect of monetary policy upon country risk in periods of crisis. 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subjects Argentina
Beta
Capital market
Econometric models
Economic models
Emerging markets
Financial economics
Financial risks
Impact analysis
Indonesia
Mexico
Monetary policy
Political risk
Russian Federation
South Korea
Studies
Thailand
title Monetary policy and country risk
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