Have tropical cyclones been feeding more extreme rainfall?
We have conducted a study of the relationship between tropical cyclone (TC) and extreme rain events using GPCP and TRMM rainfall data ; and storm track data for July through November (JASON) in the North Atlantic (NAT) and the western North Pacific (WNP). Extreme rain events are defined in terms of...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres 2008-12, Vol.113 (D23), p.n/a |
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description | We have conducted a study of the relationship between tropical cyclone (TC) and extreme rain events using GPCP and TRMM rainfall data ; and storm track data for July through November (JASON) in the North Atlantic (NAT) and the western North Pacific (WNP). Extreme rain events are defined in terms of percentile rainrate, and TC-gain by rainfall associated with a named TC. Results show that climatologically, 8% of rain events and 17% of the total rain amount in NAT are accounted by TCs, compared to 9% of rain events, and 21% of rain amount in WN.P. The fractional contribution of accumulated TC-rain to total rain, Omega, increases nearly linearly as a function of rainrate. Extending the analyses using GPCP pentad data for 1979-2005, and for the post-SSM/I period (1988-2005), we find that while there is no significant trend in the total JASON rainfall over NAT or WNP there is a positive significant trend in heavy rain over both basins for the 1979-2005 period, but not for the post-SSM/I period. Trend analyses of Omega for bout periods indicate that TCs have been feeding increasingly more to rainfall extremes in NAT, where the expansion of the warm pool area can explain slightly more than 50% of the change in observed trend in total TC rainfall. In. WNP, trend signals for Omega are mixed, and the loner term relationship between TC rain and warm pool area is strongly influenced by interannual and interdecadal variability. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1029/2008JD009963 |
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P. ; Wu, H.-T.</creator><creatorcontrib>Lau, K.-M. ; Zhou, Y. P. ; Wu, H.-T.</creatorcontrib><description>We have conducted a study of the relationship between tropical cyclone (TC) and extreme rain events using GPCP and TRMM rainfall data ; and storm track data for July through November (JASON) in the North Atlantic (NAT) and the western North Pacific (WNP). Extreme rain events are defined in terms of percentile rainrate, and TC-gain by rainfall associated with a named TC. Results show that climatologically, 8% of rain events and 17% of the total rain amount in NAT are accounted by TCs, compared to 9% of rain events, and 21% of rain amount in WN.P. The fractional contribution of accumulated TC-rain to total rain, Omega, increases nearly linearly as a function of rainrate. Extending the analyses using GPCP pentad data for 1979-2005, and for the post-SSM/I period (1988-2005), we find that while there is no significant trend in the total JASON rainfall over NAT or WNP there is a positive significant trend in heavy rain over both basins for the 1979-2005 period, but not for the post-SSM/I period. Trend analyses of Omega for bout periods indicate that TCs have been feeding increasingly more to rainfall extremes in NAT, where the expansion of the warm pool area can explain slightly more than 50% of the change in observed trend in total TC rainfall. In. WNP, trend signals for Omega are mixed, and the loner term relationship between TC rain and warm pool area is strongly influenced by interannual and interdecadal variability.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0148-0227</identifier><identifier>ISSN: 2169-897X</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 2156-2202</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 2169-8996</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1029/2008JD009963</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Goddard Space Flight Center: Blackwell Publishing Ltd</publisher><subject>climate change ; Climatology ; Cyclones ; Earth sciences ; Earth, ocean, space ; Exact sciences and technology ; extreme rainfall ; Feeding ; Marine ; Meteorology And Climatology ; Pools ; Rain ; Rainfall ; Trend analysis ; Trends ; tropical cyclones</subject><ispartof>Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 2008-12, Vol.113 (D23), p.n/a</ispartof><rights>Copyright 2008 by the American Geophysical Union.</rights><rights>2009 INIST-CNRS</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c4705-a4c447615e618584cd6fbf7fc5e2e1f2ba69b66be42b9939dfa9eb812e3bbb3f3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c4705-a4c447615e618584cd6fbf7fc5e2e1f2ba69b66be42b9939dfa9eb812e3bbb3f3</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029%2F2008JD009963$$EPDF$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029%2F2008JD009963$$EHTML$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,1411,1427,11493,27901,27902,45550,45551,46384,46443,46808,46867</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttp://pascal-francis.inist.fr/vibad/index.php?action=getRecordDetail&idt=21002333$$DView record in Pascal Francis$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Lau, K.-M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhou, Y. P.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wu, H.-T.</creatorcontrib><title>Have tropical cyclones been feeding more extreme rainfall?</title><title>Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres</title><addtitle>J. Geophys. Res</addtitle><description>We have conducted a study of the relationship between tropical cyclone (TC) and extreme rain events using GPCP and TRMM rainfall data ; and storm track data for July through November (JASON) in the North Atlantic (NAT) and the western North Pacific (WNP). Extreme rain events are defined in terms of percentile rainrate, and TC-gain by rainfall associated with a named TC. Results show that climatologically, 8% of rain events and 17% of the total rain amount in NAT are accounted by TCs, compared to 9% of rain events, and 21% of rain amount in WN.P. The fractional contribution of accumulated TC-rain to total rain, Omega, increases nearly linearly as a function of rainrate. Extending the analyses using GPCP pentad data for 1979-2005, and for the post-SSM/I period (1988-2005), we find that while there is no significant trend in the total JASON rainfall over NAT or WNP there is a positive significant trend in heavy rain over both basins for the 1979-2005 period, but not for the post-SSM/I period. Trend analyses of Omega for bout periods indicate that TCs have been feeding increasingly more to rainfall extremes in NAT, where the expansion of the warm pool area can explain slightly more than 50% of the change in observed trend in total TC rainfall. In. WNP, trend signals for Omega are mixed, and the loner term relationship between TC rain and warm pool area is strongly influenced by interannual and interdecadal variability.</description><subject>climate change</subject><subject>Climatology</subject><subject>Cyclones</subject><subject>Earth sciences</subject><subject>Earth, ocean, space</subject><subject>Exact sciences and technology</subject><subject>extreme rainfall</subject><subject>Feeding</subject><subject>Marine</subject><subject>Meteorology And Climatology</subject><subject>Pools</subject><subject>Rain</subject><subject>Rainfall</subject><subject>Trend analysis</subject><subject>Trends</subject><subject>tropical cyclones</subject><issn>0148-0227</issn><issn>2169-897X</issn><issn>2156-2202</issn><issn>2169-8996</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2008</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>CYI</sourceid><recordid>eNp9kE1P3DAQhq2qlboCbhx7yKVVD4TO-CsJF1SxsBQhqFCrHi3bO0ah2WRrh4_993gVhHrCl7Hk533keRnbRzhE4M03DlBfzAGaRot3bMZR6ZJz4O_ZDFDWJXBefWR7Kd1BPlJpCThjR-f2gYoxDuvW267wG98NPaXCEfVFIFq2_W2xGiIV9DRGWlERbdsH23XHu-xDnon2XuYO-312-uvkvLy8Xvw4-X5ZelmBKq30UlYaFWmsVS39UgcXquAVccLAndWN09qR5K5pRLMMtiFXIyfhnBNB7LAvk3cdh3_3lEazapOnrrM9DffJ5B2V4igy-PVNECuRO0IBPKMHE-rjkFKkYNaxXdm4MQhmW6f5v86Mf34x25RrCtH2vk2vGY6QnWLLiYl7bDvavOk0F4ubOcqqVjn1aUr1NlnTj3G7U1aCUCi2fy2n5zaN9PQqtfGv0ZWolPlztTBXYi4Rbn7myzNwP5kE</recordid><startdate>20081216</startdate><enddate>20081216</enddate><creator>Lau, K.-M.</creator><creator>Zhou, Y. P.</creator><creator>Wu, H.-T.</creator><general>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</general><general>American Geophysical Union</general><scope>BSCLL</scope><scope>CYE</scope><scope>CYI</scope><scope>IQODW</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>8FD</scope><scope>FR3</scope><scope>H8D</scope><scope>KR7</scope><scope>L7M</scope><scope>7TG</scope><scope>7TN</scope><scope>F1W</scope><scope>H96</scope><scope>KL.</scope><scope>L.G</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20081216</creationdate><title>Have tropical cyclones been feeding more extreme rainfall?</title><author>Lau, K.-M. ; Zhou, Y. P. ; Wu, H.-T.</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c4705-a4c447615e618584cd6fbf7fc5e2e1f2ba69b66be42b9939dfa9eb812e3bbb3f3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2008</creationdate><topic>climate change</topic><topic>Climatology</topic><topic>Cyclones</topic><topic>Earth sciences</topic><topic>Earth, ocean, space</topic><topic>Exact sciences and technology</topic><topic>extreme rainfall</topic><topic>Feeding</topic><topic>Marine</topic><topic>Meteorology And Climatology</topic><topic>Pools</topic><topic>Rain</topic><topic>Rainfall</topic><topic>Trend analysis</topic><topic>Trends</topic><topic>tropical cyclones</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Lau, K.-M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhou, Y. P.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wu, H.-T.</creatorcontrib><collection>Istex</collection><collection>NASA Scientific and Technical Information</collection><collection>NASA Technical Reports Server</collection><collection>Pascal-Francis</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Technology Research Database</collection><collection>Engineering Research Database</collection><collection>Aerospace Database</collection><collection>Civil Engineering Abstracts</collection><collection>Advanced Technologies Database with Aerospace</collection><collection>Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts</collection><collection>Oceanic Abstracts</collection><collection>ASFA: Aquatic Sciences and Fisheries Abstracts</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) 2: Ocean Technology, Policy & Non-Living Resources</collection><collection>Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts - Academic</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) Professional</collection><jtitle>Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Lau, K.-M.</au><au>Zhou, Y. P.</au><au>Wu, H.-T.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Have tropical cyclones been feeding more extreme rainfall?</atitle><jtitle>Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres</jtitle><addtitle>J. Geophys. Res</addtitle><date>2008-12-16</date><risdate>2008</risdate><volume>113</volume><issue>D23</issue><epage>n/a</epage><issn>0148-0227</issn><issn>2169-897X</issn><eissn>2156-2202</eissn><eissn>2169-8996</eissn><abstract>We have conducted a study of the relationship between tropical cyclone (TC) and extreme rain events using GPCP and TRMM rainfall data ; and storm track data for July through November (JASON) in the North Atlantic (NAT) and the western North Pacific (WNP). Extreme rain events are defined in terms of percentile rainrate, and TC-gain by rainfall associated with a named TC. Results show that climatologically, 8% of rain events and 17% of the total rain amount in NAT are accounted by TCs, compared to 9% of rain events, and 21% of rain amount in WN.P. The fractional contribution of accumulated TC-rain to total rain, Omega, increases nearly linearly as a function of rainrate. Extending the analyses using GPCP pentad data for 1979-2005, and for the post-SSM/I period (1988-2005), we find that while there is no significant trend in the total JASON rainfall over NAT or WNP there is a positive significant trend in heavy rain over both basins for the 1979-2005 period, but not for the post-SSM/I period. Trend analyses of Omega for bout periods indicate that TCs have been feeding increasingly more to rainfall extremes in NAT, where the expansion of the warm pool area can explain slightly more than 50% of the change in observed trend in total TC rainfall. In. WNP, trend signals for Omega are mixed, and the loner term relationship between TC rain and warm pool area is strongly influenced by interannual and interdecadal variability.</abstract><cop>Goddard Space Flight Center</cop><pub>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</pub><doi>10.1029/2008JD009963</doi><tpages>12</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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subjects | climate change Climatology Cyclones Earth sciences Earth, ocean, space Exact sciences and technology extreme rainfall Feeding Marine Meteorology And Climatology Pools Rain Rainfall Trend analysis Trends tropical cyclones |
title | Have tropical cyclones been feeding more extreme rainfall? |
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